Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Ben Shelton v Denis Shapovalov

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-05 00:10 UTC

Score final : Ben Shelton 3–1 Denis Shapovalov

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Ben Shelton (Local)

Prévision 76.29%1.31cote équitable
EV -2.35%
Avantage -1.83%
Kelly -8.38%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
74.30%76.32%76.19%78.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.221.251.251.2881.97%80.17%80.00%78.13%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Denis Shapovalov (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.71%4.22cote équitable
EV +4.79%
Avantage +1.08%
Kelly +1.40%
Croissance +0.067%

avec la cote maximale 4.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.77%23.68%23.81%25.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.703.973.954.4227.03%25.16%25.32%22.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Ben Shelton (Local) : 76.29% ; Denis Shapovalov (Visiteur) : 23.71%. Pour Denis Shapovalov (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.22. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.42, soit une espérance positive de +4.79%.

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.23%EV -6.16%E -5.01%K -26.79%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.77%EV +4.79%E +1.08%K +1.40%G +0.067%3.9%2026-09-04 11:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.23%EV -6.16%E -5.01%K -26.79%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.77%EV +4.79%E +1.08%K +1.40%G +0.067%3.9%2026-09-04 11:25
Pinnacle🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.91%EV -3.11%E -2.45%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 23.09%EV +0.290%E +0.069%K +0.090%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-04 12:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -0.421%E -0.100%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-04 13:10
SportsBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.16%E -5.01%K -26.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -0.421%E -0.100%K -0.132%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 00:14
TAB🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.421%E -0.100%K -0.132%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 11:00
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.421%E -0.100%K -0.132%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 21:45
Coolbet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.11%E -2.45%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.901%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-04 12:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.87%E -3.07%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.901%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-04 08:10
FanDuel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.901%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-04 03:20
BetAnything🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.901%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-04 11:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.40%E -4.35%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.901%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 13:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.901%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 08:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -3.87%E -3.07%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -3.98%E -0.982%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 08:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 10:20
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 08:05
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 08:05
Fanatics🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 08:09
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 20:40
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 03:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 08:15
Bovada🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 11:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 07:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 08:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 08:05
BetUS🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 02:05
theScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.40%E -4.35%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 12:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.16%E -5.01%K -26.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 08:10
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 10:39
1xBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.72%EV -3.11%E -2.45%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.28%EV -6.11%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-04 07:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:35
Unibet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:35
Grosvenor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:35
Casumo🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:35
BetRivers🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:35
TABtouch🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:35
betPARX🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:35
Bally Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:35
LeoVegas🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.40%E -4.35%K -22.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 12:20
GTbets🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.40%E -4.35%K -22.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 09:10
NordicBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.97%EV -5.40%E -4.35%K -22.50%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.03%EV -7.06%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 08:10
Betsson🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.97%EV -5.40%E -4.35%K -22.50%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.03%EV -7.06%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 08:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 06:59
ReBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.40%E -4.35%K -22.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 12:20
Fliff🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.40%E -4.35%K -22.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 07:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 04:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.72%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 14:31
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.72%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 02:01
DraftKings🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.15%EV -3.87%E -3.07%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.85%EV -9.67%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 14:05
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.11%E -2.45%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.90%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 13:05
Caesars🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.90%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 13:24
PMU (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.90%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-04 07:34
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.09%E -2.96%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 13:00
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.09%E -2.96%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 12:19
Neds🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.35%E -1.83%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -12.28%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 13:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.35%E -1.83%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -12.28%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -12.28%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 13:00
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -12.28%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 13:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.62%4.44I 22.52%NM 22.38%0.6%2026-09-04 09:20
ProphetX◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-09-04 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-09-04 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-09-04 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-09-04 14:25
Matchbook◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-09-04 14:25
Kalshi◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.1%2026-09-03 21:50
Smarkets◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-09-04 12:30