语言:简体中文
Daniel Merida Aguilar v Marton Fucsovics
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Daniel Merida Aguilar (主队)
预测 78.65%1.27公平赔率
EV -2.47%
优势 -1.99%
Kelly -10.29%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.24
博彩公司预测分布
75.15%78.67%78.81%80.59%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.171.211.211.2485.47%82.88%82.64%80.65%最小值均值中位数最大值
Marton Fucsovics (客队)
预测 21.35%4.68公平赔率
EV +4.60%
优势 +0.939%
Kelly +1.18%
增长率 +0.054%
假设最高赔率为 4.90
博彩公司预测分布
19.41%21.33%21.19%24.85%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.754.464.504.9026.67%22.44%22.22%20.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Daniel Merida Aguilar (主队)：78.65%；Marton Fucsovics (客队)：21.35%。 对于“Marton Fucsovics (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.68。 当时有7家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.90，对应+4.60%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (63 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV +4.60%E +0.939%K +1.18%G +0.054% | 3.1% | 2026-08-29 15:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV +4.60%E +0.939%K +1.18%G +0.054% | 3.1% | 2026-08-29 15:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -7.19%E -6.09%K -39.94%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +4.60%E +0.939%K +1.18%G +0.054% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -6.40%E -5.38%K -33.70%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV +3.53%E +0.728%K +0.917%G +0.032% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.80%EV -4.04%E -3.31%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 20.20%EV +2.89%E +0.600%K +0.757%G +0.022% | 2.7% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -4.04%E -3.31%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +1.40%E +0.294%K +0.373%G +0.005% | 3.0% | 2026-08-30 13:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -7.19%E -6.09%K -39.94%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +1.40%E +0.294%K +0.373%G +0.005% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 14:13 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.35%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.65%EV -0.738%E -0.159%K -0.202%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 14:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.19%E -6.09%K -39.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -1.81%E -0.392%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 08:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.69%EV -7.98%E -6.82%K -46.92%G +0.000% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 20.31%EV -2.02%E -0.440%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -3.26%E -2.65%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.04%E -3.31%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.04%E -3.31%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 14:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 10:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 10:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 08:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 10:06 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 10:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 10:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 19:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.98%E -6.82%K -46.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -5.01%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 10:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.26%E -2.65%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -6.07%E -1.38%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.07%E -1.38%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 14:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.07%E -1.38%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 14:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.07%E -1.38%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-29 10:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.19%E -6.09%K -39.94%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.07%E -1.38%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-30 14:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.14%EV -4.04%E -3.31%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 21.86%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.66%EV -7.19%E -6.09%K -39.94%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -7.14%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -3.26%E -2.65%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV -7.36%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.57%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 10:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.57%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 10:31 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.57%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 13:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.04%E -3.31%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -8.21%E -1.91%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.04%E -3.31%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.28%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 12:27 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.04%E -3.31%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.28%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 10:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.04%E -3.31%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.28%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 10:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.27%EV -7.19%E -6.09%K -39.94%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -9.28%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.04%E -3.31%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.34%E -2.46%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 14:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.04%E -3.31%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.34%E -2.46%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 14:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.34%E -2.46%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 14:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.51%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.49%EV -10.98%E -2.63%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.51%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.49%EV -10.98%E -2.63%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.26%E -2.65%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -12.48%E -3.04%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 14:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -2.47%E -1.99%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -19.95%E -5.32%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (8)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 0.5% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 0.5% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.66% | 5.13I 19.49%NM 19.34% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 05:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.00% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.00% | 1.2% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.12% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.88% | 1.9% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61% | 2.0% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |