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Arthur Fery v Lorenzo Musetti
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Arthur Fery (Хозяева)
Прогноз 25.39%3.94справедливый коэффициент
EV +4.36%
Преимущество +1.06%
Kelly +1.40%
Рост +0.061%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.11
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
23.61%25.31%25.45%26.65%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.553.753.754.1128.17%26.67%26.67%24.33%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Lorenzo Musetti (Гости)
Прогноз 74.61%1.34справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.75%
Преимущество -2.91%
Kelly -12.95%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.29
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
73.35%74.69%74.55%76.39%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.251.271.271.2980.00%78.59%78.74%77.52%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Arthur Fery (Хозяева): 25.39%; Lorenzo Musetti (Гости): 74.61%. Для исхода «Arthur Fery (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.94. 4 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 4.11, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +4.36%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (63 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.11I 24.33%NM 23.61%EV +4.36%E +1.06%K +1.40%G +0.061% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.39%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV +1.56%E +0.391%K +0.521%G +0.008% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -4.50%E -3.52%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +1.56%E +0.391%K +0.521%G +0.008% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV +0.294%E +0.075%K +0.100%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -5.99%E -4.76%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -0.975%E -0.250%K -0.336%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 20:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -2.24%E -0.583%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.50%E -3.52%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-01 19:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -2.24%E -0.583%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.50%E -3.52%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-01 19:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -3.01%E -0.787%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 20:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-01 19:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.51%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 19:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.85%EV -4.02%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.15%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 20:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.78%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 20:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.78%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 20:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.78%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 19:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.78%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 20:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.78%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 19:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.78%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 20:18 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.78%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.78%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.99%E -4.76%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.78%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.99%E -4.76%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.78%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 16:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.78%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 16:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.78%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 20:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -5.04%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -4.50%E -3.52%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 20:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.45%EV -5.55%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.55%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-01 20:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.50%E -3.52%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 14:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.50%E -3.52%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 14:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.50%E -3.52%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 20:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.99%E -4.76%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 20:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 14:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 14:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.74%E -5.39%K -26.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 20:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.51%EV -6.56%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.49%EV -5.99%E -4.76%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 20:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -7.32%E -2.01%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.50%E -3.52%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 20:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -7.32%E -2.01%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.50%E -3.52%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.87%EV -7.58%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.13%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 20:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.87%EV -7.58%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.13%EV -5.25%E -4.13%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 20:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 14:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 14:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 14:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 14:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 20:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.50%E -3.52%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 14:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.50%E -3.52%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 20:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.99%E -4.76%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 19:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -9.86%E -2.78%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -3.75%E -2.91%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 20:10 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (8)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85% | 0.3% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85% | 0.3% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| Novig◎ | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.87% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.13% | 0.5% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 0.7% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40% | 1.7% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.88% | 2.7% | 2026-09-01 20:20 |