Language:English
Alexander Blockx v Marco Trungelliti
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alexander Blockx (Local)
Prediction 83.33%1.20fair odd
EV -0.835%
Edge -0.701%
Kelly -4.39%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.19
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.79%83.17%83.46%84.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.141.131.1990.91%87.96%88.50%84.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Marco Trungelliti (Visit)
Prediction 16.67%6.00fair odd
EV +4.17%
Edge +0.668%
Kelly +0.795%
Growth +0.033%
assuming max odds 6.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.43%16.83%16.54%19.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.925.675.586.2520.33%17.64%17.92%16.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alexander Blockx (Local): 83.33%; Marco Trungelliti (Visit): 16.67%. For Marco Trungelliti (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.00. 23 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.17%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -5.00%E -4.39%K -35.72%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV +4.17%E +0.668%K +0.795%G +0.033% | 3.7% | 2026-09-03 19:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 19:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 19:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 19:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 19:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 19:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 19:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 19:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 19:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 19:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 19:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 19:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -5.83%E -5.16%K -44.88%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV +0.839%E +0.139%K +0.166%G +0.001% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 19:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%EV -3.33%E -2.87%K -20.84%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV +0.006%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-03 19:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.00%E -4.39%K -35.72%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +0.006%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-03 19:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.83%E -5.16%K -44.88%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +0.006%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 19:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.83%E -5.16%K -44.88%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +0.006%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 19:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +0.006%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 19:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +0.006%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 18:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -8.33%E -7.58%K -83.34%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV +0.006%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-03 19:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.71%EV -3.33%E -2.87%K -20.84%G +0.000% | 5.96I 16.78%NM 16.29%EV -0.661%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-03 19:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.18%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000% | 5.96I 16.78%NM 15.82%EV -0.661%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 19:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.88%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000% | 5.83I 17.15%NM 16.12%EV -2.83%E -0.485%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 19:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -3.33%E -0.574%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 19:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.83%E -5.16%K -44.88%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -4.16%E -0.724%K -0.876%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 19:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.83%E -5.16%K -44.88%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -4.16%E -0.724%K -0.876%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 19:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -5.83%E -5.16%K -44.88%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -4.99%E -0.876%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 03:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.79%EV -3.33%E -2.87%K -20.84%G +0.000% | 5.58I 17.92%NM 17.21%EV -6.99%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-03 19:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.79%EV -3.33%E -2.87%K -20.84%G +0.000% | 5.58I 17.92%NM 17.21%EV -6.99%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-03 19:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -4.17%E -3.62%K -27.79%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV -7.49%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 19:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.08%EV -5.83%E -5.16%K -44.88%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 16.92%EV -7.49%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 19:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.32%EV -0.835%E -0.701%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.54I 18.05%NM 17.68%EV -7.66%E -1.38%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-03 19:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.17%E -3.62%K -27.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 19:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.17%E -3.62%K -27.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 19:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.17%E -3.62%K -27.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 19:08 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.00%E -4.39%K -35.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 19:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.00%E -4.39%K -35.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 19:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.00%E -4.39%K -35.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 19:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.00%E -4.39%K -35.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.00%E -4.39%K -35.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 19:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.00%E -4.39%K -35.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 19:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.83%E -5.16%K -44.88%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 19:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.83%E -5.16%K -44.88%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 19:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.83%E -5.16%K -44.88%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 19:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.83%E -5.16%K -44.88%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 19:11 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-03 19:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -7.50%E -6.76%K -68.19%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-03 19:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.17%E -3.62%K -27.79%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -9.99%E -1.85%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 19:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.17%E -3.62%K -27.79%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -9.99%E -1.85%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 19:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -3.33%E -2.87%K -20.84%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -12.49%E -2.38%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 19:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.17%E -3.62%K -27.79%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -12.49%E -2.38%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -3.33%E -2.87%K -20.84%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -14.99%E -2.94%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 19:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.99%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -14.99%E -2.94%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-03 19:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.50%E -2.14%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.66%E -3.33%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 06:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.50%E -2.14%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.66%E -3.33%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 06:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.50%E -2.14%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.66%E -3.33%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 23:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.50%E -2.14%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.66%E -3.33%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 23:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.17%E -3.62%K -27.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -16.66%E -3.33%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 19:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.00%E -4.39%K -35.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -16.66%E -3.33%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-03 19:02 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.79%EV -2.50%E -2.14%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 4.92I 20.33%NM 19.21%EV -18.00%E -3.66%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 19:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.59% | 6.06I 16.50%NM 16.41% | 0.5% | 2026-09-03 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 19:11 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 19:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 19:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83% | 1.0% | 2026-09-03 19:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43% | 1.4% | 2026-09-03 19:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20% | 2.9% | 2026-09-03 19:15 |