Język:Polski
Alexander Bublik v Adrian Mannarino
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Alexander Bublik (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 74.46%1.34kurs godziwy
EV -3.21%
Przewaga -2.47%
Kelly -10.69%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.30
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
72.35%74.38%74.63%76.78%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.221.271.261.3081.97%78.72%79.37%76.92%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Adrian Mannarino (Goście)
Prognoza 25.54%3.91kurs godziwy
EV +4.73%
Przewaga +1.15%
Kelly +1.52%
Wzrost +0.072%
przy maksymalnym kursie 4.10
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
23.22%25.62%25.37%27.65%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.353.763.804.1029.85%26.61%26.32%24.39%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Alexander Bublik (Gospodarze): 74.46%; Adrian Mannarino (Goście): 25.54%. Dla wyniku Adrian Mannarino (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.91. 9 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 4.10, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +4.73%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (64 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -7.67%E -6.19%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +4.73%E +1.15%K +1.52%G +0.072% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -6.93%E -5.54%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV +2.43%E +0.606%K +0.807%G +0.020% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 23:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.44%E -4.28%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +2.17%E +0.543%K +0.724%G +0.016% | 3.7% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +2.17%E +0.543%K +0.724%G +0.016% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 18:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.93%E -5.54%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.17%E +0.543%K +0.724%G +0.016% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.93%E -5.54%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.17%E +0.543%K +0.724%G +0.016% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.93%E -5.54%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.17%E +0.543%K +0.724%G +0.016% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 23:23 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.93%E -5.54%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.17%E +0.543%K +0.724%G +0.016% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 19:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.43%EV -3.21%E -2.47%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.57%EV +1.92%E +0.481%K +0.641%G +0.012% | 2.0% | 2026-09-02 14:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.00%EV -3.21%E -2.47%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.00%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-02 19:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 18:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -9.16%E -7.51%K -41.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-02 23:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.70%E -3.67%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -1.66%E -0.431%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.70%E -3.67%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -1.66%E -0.431%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.44%E -4.28%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -1.66%E -0.431%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 21:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.94%E -0.773%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 18:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -2.94%E -0.773%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 19:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.93%E -5.54%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.94%E -0.773%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 18:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.93%E -5.54%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.94%E -0.773%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 09:41 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -8.42%E -6.84%K -36.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -2.94%E -0.773%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.21%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.21%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.21%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 23:26 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.21%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 23:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.93%E -5.54%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.21%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 10:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.93%E -5.54%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.21%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 08:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.93%E -5.54%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.21%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.16%E -7.51%K -41.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -4.21%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.49%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 23:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.70%E -3.67%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -6.77%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 19:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.67%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.33%EV -7.79%E -2.16%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.04%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 18:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.04%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 18:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.04%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 18:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.04%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.04%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 18:21 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.61%EV -4.70%E -3.67%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.39%EV -8.81%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-02 23:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.21%E -2.47%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.21%E -2.47%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.21%E -2.47%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.21%E -2.47%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 18:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.21%E -2.47%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 18:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.70%E -3.67%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.70%E -3.67%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 18:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.21%E -2.47%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.88%E -3.44%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.21%E -2.47%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.88%E -3.44%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.21%E -2.47%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.88%E -3.44%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.33%EV -12.39%E -3.61%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.33%EV -12.39%E -3.61%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -4.70%E -3.67%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -14.43%E -4.31%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (8)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.56% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 24.44% | 0.3% | 2026-09-02 23:36 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 23:26 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07% | 1.3% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 1.9% | 2026-09-02 21:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.21% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.79% | 2.5% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |