Language:English
Alexander Bublik v Adrian Mannarino
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alexander Bublik (Local)
Prediction 74.46%1.34fair odd
EV -3.21%
Edge -2.47%
Kelly -10.69%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.35%74.38%74.63%76.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.271.261.3081.97%78.72%79.37%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Adrian Mannarino (Visit)
Prediction 25.54%3.91fair odd
EV +4.73%
Edge +1.15%
Kelly +1.52%
Growth +0.072%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.22%25.62%25.37%27.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.763.804.1029.85%26.61%26.32%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alexander Bublik (Local): 74.46%; Adrian Mannarino (Visit): 25.54%. For Adrian Mannarino (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.91. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.73%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -7.67%E -6.19%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +4.73%E +1.15%K +1.52%G +0.072% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -6.93%E -5.54%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV +2.43%E +0.606%K +0.807%G +0.020% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 23:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.44%E -4.28%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +2.17%E +0.543%K +0.724%G +0.016% | 3.7% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +2.17%E +0.543%K +0.724%G +0.016% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 18:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.93%E -5.54%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.17%E +0.543%K +0.724%G +0.016% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.93%E -5.54%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.17%E +0.543%K +0.724%G +0.016% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.93%E -5.54%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.17%E +0.543%K +0.724%G +0.016% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 23:23 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.93%E -5.54%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.17%E +0.543%K +0.724%G +0.016% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 19:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.43%EV -3.21%E -2.47%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.57%EV +1.92%E +0.481%K +0.641%G +0.012% | 2.0% | 2026-09-02 14:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.00%EV -3.21%E -2.47%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.00%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-02 19:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 18:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -9.16%E -7.51%K -41.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-02 23:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.70%E -3.67%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -1.66%E -0.431%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.70%E -3.67%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -1.66%E -0.431%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.44%E -4.28%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -1.66%E -0.431%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 21:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.94%E -0.773%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 18:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -2.94%E -0.773%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 19:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.93%E -5.54%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.94%E -0.773%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 18:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.93%E -5.54%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.94%E -0.773%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 09:41 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -8.42%E -6.84%K -36.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -2.94%E -0.773%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.21%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.21%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.21%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 23:26 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.21%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 23:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.93%E -5.54%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.21%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 10:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.93%E -5.54%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.21%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 08:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.93%E -5.54%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.21%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.16%E -7.51%K -41.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -4.21%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.49%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 23:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.70%E -3.67%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -6.77%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 19:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.67%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.33%EV -7.79%E -2.16%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.04%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 18:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.04%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 18:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.04%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 18:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.04%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.04%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 18:21 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.61%EV -4.70%E -3.67%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.39%EV -8.81%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-02 23:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.21%E -2.47%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.21%E -2.47%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.21%E -2.47%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.21%E -2.47%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 18:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.21%E -2.47%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 18:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.70%E -3.67%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.70%E -3.67%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 18:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.21%E -2.47%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.88%E -3.44%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.21%E -2.47%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.88%E -3.44%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.21%E -2.47%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.88%E -3.44%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.33%EV -12.39%E -3.61%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.33%EV -12.39%E -3.61%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -4.70%E -3.67%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -14.43%E -4.31%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.56% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 24.44% | 0.3% | 2026-09-02 23:36 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 23:26 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07% | 1.3% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 1.9% | 2026-09-02 21:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.21% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.79% | 2.5% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |