Idioma:Español
Alexei Popyrin v Alejandro Tabilo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Alexei Popyrin (Local)
Predicción 39.83%2.51momio equitativo
EV -0.431%
Ventaja -0.172%
Kelly -0.287%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.42%39.92%39.80%42.60%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.392.402.5044.44%41.79%41.67%40.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Alejandro Tabilo (Visitante)
Predicción 60.17%1.66momio equitativo
EV +0.488%
Ventaja +0.292%
Kelly +0.728%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.40%60.08%60.20%61.58%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.511.581.571.6766.23%63.46%63.69%59.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Alexei Popyrin (Local): 39.83%; Alejandro Tabilo (Visitante): 60.17%. Para Alejandro Tabilo (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.66. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.67, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.488%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV +0.488%E +0.292%K +0.728%G +0.004% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 08:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.52%E -1.56%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-03 18:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -8.00%E -3.46%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -2.52%E -1.56%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 18:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.52%E -1.56%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.12%E -1.94%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.12%E -1.94%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-03 12:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.12%E -1.94%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-03 12:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -4.81%E -2.01%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -3.12%E -1.94%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-03 15:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.12%E -1.94%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.12%E -1.94%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.12%E -1.94%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-03 14:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-03 09:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -6.01%E -2.55%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-03 10:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 15:53 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 18:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.33%E -2.72%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 13:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.77%EV -8.00%E -3.46%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.23%EV -4.33%E -2.72%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.33%E -2.72%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 18:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -3.62%E -1.49%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -4.93%E -3.12%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 10:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.93%E -3.12%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.93%E -3.12%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 14:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.93%E -3.12%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 18:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.93%E -3.12%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 09:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.93%E -3.12%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 15:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -7.60%E -3.28%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -4.93%E -3.12%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -7.60%E -3.28%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -4.93%E -3.12%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-03 18:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-03 18:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.62%E -1.49%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 10:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 13:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 12:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 12:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 10:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.21%E -2.19%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 10:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.21%E -2.19%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 10:23 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.21%E -2.19%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 10:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.21%E -2.19%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 10:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 10:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 08:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.431%E -0.172%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.13%E -3.93%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-03 18:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.13%E -3.93%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-03 10:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.13%E -3.93%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 12:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.13%E -3.93%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 18:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.13%E -3.93%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 14:22 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 10:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 10:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 10:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 10:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 10:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 10:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 10:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 10:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 10:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 10:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 10:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 10:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 10:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 10:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -5.61%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 12:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -5.61%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 12:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -5.61%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.50%EV -2.02%E -0.823%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.50%EV -7.33%E -4.76%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 12:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -9.14%E -6.05%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-03 10:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10% | 0.2% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10% | 0.2% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10% | 0.2% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-09-03 18:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-09-03 18:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-09-03 13:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53% | 1.3% | 2026-09-03 18:36 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15% | 2.0% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |