Idioma:Español
Alexander Bublik v Adrian Mannarino
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Alexander Bublik (Local)
Predicción 74.46%1.34momio equitativo
EV -3.21%
Ventaja -2.47%
Kelly -10.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
72.35%74.38%74.63%76.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.221.271.261.3081.97%78.72%79.37%76.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Adrian Mannarino (Visitante)
Predicción 25.54%3.91momio equitativo
EV +4.73%
Ventaja +1.15%
Kelly +1.52%
Crecimiento +0.072%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.22%25.62%25.37%27.65%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.353.763.804.1029.85%26.61%26.32%24.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Alexander Bublik (Local): 74.46%; Adrian Mannarino (Visitante): 25.54%. Para Adrian Mannarino (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.91. 9 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.10, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.73%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -7.67%E -6.19%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +4.73%E +1.15%K +1.52%G +0.072% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -6.93%E -5.54%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV +2.43%E +0.606%K +0.807%G +0.020% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 23:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.44%E -4.28%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +2.17%E +0.543%K +0.724%G +0.016% | 3.7% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +2.17%E +0.543%K +0.724%G +0.016% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 18:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.93%E -5.54%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.17%E +0.543%K +0.724%G +0.016% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.93%E -5.54%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.17%E +0.543%K +0.724%G +0.016% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.93%E -5.54%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.17%E +0.543%K +0.724%G +0.016% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 23:23 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.93%E -5.54%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.17%E +0.543%K +0.724%G +0.016% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 19:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.43%EV -3.21%E -2.47%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.57%EV +1.92%E +0.481%K +0.641%G +0.012% | 2.0% | 2026-09-02 14:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.00%EV -3.21%E -2.47%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.00%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-02 19:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 18:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -9.16%E -7.51%K -41.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -0.382%E -0.098%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-02 23:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.70%E -3.67%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -1.66%E -0.431%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.70%E -3.67%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -1.66%E -0.431%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.44%E -4.28%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -1.66%E -0.431%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 21:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.94%E -0.773%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 18:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -2.94%E -0.773%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 19:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.93%E -5.54%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.94%E -0.773%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 18:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.93%E -5.54%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.94%E -0.773%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 09:41 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -8.42%E -6.84%K -36.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -2.94%E -0.773%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.21%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.21%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.21%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 23:26 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.21%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 23:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.93%E -5.54%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.21%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 10:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.93%E -5.54%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.21%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 08:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.93%E -5.54%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.21%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.16%E -7.51%K -41.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -4.21%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.49%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 23:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.70%E -3.67%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -6.77%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 19:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.67%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.33%EV -7.79%E -2.16%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.04%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 18:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.04%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 18:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.04%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 18:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.04%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.04%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 18:21 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.61%EV -4.70%E -3.67%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.39%EV -8.81%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-02 23:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.21%E -2.47%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.21%E -2.47%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.21%E -2.47%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.21%E -2.47%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 18:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.21%E -2.47%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 18:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.70%E -3.67%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.70%E -3.67%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 18:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.21%E -2.47%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.88%E -3.44%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.21%E -2.47%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.88%E -3.44%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.21%E -2.47%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.88%E -3.44%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.33%EV -12.39%E -3.61%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.33%EV -12.39%E -3.61%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -4.70%E -3.67%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -14.43%E -4.31%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.56% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 24.44% | 0.3% | 2026-09-02 23:36 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 23:26 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07% | 1.3% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 1.9% | 2026-09-02 21:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.21% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.79% | 2.5% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |