StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Alexei Popyrin v Alejandro Tabilo

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-03 19:00 UTC

Endstand: Alexei Popyrin 1–3 Alejandro Tabilo

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

65 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Alexei Popyrin (Heim)

Prognose 39.83%2.51faire Quote
EV -0.431%
Vorteil -0.172%
Kelly -0.287%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
38.42%39.92%39.80%42.60%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.252.392.402.5044.44%41.79%41.67%40.00%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Alejandro Tabilo (Auswärts)

Prognose 60.17%1.66faire Quote
EV +0.488%
Vorteil +0.292%
Kelly +0.728%
Wachstum +0.004%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.67

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
57.40%60.08%60.20%61.58%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.511.581.571.6766.23%63.46%63.69%59.88%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Alexei Popyrin (Heim): 39.83%; Alejandro Tabilo (Auswärts): 60.17%. Für Alejandro Tabilo (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 1.66. 1 Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 1.67 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +0.488%.

Wettanbieterquoten (65 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV +0.488%E +0.292%K +0.728%G +0.004%4.3%2026-09-02 08:00
Pinnacle🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.52%E -1.56%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-03 18:30
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -8.00%E -3.46%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -2.52%E -1.56%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 18:35
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.52%E -1.56%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 18:25
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.12%E -1.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-03 18:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.12%E -1.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-03 12:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.12%E -1.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-03 12:50
ReBet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -4.81%E -2.01%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -3.12%E -1.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-03 15:20
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.12%E -1.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.12%E -1.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 18:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.12%E -1.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 18:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-03 14:34
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 09:55
MyBookie.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -6.01%E -2.55%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 10:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 10:30
TAB🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 15:53
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 18:35
BetAnything🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.33%E -2.72%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 13:25
GTbets🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.77%EV -8.00%E -3.46%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.23%EV -4.33%E -2.72%K -7.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 10:30
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.33%E -2.72%K -7.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 18:30
FanDuel🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -3.62%E -1.49%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -4.93%E -3.12%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 10:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.93%E -3.12%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 10:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.93%E -3.12%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:34
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.93%E -3.12%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 18:35
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.93%E -3.12%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 09:35
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.93%E -3.12%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 15:50
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -7.60%E -3.28%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -4.93%E -3.12%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 10:30
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -7.60%E -3.28%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -4.93%E -3.12%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 10:30
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 18:09
BetUS🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 18:29
SportsBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.62%E -1.49%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 10:45
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:20
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 12:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 12:55
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 10:50
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.21%E -2.19%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 10:00
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.21%E -2.19%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 10:23
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.21%E -2.19%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 10:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.21%E -2.19%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 10:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 10:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 08:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.431%E -0.172%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.13%E -3.93%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 18:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.13%E -3.93%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 10:20
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.13%E -3.93%K -10.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 12:54
Fliff🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.13%E -3.93%K -10.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 18:35
Caesars🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.13%E -3.93%K -10.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 14:22
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 10:20
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 10:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 10:20
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 10:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 10:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 10:20
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 10:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 10:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 10:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 10:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 10:20
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 10:20
Bally Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 10:20
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 10:20
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -5.61%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 12:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -5.61%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 12:55
NetBet (FR)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -5.61%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 18:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.50%EV -2.02%E -0.823%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.50%EV -7.33%E -4.76%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 12:45
PMU (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -9.14%E -6.05%K -17.92%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-03 10:20
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (8)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%0.2%2026-09-03 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%0.2%2026-09-03 18:25
Matchbook◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%0.2%2026-09-03 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-09-03 18:35
ProphetX◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-09-03 18:35
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-09-03 13:00
Novig◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%1.3%2026-09-03 18:36
Smarkets◎2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%2.0%2026-09-03 18:20