Sprache:Deutsch
Daniel Merida Aguilar v Marton Fucsovics
Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →
Direkter Vergleich
Daniel Merida Aguilar (Heim)
Prognose 78.65%1.27faire Quote
EV -2.47%
Vorteil -1.99%
Kelly -10.29%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.24
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
75.15%78.67%78.81%80.59%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.171.211.211.2485.47%82.88%82.64%80.65%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Marton Fucsovics (Auswärts)
Prognose 21.35%4.68faire Quote
EV +4.60%
Vorteil +0.939%
Kelly +1.18%
Wachstum +0.054%
bei einer Höchstquote von 4.90
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
19.41%21.33%21.19%24.85%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.754.464.504.9026.67%22.44%22.22%20.41%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Daniel Merida Aguilar (Heim): 78.65%; Marton Fucsovics (Auswärts): 21.35%. Für Marton Fucsovics (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 4.68. 7 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 4.90 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +4.60%.
Wettanbieterquoten (63 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts ▼ | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV +4.60%E +0.939%K +1.18%G +0.054% | 3.1% | 2026-08-29 15:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV +4.60%E +0.939%K +1.18%G +0.054% | 3.1% | 2026-08-29 15:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -7.19%E -6.09%K -39.94%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +4.60%E +0.939%K +1.18%G +0.054% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -6.40%E -5.38%K -33.70%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV +3.53%E +0.728%K +0.917%G +0.032% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.80%EV -4.04%E -3.31%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 20.20%EV +2.89%E +0.600%K +0.757%G +0.022% | 2.7% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -4.04%E -3.31%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +1.40%E +0.294%K +0.373%G +0.005% | 3.0% | 2026-08-30 13:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -7.19%E -6.09%K -39.94%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +1.40%E +0.294%K +0.373%G +0.005% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 14:13 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.35%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.65%EV -0.738%E -0.159%K -0.202%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 14:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.19%E -6.09%K -39.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -1.81%E -0.392%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 08:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.69%EV -7.98%E -6.82%K -46.92%G +0.000% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 20.31%EV -2.02%E -0.440%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -3.26%E -2.65%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.04%E -3.31%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.04%E -3.31%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 14:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 10:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 10:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 08:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 10:06 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 10:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 10:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 19:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.98%E -6.82%K -46.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.94%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -5.01%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 10:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.26%E -2.65%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -6.07%E -1.38%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.07%E -1.38%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 14:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.07%E -1.38%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 14:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.07%E -1.38%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-29 10:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.19%E -6.09%K -39.94%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.07%E -1.38%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-30 14:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.14%EV -4.04%E -3.31%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 21.86%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.66%EV -7.19%E -6.09%K -39.94%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -7.14%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -3.26%E -2.65%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV -7.36%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.57%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 10:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.57%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 10:31 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.57%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 13:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.04%E -3.31%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -8.21%E -1.91%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.04%E -3.31%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.28%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 12:27 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.04%E -3.31%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.28%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 10:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.04%E -3.31%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.28%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 10:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.27%EV -7.19%E -6.09%K -39.94%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -9.28%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.04%E -3.31%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.34%E -2.46%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 14:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.04%E -3.31%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.34%E -2.46%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 14:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.62%E -4.68%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.34%E -2.46%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 14:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.51%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.49%EV -10.98%E -2.63%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.51%EV -4.83%E -3.99%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.49%EV -10.98%E -2.63%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.26%E -2.65%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -12.48%E -3.04%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 14:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -2.47%E -1.99%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -19.95%E -5.32%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (8)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 0.5% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 0.5% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.66% | 5.13I 19.49%NM 19.34% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 05:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.00% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.00% | 1.2% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.12% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.88% | 1.9% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61% | 2.0% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |