Язык:Русский
Ben Shelton v Denis Shapovalov
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Ben Shelton (Хозяева)
Прогноз 76.29%1.31справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.35%
Преимущество -1.83%
Kelly -8.38%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.28
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
74.30%76.32%76.19%78.23%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.221.251.251.2881.97%80.17%80.00%78.13%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Denis Shapovalov (Гости)
Прогноз 23.71%4.22справедливый коэффициент
EV +4.79%
Преимущество +1.08%
Kelly +1.40%
Рост +0.067%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.42
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
21.77%23.68%23.81%25.70%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.703.973.954.4227.03%25.16%25.32%22.62%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Ben Shelton (Хозяева): 76.29%; Denis Shapovalov (Гости): 23.71%. Для исхода «Denis Shapovalov (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 4.22. 3 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 4.42, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +4.79%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (64 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.23%EV -6.16%E -5.01%K -26.79%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.77%EV +4.79%E +1.08%K +1.40%G +0.067% | 3.9% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.23%EV -6.16%E -5.01%K -26.79%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.77%EV +4.79%E +1.08%K +1.40%G +0.067% | 3.9% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.91%EV -3.11%E -2.45%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 23.09%EV +0.290%E +0.069%K +0.090%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-04 12:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -0.421%E -0.100%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.16%E -5.01%K -26.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -0.421%E -0.100%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 00:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.421%E -0.100%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.421%E -0.100%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 21:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.11%E -2.45%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-04 12:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.87%E -3.07%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-04 08:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-04 03:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-04 11:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.40%E -4.35%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.48%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 08:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -3.87%E -3.07%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -3.98%E -0.982%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 08:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 10:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 08:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 08:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 08:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 20:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 03:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 08:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 11:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 08:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 08:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 02:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.40%E -4.35%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 12:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.16%E -5.01%K -26.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 08:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 10:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.72%EV -3.11%E -2.45%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.28%EV -6.11%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-04 07:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.40%E -4.35%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 12:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.40%E -4.35%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 09:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.97%EV -5.40%E -4.35%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.03%EV -7.06%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 08:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.97%EV -5.40%E -4.35%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.03%EV -7.06%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 08:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 06:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.40%E -4.35%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 12:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.40%E -4.35%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.48%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-04 04:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.72%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 14:31 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.72%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 02:01 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.15%EV -3.87%E -3.07%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 24.85%EV -9.67%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 14:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.11%E -2.45%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.90%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 13:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.90%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 13:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.90%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-04 07:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.09%E -2.96%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 13:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.09%E -2.96%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 12:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.35%E -1.83%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -12.28%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.35%E -1.83%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -12.28%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -12.28%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 13:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -12.28%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 13:00 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (8)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.62% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 22.38% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74% | 1.1% | 2026-09-03 21:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-09-04 12:30 |