Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Ben Shelton v Denis Shapovalov

Inizio: 2026-09-05 00:10 UTC

Finale: Ben Shelton 3–1 Denis Shapovalov

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

64 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Ben Shelton (Casa)

Previsione 76.29%1.31quota equa
EV -2.35%
Vantaggio -1.83%
Kelly -8.38%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.28

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
74.30%76.32%76.19%78.23%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.221.251.251.2881.97%80.17%80.00%78.13%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Denis Shapovalov (Trasferta)

Previsione 23.71%4.22quota equa
EV +4.79%
Vantaggio +1.08%
Kelly +1.40%
Crescita +0.067%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.42

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.77%23.68%23.81%25.70%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.703.973.954.4227.03%25.16%25.32%22.62%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Ben Shelton (Casa): 76.29%; Denis Shapovalov (Trasferta): 23.71%. Per Denis Shapovalov (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.22. 3 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 4.42, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +4.79%.

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.23%EV -6.16%E -5.01%K -26.79%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.77%EV +4.79%E +1.08%K +1.40%G +0.067%3.9%2026-09-04 11:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.23%EV -6.16%E -5.01%K -26.79%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.77%EV +4.79%E +1.08%K +1.40%G +0.067%3.9%2026-09-04 11:25
Pinnacle🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.91%EV -3.11%E -2.45%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 23.09%EV +0.290%E +0.069%K +0.090%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-04 12:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -0.421%E -0.100%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-04 13:10
SportsBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.16%E -5.01%K -26.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -0.421%E -0.100%K -0.132%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 00:14
TAB🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.421%E -0.100%K -0.132%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 11:00
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.421%E -0.100%K -0.132%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 21:45
Coolbet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.11%E -2.45%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.901%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-04 12:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.87%E -3.07%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.901%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-04 08:10
FanDuel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.901%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-04 03:20
BetAnything🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.901%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-04 11:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.40%E -4.35%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.901%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 13:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.901%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 08:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -3.87%E -3.07%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -3.98%E -0.982%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 08:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 10:20
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 08:05
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 08:05
Fanatics🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 08:09
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 20:40
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 03:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 08:15
Bovada🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 11:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 07:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 08:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 08:05
BetUS🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 02:05
theScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.40%E -4.35%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 12:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.16%E -5.01%K -26.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 08:10
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 10:39
1xBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.72%EV -3.11%E -2.45%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.28%EV -6.11%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-04 07:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:35
Unibet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:35
Grosvenor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:35
Casumo🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:35
BetRivers🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:35
TABtouch🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:35
betPARX🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:35
Bally Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:35
LeoVegas🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.40%E -4.35%K -22.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 12:20
GTbets🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.40%E -4.35%K -22.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 09:10
NordicBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.97%EV -5.40%E -4.35%K -22.50%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.03%EV -7.06%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 08:10
Betsson🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.97%EV -5.40%E -4.35%K -22.50%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.03%EV -7.06%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 08:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 06:59
ReBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.40%E -4.35%K -22.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 12:20
Fliff🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.40%E -4.35%K -22.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 07:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 04:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.72%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 14:31
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.72%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 02:01
DraftKings🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.15%EV -3.87%E -3.07%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.85%EV -9.67%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 14:05
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.11%E -2.45%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.90%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 13:05
Caesars🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.90%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 13:24
PMU (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.90%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-04 07:34
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.09%E -2.96%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 13:00
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.09%E -2.96%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 12:19
Neds🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.35%E -1.83%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -12.28%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 13:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.35%E -1.83%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -12.28%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -12.28%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 13:00
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -12.28%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 13:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Novig◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.62%4.44I 22.52%NM 22.38%0.6%2026-09-04 09:20
ProphetX◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-09-04 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-09-04 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-09-04 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-09-04 14:25
Matchbook◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-09-04 14:25
Kalshi◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.1%2026-09-03 21:50
Smarkets◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-09-04 12:30