Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Alexei Popyrin v Alejandro Tabilo

Początek: 2026-09-03 19:00 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Alexei Popyrin 1–3 Alejandro Tabilo

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

65 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Alexei Popyrin (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 39.83%2.51kurs godziwy
EV -0.431%
Przewaga -0.172%
Kelly -0.287%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
38.42%39.92%39.80%42.60%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.252.392.402.5044.44%41.79%41.67%40.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Alejandro Tabilo (Goście)

Prognoza 60.17%1.66kurs godziwy
EV +0.488%
Przewaga +0.292%
Kelly +0.728%
Wzrost +0.004%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.67

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
57.40%60.08%60.20%61.58%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.511.581.571.6766.23%63.46%63.69%59.88%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Alexei Popyrin (Gospodarze): 39.83%; Alejandro Tabilo (Goście): 60.17%. Dla wyniku Alejandro Tabilo (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 1.66. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 1.67, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +0.488%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (65 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV +0.488%E +0.292%K +0.728%G +0.004%4.3%2026-09-02 08:00
Pinnacle🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.52%E -1.56%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-03 18:30
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -8.00%E -3.46%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -2.52%E -1.56%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 18:35
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.52%E -1.56%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 18:25
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.12%E -1.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-03 18:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.12%E -1.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-03 12:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.12%E -1.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-03 12:50
ReBet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -4.81%E -2.01%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -3.12%E -1.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-03 15:20
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.12%E -1.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.12%E -1.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 18:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.12%E -1.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 18:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-03 14:34
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 09:55
MyBookie.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -6.01%E -2.55%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 10:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 10:30
TAB🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 15:53
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 18:35
BetAnything🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.33%E -2.72%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 13:25
GTbets🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.77%EV -8.00%E -3.46%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.23%EV -4.33%E -2.72%K -7.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 10:30
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.33%E -2.72%K -7.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 18:30
FanDuel🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -3.62%E -1.49%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -4.93%E -3.12%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 10:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.93%E -3.12%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 10:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.93%E -3.12%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:34
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.93%E -3.12%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 18:35
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.93%E -3.12%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 09:35
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.93%E -3.12%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 15:50
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -7.60%E -3.28%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -4.93%E -3.12%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 10:30
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -7.60%E -3.28%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -4.93%E -3.12%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 10:30
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 18:09
BetUS🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 18:29
SportsBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.62%E -1.49%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 10:45
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:20
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 12:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 12:55
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 10:50
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.21%E -2.19%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 10:00
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.21%E -2.19%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 10:23
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.21%E -2.19%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 10:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.21%E -2.19%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 10:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 10:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 08:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.431%E -0.172%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.13%E -3.93%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 18:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.13%E -3.93%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 10:20
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.13%E -3.93%K -10.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 12:54
Fliff🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.13%E -3.93%K -10.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 18:35
Caesars🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.13%E -3.93%K -10.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 14:22
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 10:20
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 10:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 10:20
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 10:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 10:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 10:20
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 10:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 10:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 10:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 10:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 10:20
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 10:20
Bally Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 10:20
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 10:20
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -5.61%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 12:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -5.61%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 12:55
NetBet (FR)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -5.61%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 18:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.50%EV -2.02%E -0.823%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.50%EV -7.33%E -4.76%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 12:45
PMU (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -9.14%E -6.05%K -17.92%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-03 10:20
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (8)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%0.2%2026-09-03 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%0.2%2026-09-03 18:25
Matchbook◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%0.2%2026-09-03 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-09-03 18:35
ProphetX◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-09-03 18:35
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-09-03 13:00
Novig◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%1.3%2026-09-03 18:36
Smarkets◎2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%2.0%2026-09-03 18:20