StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Alexander Blockx v Marco Trungelliti

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-03 19:18 UTC

Endstand: Alexander Blockx 3–1 Marco Trungelliti

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

63 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Alexander Blockx (Heim)

Prognose 83.33%1.20faire Quote
EV -0.835%
Vorteil -0.701%
Kelly -4.39%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.19

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
80.79%83.17%83.46%84.57%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.101.141.131.1990.91%87.96%88.50%84.03%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Marco Trungelliti (Auswärts)

Prognose 16.67%6.00faire Quote
EV +4.17%
Vorteil +0.668%
Kelly +0.795%
Wachstum +0.033%

bei einer Höchstquote von 6.25

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
15.43%16.83%16.54%19.21%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.925.675.586.2520.33%17.64%17.92%16.00%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Alexander Blockx (Heim): 83.33%; Marco Trungelliti (Auswärts): 16.67%. Für Marco Trungelliti (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 6.00. 23 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 6.25 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +4.17%.

Wettanbieterquoten (63 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Winamax (DE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -5.00%E -4.39%K -35.72%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV +4.17%E +0.668%K +0.795%G +0.033%3.7%2026-09-03 19:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005%5.7%2026-09-03 19:00
Unibet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005%5.7%2026-09-03 19:00
TABtouch🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005%5.7%2026-09-03 19:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005%5.7%2026-09-03 19:00
BetRivers🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005%5.7%2026-09-03 19:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005%5.7%2026-09-03 19:00
Casumo🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005%5.7%2026-09-03 19:00
Grosvenor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005%5.7%2026-09-03 19:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005%5.7%2026-09-03 19:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005%5.7%2026-09-03 19:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005%5.7%2026-09-03 19:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005%5.7%2026-09-03 19:00
betPARX🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005%5.7%2026-09-03 19:00
Bally Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005%5.7%2026-09-03 19:00
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -5.83%E -5.16%K -44.88%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV +0.839%E +0.139%K +0.166%G +0.001%5.0%2026-09-03 19:10
Coolbet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%EV -3.33%E -2.87%K -20.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV +0.006%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-03 19:05
FanDuel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.00%E -4.39%K -35.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +0.006%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 19:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.83%E -5.16%K -44.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +0.006%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 19:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.83%E -5.16%K -44.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +0.006%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 19:15
Fanatics🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +0.006%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 19:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +0.006%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 18:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -8.33%E -7.58%K -83.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV +0.006%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 19:00
Pinnacle🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.71%EV -3.33%E -2.87%K -20.84%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 16.29%EV -0.661%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-03 19:15
NordicBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.18%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 15.82%EV -0.661%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 19:14
Betsson🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.88%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000%5.83I 17.15%NM 16.12%EV -2.83%E -0.485%K -0.585%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 19:15
ReBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -3.33%E -0.574%K -0.693%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 19:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.83%E -5.16%K -44.88%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -4.16%E -0.724%K -0.876%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 19:15
theScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.83%E -5.16%K -44.88%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -4.16%E -0.724%K -0.876%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 19:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -5.83%E -5.16%K -44.88%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -4.99%E -0.876%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 03:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.79%EV -3.33%E -2.87%K -20.84%G +0.000%5.58I 17.92%NM 17.21%EV -6.99%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 19:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.79%EV -3.33%E -2.87%K -20.84%G +0.000%5.58I 17.92%NM 17.21%EV -6.99%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 19:05
1xBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -4.17%E -3.62%K -27.79%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV -7.49%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 19:10
Fliff🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.08%EV -5.83%E -5.16%K -44.88%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.92%EV -7.49%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 19:15
GTbets🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 82.32%EV -0.835%E -0.701%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.54I 18.05%NM 17.68%EV -7.66%E -1.38%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-03 19:10
Betway🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.17%E -3.62%K -27.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 19:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.17%E -3.62%K -27.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 19:14
Bovada🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.17%E -3.62%K -27.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 19:08
betfred_uk🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.00%E -4.39%K -35.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 19:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.00%E -4.39%K -35.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 19:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.00%E -4.39%K -35.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 19:05
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.00%E -4.39%K -35.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 18:30
betano_uk🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.00%E -4.39%K -35.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 19:05
BetMGM🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.00%E -4.39%K -35.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 19:15
Sky Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.83%E -5.16%K -44.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 19:10
Coral🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.83%E -5.16%K -44.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 19:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.83%E -5.16%K -44.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 19:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.83%E -5.16%K -44.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 19:11
Paddy Power🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-03 19:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -7.50%E -6.76%K -68.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-03 19:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.17%E -3.62%K -27.79%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -9.99%E -1.85%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 19:15
Neds🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.17%E -3.62%K -27.79%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -9.99%E -1.85%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 19:15
PlayUp🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -3.33%E -2.87%K -20.84%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -12.49%E -2.38%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 19:05
BetUS🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.17%E -3.62%K -27.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -12.49%E -2.38%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 18:25
BetAnything🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -3.33%E -2.87%K -20.84%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -14.99%E -2.94%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 19:05
LeoVegas🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.99%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -14.99%E -2.94%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-03 19:15
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.50%E -2.14%K -14.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.66%E -3.33%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 06:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.50%E -2.14%K -14.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.66%E -3.33%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 06:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.50%E -2.14%K -14.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.66%E -3.33%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 23:50
William Hill🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.50%E -2.14%K -14.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.66%E -3.33%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 23:49
TAB🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.17%E -3.62%K -27.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -16.66%E -3.33%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 19:05
Caesars🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.00%E -4.39%K -35.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -16.66%E -3.33%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 19:02
DraftKings🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.79%EV -2.50%E -2.14%K -14.71%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 19.21%EV -18.00%E -3.66%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 19:10
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (8)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Novig◎1.19I 84.03%NM 83.59%6.06I 16.50%NM 16.41%0.5%2026-09-03 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-09-03 19:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-09-03 19:11
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-09-03 19:10
Matchbook◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-09-03 19:15
Kalshi◎1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.0%2026-09-03 19:00
ProphetX◎1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43%1.4%2026-09-03 19:10
Smarkets◎1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%2.9%2026-09-03 19:15