StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Ben Shelton v Denis Shapovalov

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-05 00:10 UTC

Endstand: Ben Shelton 3–1 Denis Shapovalov

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

64 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Ben Shelton (Heim)

Prognose 76.29%1.31faire Quote
EV -2.35%
Vorteil -1.83%
Kelly -8.38%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.28

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
74.30%76.32%76.19%78.23%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.221.251.251.2881.97%80.17%80.00%78.13%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Denis Shapovalov (Auswärts)

Prognose 23.71%4.22faire Quote
EV +4.79%
Vorteil +1.08%
Kelly +1.40%
Wachstum +0.067%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.42

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
21.77%23.68%23.81%25.70%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.703.973.954.4227.03%25.16%25.32%22.62%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Ben Shelton (Heim): 76.29%; Denis Shapovalov (Auswärts): 23.71%. Für Denis Shapovalov (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 4.22. 3 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 4.42 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +4.79%.

Wettanbieterquoten (64 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
LowVig.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.23%EV -6.16%E -5.01%K -26.79%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.77%EV +4.79%E +1.08%K +1.40%G +0.067%3.9%2026-09-04 11:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.23%EV -6.16%E -5.01%K -26.79%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.77%EV +4.79%E +1.08%K +1.40%G +0.067%3.9%2026-09-04 11:25
Pinnacle🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.91%EV -3.11%E -2.45%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 23.09%EV +0.290%E +0.069%K +0.090%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-04 12:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -0.421%E -0.100%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-04 13:10
SportsBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.16%E -5.01%K -26.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -0.421%E -0.100%K -0.132%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 00:14
TAB🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.421%E -0.100%K -0.132%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 11:00
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.421%E -0.100%K -0.132%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 21:45
Coolbet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.11%E -2.45%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.901%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-04 12:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.87%E -3.07%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.901%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-04 08:10
FanDuel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.901%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-04 03:20
BetAnything🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.901%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-04 11:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.40%E -4.35%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.901%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 13:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.901%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 08:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -3.87%E -3.07%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -3.98%E -0.982%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 08:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 10:20
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 08:05
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 08:05
Fanatics🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 08:09
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 20:40
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 03:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 08:15
Bovada🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 11:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 07:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 08:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 08:05
BetUS🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 02:05
theScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.40%E -4.35%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 12:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.16%E -5.01%K -26.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 08:10
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 10:39
1xBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.72%EV -3.11%E -2.45%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.28%EV -6.11%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-04 07:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:35
Unibet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:35
Grosvenor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:35
Casumo🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:35
BetRivers🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:35
TABtouch🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:35
betPARX🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:35
Bally Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:35
LeoVegas🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.40%E -4.35%K -22.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 12:20
GTbets🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.40%E -4.35%K -22.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -6.35%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 09:10
NordicBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.97%EV -5.40%E -4.35%K -22.50%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.03%EV -7.06%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 08:10
Betsson🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.97%EV -5.40%E -4.35%K -22.50%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.03%EV -7.06%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 08:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 06:59
ReBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.40%E -4.35%K -22.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 12:20
Fliff🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.40%E -4.35%K -22.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 07:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 04:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.72%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 14:31
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.72%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 02:01
DraftKings🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.15%EV -3.87%E -3.07%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.85%EV -9.67%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 14:05
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.11%E -2.45%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.90%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 13:05
Caesars🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.90%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 13:24
PMU (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.90%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-04 07:34
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.09%E -2.96%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 13:00
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.09%E -2.96%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 12:19
Neds🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.35%E -1.83%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -12.28%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 13:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.35%E -1.83%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -12.28%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -12.28%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 13:00
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -12.28%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 13:00
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (8)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Novig◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.62%4.44I 22.52%NM 22.38%0.6%2026-09-04 09:20
ProphetX◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-09-04 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-09-04 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-09-04 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-09-04 14:25
Matchbook◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-09-04 14:25
Kalshi◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.1%2026-09-03 21:50
Smarkets◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-09-04 12:30