Langue:Français
Daniel Merida Aguilar v Marton Fucsovics
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Daniel Merida Aguilar (Local)
Prévision 78.65%1.27cote équitable
EV -2.47%
Avantage -1.99%
Kelly -10.29%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.24
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
75.15%78.67%78.81%80.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.171.211.211.2485.47%82.88%82.64%80.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Marton Fucsovics (Visiteur)
Prévision 21.35%4.68cote équitable
EV +4.60%
Avantage +0.939%
Kelly +1.18%
Croissance +0.054%
avec la cote maximale 4.90
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.41%21.33%21.19%24.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.754.464.504.9026.67%22.44%22.22%20.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Daniel Merida Aguilar (Local) : 78.65% ; Marton Fucsovics (Visiteur) : 21.35%. Pour Marton Fucsovics (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.68. 7 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.90, soit une espérance positive de +4.60%.
Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV +4.60%E +0.939%K +1.18%G +0.054% | 3.1% | 2026-08-29 15:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV +4.60%E +0.939%K +1.18%G +0.054% | 3.1% | 2026-08-29 15:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -7.19%E -6.09%K -39.94%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +4.60%E +0.939%K +1.18%G +0.054% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -6.40%E -5.38%K -33.70%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV +3.53%E +0.728%K +0.917%G +0.032% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.80%EV -4.04%E -3.31%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 20.20%EV +2.89%E +0.600%K +0.757%G +0.022% | 2.7% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -4.04%E -3.31%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +1.40%E +0.294%K +0.373%G +0.005% | 3.0% | 2026-08-30 13:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -7.19%E -6.09%K -39.94%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +1.40%E +0.294%K +0.373%G +0.005% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 14:13 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.35%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.65%EV -0.738%E -0.159%K -0.202%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 14:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.19%E -6.09%K -39.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -1.81%E -0.392%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 08:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.69%EV -7.98%E -6.82%K -46.92%G +0.000% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 20.31%EV -2.02%E -0.440%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -3.26%E -2.65%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.04%E -3.31%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.04%E -3.31%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 14:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 10:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 10:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 08:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 10:06 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 10:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 10:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 19:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.98%E -6.82%K -46.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -5.01%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 10:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.26%E -2.65%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -6.07%E -1.38%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.07%E -1.38%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 14:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.07%E -1.38%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 14:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.07%E -1.38%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-29 10:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.19%E -6.09%K -39.94%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.07%E -1.38%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-30 14:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.14%EV -4.04%E -3.31%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 21.86%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.66%EV -7.19%E -6.09%K -39.94%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -7.14%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -3.26%E -2.65%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV -7.36%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.57%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 10:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.57%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 10:31 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.57%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 13:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.04%E -3.31%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -8.21%E -1.91%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.04%E -3.31%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.28%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 12:27 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.04%E -3.31%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.28%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 10:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.04%E -3.31%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.28%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 10:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.27%EV -7.19%E -6.09%K -39.94%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -9.28%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.04%E -3.31%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.34%E -2.46%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 14:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.04%E -3.31%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.34%E -2.46%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 14:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.34%E -2.46%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 14:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.51%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.49%EV -10.98%E -2.63%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.51%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.49%EV -10.98%E -2.63%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.26%E -2.65%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -12.48%E -3.04%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 14:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -2.47%E -1.99%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -19.95%E -5.32%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 0.5% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 0.5% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.66% | 5.13I 19.49%NM 19.34% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 05:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.00% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.00% | 1.2% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.12% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.88% | 1.9% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61% | 2.0% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |