语言:简体中文
Ben Shelton v Denis Shapovalov
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Ben Shelton (主队)
预测 76.29%1.31公平赔率
EV -2.35%
优势 -1.83%
Kelly -8.38%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.28
博彩公司预测分布
74.30%76.32%76.19%78.23%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.221.251.251.2881.97%80.17%80.00%78.13%最小值均值中位数最大值
Denis Shapovalov (客队)
预测 23.71%4.22公平赔率
EV +4.79%
优势 +1.08%
Kelly +1.40%
增长率 +0.067%
假设最高赔率为 4.42
博彩公司预测分布
21.77%23.68%23.81%25.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.703.973.954.4227.03%25.16%25.32%22.62%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Ben Shelton (主队)：76.29%；Denis Shapovalov (客队)：23.71%。 对于“Denis Shapovalov (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.22。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.42，对应+4.79%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.23%EV -6.16%E -5.01%K -26.79%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.77%EV +4.79%E +1.08%K +1.40%G +0.067% | 3.9% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.23%EV -6.16%E -5.01%K -26.79%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.77%EV +4.79%E +1.08%K +1.40%G +0.067% | 3.9% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.91%EV -3.11%E -2.45%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 23.09%EV +0.290%E +0.069%K +0.090%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-04 12:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -0.421%E -0.100%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.16%E -5.01%K -26.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -0.421%E -0.100%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 00:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.421%E -0.100%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.421%E -0.100%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 21:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.11%E -2.45%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-04 12:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.87%E -3.07%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-04 08:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-04 03:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-04 11:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.40%E -4.35%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.48%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 08:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -3.87%E -3.07%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -3.98%E -0.982%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 08:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 10:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 08:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 08:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 08:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 20:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 03:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 08:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 11:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 08:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 08:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 02:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.40%E -4.35%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 12:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.16%E -5.01%K -26.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 08:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 10:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.72%EV -3.11%E -2.45%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.28%EV -6.11%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-04 07:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.40%E -4.35%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 12:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.40%E -4.35%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 09:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.97%EV -5.40%E -4.35%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.03%EV -7.06%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 08:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.97%EV -5.40%E -4.35%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.03%EV -7.06%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 08:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 06:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.40%E -4.35%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 12:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.40%E -4.35%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.48%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-04 04:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.72%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 14:31 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.72%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 02:01 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.15%EV -3.87%E -3.07%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 24.85%EV -9.67%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 14:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.11%E -2.45%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.90%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 13:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.90%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 13:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.90%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-04 07:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.09%E -2.96%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 13:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.09%E -2.96%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 12:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.35%E -1.83%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -12.28%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.35%E -1.83%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -12.28%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -12.28%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 13:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -12.28%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 13:00 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (8)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.62% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 22.38% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74% | 1.1% | 2026-09-03 21:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-09-04 12:30 |