Lingua:Italiano
Alexander Bublik v Adrian Mannarino
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Alexander Bublik (Casa)
Previsione 74.46%1.34quota equa
EV -3.21%
Vantaggio -2.47%
Kelly -10.69%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.30
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
72.35%74.38%74.63%76.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.221.271.261.3081.97%78.72%79.37%76.92%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Adrian Mannarino (Trasferta)
Previsione 25.54%3.91quota equa
EV +4.73%
Vantaggio +1.15%
Kelly +1.52%
Crescita +0.072%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.10
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.22%25.62%25.37%27.65%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.353.763.804.1029.85%26.61%26.32%24.39%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Alexander Bublik (Casa): 74.46%; Adrian Mannarino (Trasferta): 25.54%. Per Adrian Mannarino (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.91. 9 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 4.10, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +4.73%.
Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -7.67%E -6.19%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +4.73%E +1.15%K +1.52%G +0.072% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -6.93%E -5.54%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV +2.43%E +0.606%K +0.807%G +0.020% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 23:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.44%E -4.28%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +2.17%E +0.543%K +0.724%G +0.016% | 3.7% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +2.17%E +0.543%K +0.724%G +0.016% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 18:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.93%E -5.54%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.17%E +0.543%K +0.724%G +0.016% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.93%E -5.54%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.17%E +0.543%K +0.724%G +0.016% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.93%E -5.54%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.17%E +0.543%K +0.724%G +0.016% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 23:23 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.93%E -5.54%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.17%E +0.543%K +0.724%G +0.016% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 19:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.43%EV -3.21%E -2.47%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.57%EV +1.92%E +0.481%K +0.641%G +0.012% | 2.0% | 2026-09-02 14:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.00%EV -3.21%E -2.47%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.00%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-02 19:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 18:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -9.16%E -7.51%K -41.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-02 23:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.70%E -3.67%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -1.66%E -0.431%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.70%E -3.67%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -1.66%E -0.431%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.44%E -4.28%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -1.66%E -0.431%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 21:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.94%E -0.773%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 18:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -2.94%E -0.773%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 19:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.93%E -5.54%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.94%E -0.773%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 18:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.93%E -5.54%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.94%E -0.773%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 09:41 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -8.42%E -6.84%K -36.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -2.94%E -0.773%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.21%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.21%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.21%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 23:26 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.21%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 23:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.93%E -5.54%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.21%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 10:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.93%E -5.54%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.21%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 08:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.93%E -5.54%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.21%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.16%E -7.51%K -41.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -4.21%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.49%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 23:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.70%E -3.67%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -6.77%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 19:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.67%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.33%EV -7.79%E -2.16%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.04%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 18:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.04%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 18:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.04%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 18:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.04%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.04%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 18:21 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.61%EV -4.70%E -3.67%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.39%EV -8.81%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-02 23:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.21%E -2.47%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.21%E -2.47%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.21%E -2.47%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.21%E -2.47%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 18:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.21%E -2.47%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 18:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.70%E -3.67%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.70%E -3.67%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 18:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.21%E -2.47%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.88%E -3.44%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.21%E -2.47%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.88%E -3.44%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.21%E -2.47%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.88%E -3.44%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.33%EV -12.39%E -3.61%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.33%EV -12.39%E -3.61%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -4.70%E -3.67%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -14.43%E -4.31%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (8)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.56% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 24.44% | 0.3% | 2026-09-02 23:36 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 23:26 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07% | 1.3% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 1.9% | 2026-09-02 21:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.21% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.79% | 2.5% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |