اللغة:العربية
Daniel Merida Aguilar v Marton Fucsovics
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Daniel Merida Aguilar (المضيف)
التنبؤ 78.65%1.27السعر العادل
EV -2.47%
الأفضلية -1.99%
Kelly -10.29%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.24
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
75.15%78.67%78.81%80.59%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
1.171.211.211.2485.47%82.88%82.64%80.65%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
Marton Fucsovics (الضيف)
التنبؤ 21.35%4.68السعر العادل
EV +4.60%
الأفضلية +0.939%
Kelly +1.18%
النمو +0.054%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.90
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.41%21.33%21.19%24.85%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
3.754.464.504.9026.67%22.44%22.22%20.41%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
وفق آخر الأسعار قبل البداية، قدّر نموذج المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة) احتمالات سوق نتيجة المباراة كالآتي: Daniel Merida Aguilar (المضيف): 78.65%؛ Marton Fucsovics (الضيف): 21.35%. بالنسبة إلى Marton Fucsovics (الضيف)، كان هذا التقدير يعادل سعرًا عشريًا عادلًا قدره 4.68. عرضت 7 شركات مراهنات أسعار إغلاق أعلى من ذلك المستوى؛ وكان أفضل سعر 4.90، بما يقابل قيمة متوقعة موجبة قدرها +4.60%.
أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف ▼ | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV +4.60%E +0.939%K +1.18%G +0.054% | 3.1% | 2026-08-29 15:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV +4.60%E +0.939%K +1.18%G +0.054% | 3.1% | 2026-08-29 15:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -7.19%E -6.09%K -39.94%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +4.60%E +0.939%K +1.18%G +0.054% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -6.40%E -5.38%K -33.70%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV +3.53%E +0.728%K +0.917%G +0.032% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.80%EV -4.04%E -3.31%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 20.20%EV +2.89%E +0.600%K +0.757%G +0.022% | 2.7% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -4.04%E -3.31%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +1.40%E +0.294%K +0.373%G +0.005% | 3.0% | 2026-08-30 13:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -7.19%E -6.09%K -39.94%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +1.40%E +0.294%K +0.373%G +0.005% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 14:13 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.35%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.65%EV -0.738%E -0.159%K -0.202%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 14:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.19%E -6.09%K -39.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -1.81%E -0.392%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 08:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.69%EV -7.98%E -6.82%K -46.92%G +0.000% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 20.31%EV -2.02%E -0.440%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -3.26%E -2.65%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.04%E -3.31%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.04%E -3.31%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 14:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 10:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 10:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 08:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 10:06 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 10:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 10:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 19:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.98%E -6.82%K -46.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -5.01%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 10:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.26%E -2.65%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -6.07%E -1.38%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.07%E -1.38%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 14:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.07%E -1.38%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 14:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.07%E -1.38%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-29 10:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.19%E -6.09%K -39.94%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.07%E -1.38%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-30 14:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.14%EV -4.04%E -3.31%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 21.86%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.66%EV -7.19%E -6.09%K -39.94%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -7.14%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -3.26%E -2.65%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV -7.36%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.57%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 10:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.57%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 10:31 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.57%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 13:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.04%E -3.31%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -8.21%E -1.91%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.04%E -3.31%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.28%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 12:27 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.04%E -3.31%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.28%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 10:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.04%E -3.31%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.28%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 10:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.27%EV -7.19%E -6.09%K -39.94%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -9.28%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.04%E -3.31%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.34%E -2.46%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 14:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.04%E -3.31%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.34%E -2.46%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 14:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.34%E -2.46%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 14:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.51%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.49%EV -10.98%E -2.63%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.51%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.49%EV -10.98%E -2.63%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.26%E -2.65%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -12.48%E -3.04%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 14:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -2.47%E -1.99%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -19.95%E -5.32%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (8)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 0.5% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 0.5% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.66% | 5.13I 19.49%NM 19.34% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 05:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.00% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.00% | 1.2% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.12% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.88% | 1.9% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61% | 2.0% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |