Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alexei Popyrin v Alejandro Tabilo

Início: 2026-09-03 19:00 UTC

Final: Alexei Popyrin 1–3 Alejandro Tabilo

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alexei Popyrin (Local)

Previsão 39.83%2.51odd justa
EV -0.431%
Vantagem -0.172%
Kelly -0.287%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.42%39.92%39.80%42.60%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.252.392.402.5044.44%41.79%41.67%40.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Alejandro Tabilo (Visitante)

Previsão 60.17%1.66odd justa
EV +0.488%
Vantagem +0.292%
Kelly +0.728%
Crescimento +0.004%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.67

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
57.40%60.08%60.20%61.58%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.511.581.571.6766.23%63.46%63.69%59.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Alexei Popyrin (Local): 39.83%; Alejandro Tabilo (Visitante): 60.17%. Para Alejandro Tabilo (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.66. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.67, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.488%.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV +0.488%E +0.292%K +0.728%G +0.004%4.3%2026-09-02 08:00
Pinnacle🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.52%E -1.56%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-03 18:30
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -8.00%E -3.46%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -2.52%E -1.56%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 18:35
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.52%E -1.56%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 18:25
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.12%E -1.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-03 18:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.12%E -1.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-03 12:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.12%E -1.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-03 12:50
ReBet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -4.81%E -2.01%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -3.12%E -1.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-03 15:20
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.12%E -1.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.12%E -1.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 18:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.12%E -1.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 18:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-03 14:34
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 09:55
MyBookie.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -6.01%E -2.55%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 10:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 10:30
TAB🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 15:53
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 18:35
BetAnything🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.33%E -2.72%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 13:25
GTbets🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.77%EV -8.00%E -3.46%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.23%EV -4.33%E -2.72%K -7.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 10:30
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.33%E -2.72%K -7.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 18:30
FanDuel🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -3.62%E -1.49%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -4.93%E -3.12%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 10:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.93%E -3.12%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 10:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.93%E -3.12%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:34
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.93%E -3.12%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 18:35
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.93%E -3.12%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 09:35
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.93%E -3.12%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 15:50
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -7.60%E -3.28%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -4.93%E -3.12%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 10:30
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -7.60%E -3.28%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -4.93%E -3.12%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 10:30
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 18:09
BetUS🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 18:29
SportsBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.62%E -1.49%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 10:45
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:20
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 12:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 12:55
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 10:50
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.21%E -2.19%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 10:00
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.21%E -2.19%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 10:23
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.21%E -2.19%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 10:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.21%E -2.19%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 10:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 10:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 08:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.431%E -0.172%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.13%E -3.93%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 18:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.13%E -3.93%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 10:20
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.13%E -3.93%K -10.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 12:54
Fliff🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.13%E -3.93%K -10.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 18:35
Caesars🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.13%E -3.93%K -10.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 14:22
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 10:20
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 10:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 10:20
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 10:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 10:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 10:20
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 10:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 10:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 10:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 10:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 10:20
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 10:20
Bally Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 10:20
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 10:20
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -5.61%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 12:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -5.61%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 12:55
NetBet (FR)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -5.61%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 18:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.50%EV -2.02%E -0.823%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.50%EV -7.33%E -4.76%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 12:45
PMU (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -9.14%E -6.05%K -17.92%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-03 10:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%0.2%2026-09-03 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%0.2%2026-09-03 18:25
Matchbook◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%0.2%2026-09-03 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-09-03 18:35
ProphetX◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-09-03 18:35
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-09-03 13:00
Novig◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%1.3%2026-09-03 18:36
Smarkets◎2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%2.0%2026-09-03 18:20