Langue:Français
Alexander Blockx v Marco Trungelliti
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Alexander Blockx (Local)
Prévision 83.33%1.20cote équitable
EV -0.835%
Avantage -0.701%
Kelly -4.39%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.19
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
80.79%83.17%83.46%84.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.101.141.131.1990.91%87.96%88.50%84.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Marco Trungelliti (Visiteur)
Prévision 16.67%6.00cote équitable
EV +4.17%
Avantage +0.668%
Kelly +0.795%
Croissance +0.033%
avec la cote maximale 6.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.43%16.83%16.54%19.21%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.925.675.586.2520.33%17.64%17.92%16.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Alexander Blockx (Local) : 83.33% ; Marco Trungelliti (Visiteur) : 16.67%. Pour Marco Trungelliti (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.00. 23 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.25, soit une espérance positive de +4.17%.
Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -5.00%E -4.39%K -35.72%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV +4.17%E +0.668%K +0.795%G +0.033% | 3.7% | 2026-09-03 19:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 19:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 19:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 19:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 19:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 19:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 19:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 19:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 19:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 19:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 19:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 19:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -5.83%E -5.16%K -44.88%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV +0.839%E +0.139%K +0.166%G +0.001% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 19:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%EV -3.33%E -2.87%K -20.84%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV +0.006%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-03 19:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.00%E -4.39%K -35.72%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +0.006%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-03 19:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.83%E -5.16%K -44.88%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +0.006%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 19:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.83%E -5.16%K -44.88%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +0.006%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 19:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +0.006%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 19:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +0.006%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 18:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -8.33%E -7.58%K -83.34%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV +0.006%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-03 19:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.71%EV -3.33%E -2.87%K -20.84%G +0.000% | 5.96I 16.78%NM 16.29%EV -0.661%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-03 19:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.18%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000% | 5.96I 16.78%NM 15.82%EV -0.661%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 19:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.88%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000% | 5.83I 17.15%NM 16.12%EV -2.83%E -0.485%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 19:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -3.33%E -0.574%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 19:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.83%E -5.16%K -44.88%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -4.16%E -0.724%K -0.876%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 19:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.83%E -5.16%K -44.88%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -4.16%E -0.724%K -0.876%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 19:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -5.83%E -5.16%K -44.88%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -4.99%E -0.876%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 03:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.79%EV -3.33%E -2.87%K -20.84%G +0.000% | 5.58I 17.92%NM 17.21%EV -6.99%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-03 19:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.79%EV -3.33%E -2.87%K -20.84%G +0.000% | 5.58I 17.92%NM 17.21%EV -6.99%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-03 19:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -4.17%E -3.62%K -27.79%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV -7.49%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 19:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.08%EV -5.83%E -5.16%K -44.88%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 16.92%EV -7.49%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 19:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.32%EV -0.835%E -0.701%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.54I 18.05%NM 17.68%EV -7.66%E -1.38%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-03 19:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.17%E -3.62%K -27.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 19:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.17%E -3.62%K -27.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 19:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.17%E -3.62%K -27.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 19:08 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.00%E -4.39%K -35.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 19:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.00%E -4.39%K -35.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 19:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.00%E -4.39%K -35.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 19:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.00%E -4.39%K -35.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.00%E -4.39%K -35.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 19:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.00%E -4.39%K -35.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 19:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.83%E -5.16%K -44.88%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 19:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.83%E -5.16%K -44.88%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 19:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.83%E -5.16%K -44.88%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 19:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.83%E -5.16%K -44.88%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 19:11 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-03 19:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -7.50%E -6.76%K -68.19%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-03 19:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.17%E -3.62%K -27.79%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -9.99%E -1.85%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 19:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.17%E -3.62%K -27.79%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -9.99%E -1.85%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 19:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -3.33%E -2.87%K -20.84%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -12.49%E -2.38%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 19:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.17%E -3.62%K -27.79%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -12.49%E -2.38%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -3.33%E -2.87%K -20.84%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -14.99%E -2.94%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 19:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.99%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -14.99%E -2.94%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-03 19:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.50%E -2.14%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.66%E -3.33%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 06:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.50%E -2.14%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.66%E -3.33%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 06:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.50%E -2.14%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.66%E -3.33%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 23:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.50%E -2.14%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.66%E -3.33%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 23:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.17%E -3.62%K -27.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -16.66%E -3.33%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 19:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.00%E -4.39%K -35.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -16.66%E -3.33%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-03 19:02 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.79%EV -2.50%E -2.14%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 4.92I 20.33%NM 19.21%EV -18.00%E -3.66%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 19:10 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.59% | 6.06I 16.50%NM 16.41% | 0.5% | 2026-09-03 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 19:11 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 19:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 19:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83% | 1.0% | 2026-09-03 19:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43% | 1.4% | 2026-09-03 19:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20% | 2.9% | 2026-09-03 19:15 |