StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Alexander Blockx v Marco Trungelliti

Matchstart: 2026-09-03 19:18 UTC

Slutresultat: Alexander Blockx 3–1 Marco Trungelliti

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

63 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Alexander Blockx (Hemma)

Prognos 83.33%1.20rättvist odds
EV -0.835%
Fördel -0.701%
Kelly -4.39%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.19

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
80.79%83.17%83.46%84.57%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.101.141.131.1990.91%87.96%88.50%84.03%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Marco Trungelliti (Borta)

Prognos 16.67%6.00rättvist odds
EV +4.17%
Fördel +0.668%
Kelly +0.795%
Tillväxt +0.033%

med antagandet om högsta odds 6.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
15.43%16.83%16.54%19.21%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.925.675.586.2520.33%17.64%17.92%16.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Alexander Blockx (Hemma): 83.33%; Marco Trungelliti (Borta): 16.67%. För Marco Trungelliti (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 6.00. 23 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 6.25, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +4.17%.

Spelbolagsodds (63 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Winamax (DE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -5.00%E -4.39%K -35.72%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV +4.17%E +0.668%K +0.795%G +0.033%3.7%2026-09-03 19:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005%5.7%2026-09-03 19:00
Unibet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005%5.7%2026-09-03 19:00
TABtouch🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005%5.7%2026-09-03 19:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005%5.7%2026-09-03 19:00
BetRivers🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005%5.7%2026-09-03 19:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005%5.7%2026-09-03 19:00
Casumo🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005%5.7%2026-09-03 19:00
Grosvenor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005%5.7%2026-09-03 19:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005%5.7%2026-09-03 19:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005%5.7%2026-09-03 19:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005%5.7%2026-09-03 19:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005%5.7%2026-09-03 19:00
betPARX🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005%5.7%2026-09-03 19:00
Bally Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005%5.7%2026-09-03 19:00
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -5.83%E -5.16%K -44.88%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV +0.839%E +0.139%K +0.166%G +0.001%5.0%2026-09-03 19:10
Coolbet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%EV -3.33%E -2.87%K -20.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV +0.006%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-03 19:05
FanDuel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.00%E -4.39%K -35.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +0.006%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 19:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.83%E -5.16%K -44.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +0.006%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 19:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.83%E -5.16%K -44.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +0.006%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 19:15
Fanatics🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +0.006%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 19:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +0.006%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 18:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -8.33%E -7.58%K -83.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV +0.006%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 19:00
Pinnacle🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.71%EV -3.33%E -2.87%K -20.84%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 16.29%EV -0.661%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-03 19:15
NordicBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.18%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 15.82%EV -0.661%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 19:14
Betsson🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.88%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000%5.83I 17.15%NM 16.12%EV -2.83%E -0.485%K -0.585%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 19:15
ReBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -3.33%E -0.574%K -0.693%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 19:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.83%E -5.16%K -44.88%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -4.16%E -0.724%K -0.876%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 19:15
theScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.83%E -5.16%K -44.88%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -4.16%E -0.724%K -0.876%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 19:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -5.83%E -5.16%K -44.88%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -4.99%E -0.876%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 03:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.79%EV -3.33%E -2.87%K -20.84%G +0.000%5.58I 17.92%NM 17.21%EV -6.99%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 19:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.79%EV -3.33%E -2.87%K -20.84%G +0.000%5.58I 17.92%NM 17.21%EV -6.99%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 19:05
1xBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -4.17%E -3.62%K -27.79%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV -7.49%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 19:10
Fliff🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.08%EV -5.83%E -5.16%K -44.88%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.92%EV -7.49%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 19:15
GTbets🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 82.32%EV -0.835%E -0.701%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.54I 18.05%NM 17.68%EV -7.66%E -1.38%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-03 19:10
Betway🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.17%E -3.62%K -27.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 19:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.17%E -3.62%K -27.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 19:14
Bovada🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.17%E -3.62%K -27.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 19:08
betfred_uk🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.00%E -4.39%K -35.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 19:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.00%E -4.39%K -35.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 19:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.00%E -4.39%K -35.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 19:05
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.00%E -4.39%K -35.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 18:30
betano_uk🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.00%E -4.39%K -35.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 19:05
BetMGM🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.00%E -4.39%K -35.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 19:15
Sky Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.83%E -5.16%K -44.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 19:10
Coral🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.83%E -5.16%K -44.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 19:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.83%E -5.16%K -44.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 19:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.83%E -5.16%K -44.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 19:11
Paddy Power🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-03 19:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -7.50%E -6.76%K -68.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-03 19:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.17%E -3.62%K -27.79%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -9.99%E -1.85%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 19:15
Neds🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.17%E -3.62%K -27.79%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -9.99%E -1.85%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 19:15
PlayUp🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -3.33%E -2.87%K -20.84%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -12.49%E -2.38%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 19:05
BetUS🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.17%E -3.62%K -27.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -12.49%E -2.38%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 18:25
BetAnything🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -3.33%E -2.87%K -20.84%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -14.99%E -2.94%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 19:05
LeoVegas🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.99%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -14.99%E -2.94%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-03 19:15
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.50%E -2.14%K -14.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.66%E -3.33%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 06:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.50%E -2.14%K -14.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.66%E -3.33%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 06:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.50%E -2.14%K -14.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.66%E -3.33%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 23:50
William Hill🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.50%E -2.14%K -14.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.66%E -3.33%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 23:49
TAB🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.17%E -3.62%K -27.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -16.66%E -3.33%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 19:05
Caesars🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.00%E -4.39%K -35.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -16.66%E -3.33%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 19:02
DraftKings🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.79%EV -2.50%E -2.14%K -14.71%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 19.21%EV -18.00%E -3.66%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 19:10
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (8)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Novig◎1.19I 84.03%NM 83.59%6.06I 16.50%NM 16.41%0.5%2026-09-03 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-09-03 19:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-09-03 19:11
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-09-03 19:10
Matchbook◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-09-03 19:15
Kalshi◎1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.0%2026-09-03 19:00
ProphetX◎1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43%1.4%2026-09-03 19:10
Smarkets◎1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%2.9%2026-09-03 19:15