Język:Polski
Arthur Fery v Lorenzo Musetti
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Arthur Fery (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 25.39%3.94kurs godziwy
EV +4.36%
Przewaga +1.06%
Kelly +1.40%
Wzrost +0.061%
przy maksymalnym kursie 4.11
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
23.61%25.31%25.45%26.65%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.553.753.754.1128.17%26.67%26.67%24.33%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Lorenzo Musetti (Goście)
Prognoza 74.61%1.34kurs godziwy
EV -3.75%
Przewaga -2.91%
Kelly -12.95%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.29
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
73.35%74.69%74.55%76.39%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.251.271.271.2980.00%78.59%78.74%77.52%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Arthur Fery (Gospodarze): 25.39%; Lorenzo Musetti (Goście): 74.61%. Dla wyniku Arthur Fery (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.94. 4 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 4.11, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +4.36%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (63 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.11I 24.33%NM 23.61%EV +4.36%E +1.06%K +1.40%G +0.061% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.39%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV +1.56%E +0.391%K +0.521%G +0.008% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -4.50%E -3.52%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +1.56%E +0.391%K +0.521%G +0.008% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV +0.294%E +0.075%K +0.100%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -5.99%E -4.76%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -0.975%E -0.250%K -0.336%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 20:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -2.24%E -0.583%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.50%E -3.52%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-01 19:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -2.24%E -0.583%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.50%E -3.52%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-01 19:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -3.01%E -0.787%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 20:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-01 19:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 19:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.85%EV -4.02%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.15%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 20:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.78%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 20:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.78%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 20:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.78%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 19:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.78%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 20:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.78%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 19:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.78%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 20:18 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.78%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.78%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.99%E -4.76%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.78%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.99%E -4.76%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.78%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 16:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.78%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 16:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.78%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 20:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -5.04%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -4.50%E -3.52%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 20:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.45%EV -5.55%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.55%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-01 20:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.50%E -3.52%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 14:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.50%E -3.52%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 14:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.50%E -3.52%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 20:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.99%E -4.76%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 20:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 14:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 14:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 20:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.51%EV -6.56%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.49%EV -5.99%E -4.76%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 20:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -7.32%E -2.01%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.50%E -3.52%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 20:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -7.32%E -2.01%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.50%E -3.52%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.87%EV -7.58%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.13%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 20:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.87%EV -7.58%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.13%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 20:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 14:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 14:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 14:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 14:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 20:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.50%E -3.52%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 14:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.50%E -3.52%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 20:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.99%E -4.76%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 19:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -9.86%E -2.78%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 20:10 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (8)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85% | 0.3% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85% | 0.3% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| Novig◎ | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.87% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.13% | 0.5% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 0.7% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40% | 1.7% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.88% | 2.7% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |