Langue:Français
Alexander Bublik v Adrian Mannarino
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Alexander Bublik (Local)
Prévision 74.46%1.34cote équitable
EV -3.21%
Avantage -2.47%
Kelly -10.69%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.35%74.38%74.63%76.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.221.271.261.3081.97%78.72%79.37%76.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Adrian Mannarino (Visiteur)
Prévision 25.54%3.91cote équitable
EV +4.73%
Avantage +1.15%
Kelly +1.52%
Croissance +0.072%
avec la cote maximale 4.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.22%25.62%25.37%27.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.353.763.804.1029.85%26.61%26.32%24.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Alexander Bublik (Local) : 74.46% ; Adrian Mannarino (Visiteur) : 25.54%. Pour Adrian Mannarino (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.91. 9 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.10, soit une espérance positive de +4.73%.
Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -7.67%E -6.19%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +4.73%E +1.15%K +1.52%G +0.072% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -6.93%E -5.54%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV +2.43%E +0.606%K +0.807%G +0.020% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 23:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.44%E -4.28%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +2.17%E +0.543%K +0.724%G +0.016% | 3.7% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +2.17%E +0.543%K +0.724%G +0.016% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 18:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.93%E -5.54%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.17%E +0.543%K +0.724%G +0.016% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.93%E -5.54%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.17%E +0.543%K +0.724%G +0.016% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.93%E -5.54%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.17%E +0.543%K +0.724%G +0.016% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 23:23 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.93%E -5.54%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.17%E +0.543%K +0.724%G +0.016% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 19:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.43%EV -3.21%E -2.47%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.57%EV +1.92%E +0.481%K +0.641%G +0.012% | 2.0% | 2026-09-02 14:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.00%EV -3.21%E -2.47%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.00%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-02 19:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 18:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -9.16%E -7.51%K -41.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-02 23:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.70%E -3.67%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -1.66%E -0.431%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.70%E -3.67%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -1.66%E -0.431%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.44%E -4.28%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -1.66%E -0.431%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 21:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.94%E -0.773%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 18:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -2.94%E -0.773%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 19:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.93%E -5.54%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.94%E -0.773%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 18:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.93%E -5.54%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.94%E -0.773%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 09:41 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -8.42%E -6.84%K -36.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -2.94%E -0.773%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.21%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.21%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.21%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 23:26 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.21%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 23:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.93%E -5.54%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.21%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 10:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.93%E -5.54%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.21%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 08:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.93%E -5.54%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.21%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.16%E -7.51%K -41.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -4.21%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.49%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 23:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.70%E -3.67%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -6.77%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 19:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.67%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.33%EV -7.79%E -2.16%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.04%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 18:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.04%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 18:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.04%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 18:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.04%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.04%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 18:21 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.61%EV -4.70%E -3.67%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.39%EV -8.81%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-02 23:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.21%E -2.47%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.21%E -2.47%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.21%E -2.47%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.21%E -2.47%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 18:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.21%E -2.47%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 18:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.70%E -3.67%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.70%E -3.67%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 18:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.21%E -2.47%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.88%E -3.44%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.21%E -2.47%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.88%E -3.44%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.21%E -2.47%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.88%E -3.44%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.33%EV -12.39%E -3.61%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.33%EV -12.39%E -3.61%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -4.70%E -3.67%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -14.43%E -4.31%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.56% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 24.44% | 0.3% | 2026-09-02 23:36 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 23:26 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07% | 1.3% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 1.9% | 2026-09-02 21:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.21% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.79% | 2.5% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |