預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Arthur Fery v Lorenzo Musetti

開賽時間: 2026-09-01 20:24 UTC

最終賽果: Arthur Fery 0–3 Lorenzo Musetti

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

63 家博彩公司 (21 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Arthur Fery (主隊)

預測 25.39%3.94公平賠率
EV +4.36%
優勢 +1.06%
Kelly +1.40%
成長率 +0.061%

假設最高賠率為 4.11

博彩公司預測分布
23.61%25.31%25.45%26.65%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.553.753.754.1128.17%26.67%26.67%24.33%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Lorenzo Musetti (客隊)

預測 74.61%1.34公平賠率
EV -3.75%
優勢 -2.91%
Kelly -12.95%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.29

博彩公司預測分布
73.35%74.69%74.55%76.39%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.251.271.271.2980.00%78.59%78.74%77.52%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Arthur Fery (主隊):25.39%;Lorenzo Musetti (客隊):74.61%。 對於「Arthur Fery (主隊)」,該估計相當於3.94的公平十進位賠率。 當時有4家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為4.11,對應+4.36%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (63 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊利潤率更新時間
Pinnacle🎯4.11I 24.33%NM 23.61%EV +4.36%E +1.06%K +1.40%G +0.061%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.39%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-01 20:20
Coolbet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV +1.56%E +0.391%K +0.521%G +0.008%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -4.50%E -3.52%K -16.07%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-01 20:20
Winamax (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +1.56%E +0.391%K +0.521%G +0.008%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-01 20:20
Winamax (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV +0.294%E +0.075%K +0.100%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -5.99%E -4.76%K -23.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 20:20
Marathon Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -0.975%E -0.250%K -0.336%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 20:19
BetOnline.ag🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -2.24%E -0.583%K -0.788%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.50%E -3.52%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-01 19:45
LowVig.ag🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -2.24%E -0.583%K -0.788%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.50%E -3.52%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-01 19:45
SportsBet🎯3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -3.01%E -0.787%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 20:05
Betway🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-01 19:45
Unibet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 20:00
LiveScore Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 20:00
TABtouch🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 20:00
Casumo🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 20:00
Grosvenor🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 20:00
Unibet (NL)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 20:00
Virgin Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 20:00
Svenska Spel🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 20:00
Bally Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 20:00
ATG (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 20:00
betPARX🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 20:00
BetRivers🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 20:00
Unibet (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 20:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 20:00
BetAnything🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 19:45
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 19:00
GTbets🎯3.78I 26.46%NM 24.85%EV -4.02%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.15%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 20:10
Unibet (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.78%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 20:10
ReBet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.78%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 20:10
Bovada🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.78%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 19:44
FanDuel🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.78%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 20:05
BoyleSports🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.78%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 19:25
betano_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.78%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 20:18
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.78%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 20:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.78%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.99%E -4.76%K -23.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 20:20
Betr (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.78%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.99%E -4.76%K -23.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 20:20
Paddy Power🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.78%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 16:05
Sky Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.78%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 16:05
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.78%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 20:15
1xBet🎯3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -5.04%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -4.50%E -3.52%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 20:15
DraftKings🎯3.72I 26.88%NM 25.45%EV -5.55%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.55%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 20:20
MyBookie.ag🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-01 20:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.50%E -3.52%K -16.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 14:50
Neds🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.50%E -3.52%K -16.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 14:50
Unibet (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.50%E -3.52%K -16.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 20:10
BetMGM🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 20:00
NetBet (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.99%E -4.76%K -23.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 20:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 14:50
Coral🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 14:50
Fliff🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 20:05
Betclic (FR)🎯3.68I 27.17%NM 25.51%EV -6.56%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.49%EV -5.99%E -4.76%K -23.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 20:10
LeoVegas🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -7.32%E -2.01%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.50%E -3.52%K -16.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 20:15
PlayUp🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -7.32%E -2.01%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.50%E -3.52%K -16.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 20:20
Betsson🎯3.64I 27.47%NM 25.87%EV -7.58%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.13%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 20:10
NordicBet🎯3.64I 27.47%NM 25.87%EV -7.58%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.13%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 20:10
888sport🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 14:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 14:45
888sport (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 14:45
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 14:45
Fanatics🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 20:15
TAB🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.50%E -3.52%K -16.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 14:55
BetUS🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.50%E -3.52%K -16.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 20:15
Caesars🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.99%E -4.76%K -23.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 19:54
theScore Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -9.86%E -2.78%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 20:10
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (8)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%0.3%2026-09-01 20:20
Matchbook◎4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%0.3%2026-09-01 20:20
Novig◎4.35I 22.99%NM 22.87%1.29I 77.52%NM 77.13%0.5%2026-09-01 20:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-09-01 20:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%0.9%2026-09-01 20:20
ProphetX◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%0.9%2026-09-01 20:20
Kalshi◎4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40%1.7%2026-09-01 20:20
Smarkets◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.88%2.7%2026-09-01 20:20