StandaardmodelInterkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Daniel Merida Aguilar v Marton Fucsovics

Aanvang: 2026-08-30 15:04 UTC

Eindstand: Daniel Merida Aguilar 3–0 Marton Fucsovics

Slotodds — de berekende kansen en verwachtingswaarde uit de laatste vóór aanvang geregistreerde odds, volgens het geselecteerde model. De wedstrijd is begonnen; dit zijn dus geen actuele cijfers. Beoordeel de betrouwbaarheid van de waarschijnlijkheidsprognoses van ieder model aan de hand van alle uitslagen van afgehandelde wedstrijden →

Wedstrijduitslag

63 wedaanbieders (21 in de analyse )

Geschatte kans op iedere uitslag volgens het model: Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Daniel Merida Aguilar (Thuis)

Prognose 78.65%1.27margevrije odds
EV -2.47%
Voordeel -1.99%
Kelly -10.29%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 1.24

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
75.15%78.67%78.81%80.59%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
1.171.211.211.2485.47%82.88%82.64%80.65%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Marton Fucsovics (Uit)

Prognose 21.35%4.68margevrije odds
EV +4.60%
Voordeel +0.939%
Kelly +1.18%
Groei +0.054%

bij maximale odds 4.90

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
19.41%21.33%21.19%24.85%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
3.754.464.504.9026.67%22.44%22.22%20.41%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Bij de laatste odds voor de aftrap schatte Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst) voor Wedstrijduitslag: Daniel Merida Aguilar (Thuis): 78.65%; Marton Fucsovics (Uit): 21.35%. Voor Marton Fucsovics (Uit) kwam deze schatting overeen met eerlijke decimale odds van 4.68. 7 wedaanbieders boden slotodds boven dat niveau; de beste waren 4.90, overeenkomend met een positieve verwachtingswaarde van +4.60%.

Odds van wedaanbieders (63 wedaanbieders)

Wij zijn niet verbonden aan enige wedaanbieder en ontvangen geen vergoeding voor transacties die bij hen worden verricht.

WedaanbiederThuisUit ▼MargeBijgewerkt
BetOnline.ag🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV +4.60%E +0.939%K +1.18%G +0.054%3.1%2026-08-29 15:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV +4.60%E +0.939%K +1.18%G +0.054%3.1%2026-08-29 15:15
SportsBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -7.19%E -6.09%K -39.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +4.60%E +0.939%K +1.18%G +0.054%5.2%2026-08-30 14:25
FanDuel🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -6.40%E -5.38%K -33.70%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV +3.53%E +0.728%K +0.917%G +0.032%4.7%2026-08-30 14:25
Pinnacle🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.80%EV -4.04%E -3.31%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 20.20%EV +2.89%E +0.600%K +0.757%G +0.022%2.7%2026-08-30 15:00
Coolbet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -4.04%E -3.31%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +1.40%E +0.294%K +0.373%G +0.005%3.0%2026-08-30 13:09
TAB🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -7.19%E -6.09%K -39.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +1.40%E +0.294%K +0.373%G +0.005%5.8%2026-08-30 14:13
Betclic (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.35%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.65%EV -0.738%E -0.159%K -0.202%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 14:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.19%E -6.09%K -39.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -1.81%E -0.392%K -0.501%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 08:05
GTbets🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.69%EV -7.98%E -6.82%K -46.92%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 20.31%EV -2.02%E -0.440%K -0.562%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 14:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -3.26%E -2.65%K -14.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-30 15:00
Bovada🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.04%E -3.31%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 15:00
betano_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.04%E -3.31%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 14:54
Unibet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 14:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 14:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 10:50
TABtouch🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 14:55
Casumo🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 14:55
Grosvenor🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 14:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 14:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 14:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 14:55
Bally Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 14:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 14:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 14:55
betPARX🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 14:55
BetRivers🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 14:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 14:55
888sport🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 10:05
Betway🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 08:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 10:06
888sport (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 10:05
PlayUp🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 14:55
William Hill🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 10:05
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 14:25
BoyleSports🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 19:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 14:25
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.98%E -6.82%K -46.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 14:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -5.01%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 10:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.26%E -2.65%K -14.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -6.07%E -1.38%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-30 15:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.07%E -1.38%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 14:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.07%E -1.38%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 14:15
BetMGM🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.07%E -1.38%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 10:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.19%E -6.09%K -39.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.07%E -1.38%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 14:29
DraftKings🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.14%EV -4.04%E -3.31%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 21.86%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 15:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.66%EV -7.19%E -6.09%K -39.94%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -7.14%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 14:55
1xBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -3.26%E -2.65%K -14.16%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV -7.36%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.57%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 10:35
Coral🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.57%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 10:31
betfred_uk🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.57%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 13:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.04%E -3.31%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -8.21%E -1.91%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 15:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.04%E -3.31%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.28%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 12:27
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.04%E -3.31%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.28%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 10:30
Neds🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.04%E -3.31%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.28%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 10:35
LeoVegas🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.27%EV -7.19%E -6.09%K -39.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -9.28%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-30 15:00
ReBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.04%E -3.31%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.34%E -2.46%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 14:59
Fanatics🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.04%E -3.31%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.34%E -2.46%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 14:49
Caesars🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.34%E -2.46%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 14:10
NordicBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.51%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.49%EV -10.98%E -2.63%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 15:00
Betsson🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.51%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.49%EV -10.98%E -2.63%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 15:00
theScore Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.26%E -2.65%K -14.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -12.48%E -3.04%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 14:59
BetAnything🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -2.47%E -1.99%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -19.95%E -5.32%K -7.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 14:55
Marge = Marge · I = Impliciete kans · NM = Margevrije kans · EV = Verwachtingswaarde · E = Voordeel · K = Kelly-criterium · G = Groei van het speelkapitaal

Bijgewerkt geeft aan wanneer iedere wedaanbieder zijn odds voor het laatst wijzigde. Een ouder tijdstip betekent dus dat de odds niet zijn bewogen, niet dat ze verouderd zijn. Wedaanbieders die gedurende de laatste ongeveer 15 minuten niet zijn waargenomen, worden normaal uitgesloten; alleen wanneer de gegevensstroom van een volledige markt stilvalt, worden de laatst geregistreerde odds getoond.

Weddenschapsbeurzen (8)

WedaanbiederThuisUitMarge ▲Bijgewerkt
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%0.5%2026-08-30 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%0.5%2026-08-30 15:00
Novig◎1.23I 81.30%NM 80.66%5.13I 19.49%NM 19.34%0.8%2026-08-30 14:50
Matchbook◎1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%0.8%2026-08-30 15:00
Kalshi◎1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83%1.0%2026-08-30 05:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.22I 81.97%NM 81.00%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.00%1.2%2026-08-30 15:00
Smarkets◎1.21I 82.64%NM 81.12%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.88%1.9%2026-08-30 15:00
ProphetX◎1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61%2.0%2026-08-30 15:00