Langue:Français
Alexei Popyrin v Alejandro Tabilo
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Alexei Popyrin (Local)
Prévision 39.83%2.51cote équitable
EV -0.431%
Avantage -0.172%
Kelly -0.287%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.42%39.92%39.80%42.60%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.252.392.402.5044.44%41.79%41.67%40.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Alejandro Tabilo (Visiteur)
Prévision 60.17%1.66cote équitable
EV +0.488%
Avantage +0.292%
Kelly +0.728%
Croissance +0.004%
avec la cote maximale 1.67
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.40%60.08%60.20%61.58%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.511.581.571.6766.23%63.46%63.69%59.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Alexei Popyrin (Local) : 39.83% ; Alejandro Tabilo (Visiteur) : 60.17%. Pour Alejandro Tabilo (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.66. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 1.67, soit une espérance positive de +0.488%.
Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV +0.488%E +0.292%K +0.728%G +0.004% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 08:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.52%E -1.56%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-03 18:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -8.00%E -3.46%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -2.52%E -1.56%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 18:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.52%E -1.56%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.12%E -1.94%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.12%E -1.94%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-03 12:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.12%E -1.94%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-03 12:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -4.81%E -2.01%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -3.12%E -1.94%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-03 15:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.12%E -1.94%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.12%E -1.94%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.12%E -1.94%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-03 14:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-03 09:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -6.01%E -2.55%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-03 10:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 15:53 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 18:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.33%E -2.72%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 13:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.77%EV -8.00%E -3.46%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.23%EV -4.33%E -2.72%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.33%E -2.72%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 18:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -3.62%E -1.49%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -4.93%E -3.12%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 10:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.93%E -3.12%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.93%E -3.12%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 14:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.93%E -3.12%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 18:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.93%E -3.12%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 09:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.93%E -3.12%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 15:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -7.60%E -3.28%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -4.93%E -3.12%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -7.60%E -3.28%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -4.93%E -3.12%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-03 18:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-03 18:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.62%E -1.49%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 10:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 13:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 12:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 12:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 10:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.21%E -2.19%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 10:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.21%E -2.19%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 10:23 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.21%E -2.19%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 10:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.21%E -2.19%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 10:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 10:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 08:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.431%E -0.172%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.13%E -3.93%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-03 18:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.13%E -3.93%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-03 10:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.13%E -3.93%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 12:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.13%E -3.93%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 18:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.13%E -3.93%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 14:22 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 10:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 10:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 10:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 10:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 10:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 10:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 10:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 10:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 10:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 10:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 10:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 10:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 10:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 10:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -5.61%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 12:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -5.61%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 12:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -5.61%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.50%EV -2.02%E -0.823%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.50%EV -7.33%E -4.76%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 12:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -9.14%E -6.05%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-03 10:20 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10% | 0.2% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10% | 0.2% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10% | 0.2% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-09-03 18:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-09-03 18:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-09-03 13:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53% | 1.3% | 2026-09-03 18:36 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15% | 2.0% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |