預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Alex Molcan v Benjamin Bonzi

開賽時間: 2026-09-01 22:29 UTC

最終賽果: Alex Molcan 1–3 Benjamin Bonzi

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

65 家博彩公司 (21 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Alex Molcan (主隊)

預測 34.50%2.90公平賠率
EV +3.49%
優勢 +1.16%
Kelly +1.74%
成長率 +0.061%

假設最高賠率為 3.00

博彩公司預測分布
31.82%34.68%34.73%37.97%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.502.692.703.0040.00%37.11%37.04%33.33%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Benjamin Bonzi (客隊)

預測 65.50%1.53公平賠率
EV +0.223%
優勢 +0.145%
Kelly +0.420%
成長率 +0.001%

假設最高賠率為 1.53

博彩公司預測分布
62.03%65.32%65.27%68.18%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.401.471.461.5371.43%68.26%68.49%65.36%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Alex Molcan (主隊):34.50%;Benjamin Bonzi (客隊):65.50%。 對於「Alex Molcan (主隊)」,該估計相當於2.90的公平十進位賠率。 當時有2家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為3.00,對應+3.49%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (65 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊利潤率更新時間
1xBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +3.49%E +1.16%K +1.74%G +0.061%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -8.29%E -5.92%K -20.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 22:25
ReBet🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 32.80%EV +1.07%E +0.365%K +0.555%G +0.006%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.20%EV -6.33%E -4.43%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-01 21:57
MyBookie.ag🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV -0.309%E -0.107%K -0.164%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -6.98%E -4.92%K -16.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 22:00
betano_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV -0.654%E -0.227%K -0.348%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -5.02%E -3.46%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-01 21:54
FanDuel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -0.654%E -0.227%K -0.348%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 22:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.80%EV -1.34%E -0.470%K -0.723%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.20%EV -4.36%E -2.99%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-01 22:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.80%EV -1.34%E -0.470%K -0.723%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.20%EV -4.36%E -2.99%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-01 22:20
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.69%E -0.593%K -0.913%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.89%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-01 22:28
theScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -1.69%E -0.593%K -0.913%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.98%E -4.92%K -16.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 22:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -1.69%E -0.593%K -0.913%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.98%E -4.92%K -16.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 22:25
SportsBet🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -2.03%E -0.716%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -6.33%E -4.43%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 22:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.33%EV -2.03%E -0.716%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.67%EV -6.98%E -4.92%K -16.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 12:25
Betsson🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.41%EV -3.07%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.59%EV -7.64%E -5.42%K -18.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 22:25
NordicBet🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.41%EV -3.07%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.59%EV -7.64%E -5.42%K -18.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 22:24
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -3.41%E -1.22%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -2.40%E -1.61%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-01 22:10
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.41%E -1.22%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 22:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.41%E -1.22%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.98%E -4.92%K -16.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 16:50
Pinnacle🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.81%EV -3.76%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.19%EV -2.40%E -1.61%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-01 22:10
BetUS🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -4.45%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.36%E -2.99%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-01 19:00
DraftKings🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.29%EV -4.79%E -1.74%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.71%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 22:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.14%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.05%E -2.06%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-01 22:25
BetAnything🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.14%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-01 22:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.14%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-01 22:25
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.14%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 22:25
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.14%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 16:44
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.14%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 22:16
TAB🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.14%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 22:24
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.14%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 16:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.14%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 22:15
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.14%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.33%E -4.43%K -14.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 22:20
GTbets🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 34.54%EV -6.52%E -2.41%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.46%EV -6.33%E -4.43%K -14.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 10:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-01 22:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.40%E -1.61%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 22:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.02%E -3.46%K -11.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 17:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.02%E -3.46%K -11.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 22:10
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.02%E -3.46%K -11.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 16:40
Fliff🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.33%E -4.43%K -14.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 22:15
NetBet (FR)🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 34.88%EV -7.90%E -2.96%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.12%EV -6.33%E -4.43%K -14.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-01 22:25
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.59%E -3.24%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.05%E -2.06%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 22:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.59%E -3.24%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.05%E -2.06%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 16:40
Neds🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.59%E -3.24%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.05%E -2.06%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 16:40
Caesars🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.59%E -3.24%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.02%E -3.46%K -11.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 11:42
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -9.62%E -3.67%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 11:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.62%E -3.67%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 16:40
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.62%E -3.67%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 16:40
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.04%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 17:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.04%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 17:45
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.04%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 17:45
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.04%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 17:45
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.04%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 17:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.04%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 17:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.04%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 17:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.04%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 17:45
Bally Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.04%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 17:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.04%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 17:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.04%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 17:45
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.04%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 17:45
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.04%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 17:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.04%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 17:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.04%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 17:45
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -13.76%E -5.50%K -9.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV +0.223%E +0.145%K +0.420%G +0.001%5.4%2026-09-01 11:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -13.76%E -5.50%K -9.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV +0.223%E +0.145%K +0.420%G +0.001%5.4%2026-09-01 11:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -13.76%E -5.50%K -9.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV +0.223%E +0.145%K +0.420%G +0.001%5.4%2026-09-01 11:40
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -13.76%E -5.50%K -9.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV +0.223%E +0.145%K +0.420%G +0.001%5.4%2026-09-01 11:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -13.76%E -5.50%K -9.17%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 17:45
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (8)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
ProphetX◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.48%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.52%0.2%2026-09-01 22:25
Novig◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61%0.3%2026-09-01 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-09-01 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-09-01 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-09-01 22:25
Matchbook◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-09-01 22:25
Smarkets◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.79%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.21%1.4%2026-09-01 22:25
Kalshi◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%2.1%2026-09-01 22:00