Lingua:Italiano
Arthur Fery v Lorenzo Musetti
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Arthur Fery (Casa)
Previsione 25.39%3.94quota equa
EV +4.36%
Vantaggio +1.06%
Kelly +1.40%
Crescita +0.061%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.11
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.61%25.31%25.45%26.65%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.553.753.754.1128.17%26.67%26.67%24.33%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Lorenzo Musetti (Trasferta)
Previsione 74.61%1.34quota equa
EV -3.75%
Vantaggio -2.91%
Kelly -12.95%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.29
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
73.35%74.69%74.55%76.39%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.251.271.271.2980.00%78.59%78.74%77.52%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Arthur Fery (Casa): 25.39%; Lorenzo Musetti (Trasferta): 74.61%. Per Arthur Fery (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.94. 4 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 4.11, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +4.36%.
Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.11I 24.33%NM 23.61%EV +4.36%E +1.06%K +1.40%G +0.061% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.39%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV +1.56%E +0.391%K +0.521%G +0.008% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -4.50%E -3.52%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +1.56%E +0.391%K +0.521%G +0.008% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV +0.294%E +0.075%K +0.100%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -5.99%E -4.76%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -0.975%E -0.250%K -0.336%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 20:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -2.24%E -0.583%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.50%E -3.52%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-01 19:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -2.24%E -0.583%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.50%E -3.52%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-01 19:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -3.01%E -0.787%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 20:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-01 19:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 19:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.85%EV -4.02%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.15%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 20:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.78%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 20:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.78%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 20:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.78%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 19:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.78%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 20:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.78%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 19:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.78%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 20:18 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.78%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.78%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.99%E -4.76%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.78%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.99%E -4.76%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.78%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 16:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.78%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 16:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.78%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 20:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -5.04%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -4.50%E -3.52%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 20:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.45%EV -5.55%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.55%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-01 20:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.50%E -3.52%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 14:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.50%E -3.52%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 14:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.50%E -3.52%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 20:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.99%E -4.76%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 20:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 14:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 14:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 20:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.51%EV -6.56%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.49%EV -5.99%E -4.76%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 20:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -7.32%E -2.01%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.50%E -3.52%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 20:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -7.32%E -2.01%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.50%E -3.52%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.87%EV -7.58%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.13%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 20:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.87%EV -7.58%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.13%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 20:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 14:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 14:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 14:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 14:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 20:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.50%E -3.52%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 14:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.50%E -3.52%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 20:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.99%E -4.76%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 19:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -9.86%E -2.78%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 20:10 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (8)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85% | 0.3% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85% | 0.3% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| Novig◎ | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.87% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.13% | 0.5% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 0.7% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40% | 1.7% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.88% | 2.7% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |