Langue:Français
Arthur Fery v Lorenzo Musetti
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Arthur Fery (Local)
Prévision 25.39%3.94cote équitable
EV +4.36%
Avantage +1.06%
Kelly +1.40%
Croissance +0.061%
avec la cote maximale 4.11
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.61%25.31%25.45%26.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.553.753.754.1128.17%26.67%26.67%24.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Lorenzo Musetti (Visiteur)
Prévision 74.61%1.34cote équitable
EV -3.75%
Avantage -2.91%
Kelly -12.95%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.29
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
73.35%74.69%74.55%76.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.251.271.271.2980.00%78.59%78.74%77.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Arthur Fery (Local) : 25.39% ; Lorenzo Musetti (Visiteur) : 74.61%. Pour Arthur Fery (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.94. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.11, soit une espérance positive de +4.36%.
Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.11I 24.33%NM 23.61%EV +4.36%E +1.06%K +1.40%G +0.061% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.39%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV +1.56%E +0.391%K +0.521%G +0.008% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -4.50%E -3.52%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +1.56%E +0.391%K +0.521%G +0.008% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV +0.294%E +0.075%K +0.100%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -5.99%E -4.76%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -0.975%E -0.250%K -0.336%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 20:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -2.24%E -0.583%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.50%E -3.52%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-01 19:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -2.24%E -0.583%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.50%E -3.52%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-01 19:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -3.01%E -0.787%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 20:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-01 19:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 19:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.85%EV -4.02%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.15%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 20:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.78%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 20:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.78%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 20:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.78%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 19:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.78%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 20:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.78%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 19:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.78%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 20:18 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.78%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.78%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.99%E -4.76%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.78%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.99%E -4.76%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.78%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 16:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.78%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 16:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.78%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 20:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -5.04%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -4.50%E -3.52%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 20:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.45%EV -5.55%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.55%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-01 20:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.50%E -3.52%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 14:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.50%E -3.52%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 14:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.50%E -3.52%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 20:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.99%E -4.76%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 20:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 14:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 14:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 20:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.51%EV -6.56%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.49%EV -5.99%E -4.76%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 20:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -7.32%E -2.01%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.50%E -3.52%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 20:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -7.32%E -2.01%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.50%E -3.52%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.87%EV -7.58%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.13%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 20:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.87%EV -7.58%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.13%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 20:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 14:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 14:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 14:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 14:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 20:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.50%E -3.52%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 14:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.50%E -3.52%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 20:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.99%E -4.76%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 19:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -9.86%E -2.78%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 20:10 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85% | 0.3% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85% | 0.3% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| Novig◎ | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.87% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.13% | 0.5% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 0.7% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40% | 1.7% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.88% | 2.7% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |