Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Alexander Blockx v Marco Trungelliti

Inizio: 2026-09-03 19:18 UTC

Finale: Alexander Blockx 3–1 Marco Trungelliti

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

63 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Alexander Blockx (Casa)

Previsione 83.33%1.20quota equa
EV -0.835%
Vantaggio -0.701%
Kelly -4.39%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.19

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
80.79%83.17%83.46%84.57%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.101.141.131.1990.91%87.96%88.50%84.03%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Marco Trungelliti (Trasferta)

Previsione 16.67%6.00quota equa
EV +4.17%
Vantaggio +0.668%
Kelly +0.795%
Crescita +0.033%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.43%16.83%16.54%19.21%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.925.675.586.2520.33%17.64%17.92%16.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Alexander Blockx (Casa): 83.33%; Marco Trungelliti (Trasferta): 16.67%. Per Marco Trungelliti (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 6.00. 23 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 6.25, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +4.17%.

Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Winamax (DE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -5.00%E -4.39%K -35.72%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV +4.17%E +0.668%K +0.795%G +0.033%3.7%2026-09-03 19:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005%5.7%2026-09-03 19:00
Unibet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005%5.7%2026-09-03 19:00
TABtouch🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005%5.7%2026-09-03 19:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005%5.7%2026-09-03 19:00
BetRivers🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005%5.7%2026-09-03 19:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005%5.7%2026-09-03 19:00
Casumo🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005%5.7%2026-09-03 19:00
Grosvenor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005%5.7%2026-09-03 19:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005%5.7%2026-09-03 19:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005%5.7%2026-09-03 19:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005%5.7%2026-09-03 19:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005%5.7%2026-09-03 19:00
betPARX🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005%5.7%2026-09-03 19:00
Bally Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +1.67%E +0.274%K +0.328%G +0.005%5.7%2026-09-03 19:00
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -5.83%E -5.16%K -44.88%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV +0.839%E +0.139%K +0.166%G +0.001%5.0%2026-09-03 19:10
Coolbet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%EV -3.33%E -2.87%K -20.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV +0.006%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-03 19:05
FanDuel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.00%E -4.39%K -35.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +0.006%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 19:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.83%E -5.16%K -44.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +0.006%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 19:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.83%E -5.16%K -44.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +0.006%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 19:15
Fanatics🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +0.006%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 19:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +0.006%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 18:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -8.33%E -7.58%K -83.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV +0.006%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 19:00
Pinnacle🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.71%EV -3.33%E -2.87%K -20.84%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 16.29%EV -0.661%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-03 19:15
NordicBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.18%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 15.82%EV -0.661%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 19:14
Betsson🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.88%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000%5.83I 17.15%NM 16.12%EV -2.83%E -0.485%K -0.585%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 19:15
ReBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -3.33%E -0.574%K -0.693%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 19:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.83%E -5.16%K -44.88%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -4.16%E -0.724%K -0.876%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 19:15
theScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.83%E -5.16%K -44.88%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -4.16%E -0.724%K -0.876%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 19:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -5.83%E -5.16%K -44.88%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -4.99%E -0.876%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 03:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.79%EV -3.33%E -2.87%K -20.84%G +0.000%5.58I 17.92%NM 17.21%EV -6.99%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 19:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.79%EV -3.33%E -2.87%K -20.84%G +0.000%5.58I 17.92%NM 17.21%EV -6.99%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 19:05
1xBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -4.17%E -3.62%K -27.79%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV -7.49%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 19:10
Fliff🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.08%EV -5.83%E -5.16%K -44.88%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.92%EV -7.49%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 19:15
GTbets🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 82.32%EV -0.835%E -0.701%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.54I 18.05%NM 17.68%EV -7.66%E -1.38%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-03 19:10
Betway🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.17%E -3.62%K -27.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 19:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.17%E -3.62%K -27.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 19:14
Bovada🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.17%E -3.62%K -27.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 19:08
betfred_uk🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.00%E -4.39%K -35.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 19:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.00%E -4.39%K -35.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 19:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.00%E -4.39%K -35.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 19:05
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.00%E -4.39%K -35.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 18:30
betano_uk🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.00%E -4.39%K -35.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 19:05
BetMGM🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.00%E -4.39%K -35.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 19:15
Sky Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.83%E -5.16%K -44.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 19:10
Coral🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.83%E -5.16%K -44.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 19:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.83%E -5.16%K -44.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 19:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.83%E -5.16%K -44.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 19:11
Paddy Power🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-03 19:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -7.50%E -6.76%K -68.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -8.33%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-03 19:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.17%E -3.62%K -27.79%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -9.99%E -1.85%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 19:15
Neds🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.17%E -3.62%K -27.79%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -9.99%E -1.85%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 19:15
PlayUp🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -3.33%E -2.87%K -20.84%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -12.49%E -2.38%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 19:05
BetUS🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.17%E -3.62%K -27.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -12.49%E -2.38%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 18:25
BetAnything🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -3.33%E -2.87%K -20.84%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -14.99%E -2.94%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 19:05
LeoVegas🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.99%EV -6.67%E -5.95%K -55.56%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -14.99%E -2.94%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-03 19:15
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.50%E -2.14%K -14.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.66%E -3.33%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 06:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.50%E -2.14%K -14.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.66%E -3.33%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 06:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.50%E -2.14%K -14.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.66%E -3.33%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 23:50
William Hill🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.50%E -2.14%K -14.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.66%E -3.33%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 23:49
TAB🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.17%E -3.62%K -27.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -16.66%E -3.33%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 19:05
Caesars🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.00%E -4.39%K -35.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -16.66%E -3.33%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 19:02
DraftKings🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.79%EV -2.50%E -2.14%K -14.71%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 19.21%EV -18.00%E -3.66%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 19:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Novig◎1.19I 84.03%NM 83.59%6.06I 16.50%NM 16.41%0.5%2026-09-03 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-09-03 19:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-09-03 19:11
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-09-03 19:10
Matchbook◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-09-03 19:15
Kalshi◎1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.0%2026-09-03 19:00
ProphetX◎1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43%1.4%2026-09-03 19:10
Smarkets◎1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%2.9%2026-09-03 19:15