StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Alex Molcan v Benjamin Bonzi

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-01 22:29 UTC

Endstand: Alex Molcan 1–3 Benjamin Bonzi

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

65 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Alex Molcan (Heim)

Prognose 34.50%2.90faire Quote
EV +3.49%
Vorteil +1.16%
Kelly +1.74%
Wachstum +0.061%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
31.82%34.68%34.73%37.97%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.502.692.703.0040.00%37.11%37.04%33.33%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Benjamin Bonzi (Auswärts)

Prognose 65.50%1.53faire Quote
EV +0.223%
Vorteil +0.145%
Kelly +0.420%
Wachstum +0.001%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.53

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
62.03%65.32%65.27%68.18%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.401.471.461.5371.43%68.26%68.49%65.36%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Alex Molcan (Heim): 34.50%; Benjamin Bonzi (Auswärts): 65.50%. Für Alex Molcan (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.90. 2 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 3.00 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +3.49%.

Wettanbieterquoten (65 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
1xBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +3.49%E +1.16%K +1.74%G +0.061%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -8.29%E -5.92%K -20.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 22:25
ReBet🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 32.80%EV +1.07%E +0.365%K +0.555%G +0.006%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.20%EV -6.33%E -4.43%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-01 21:57
MyBookie.ag🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV -0.309%E -0.107%K -0.164%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -6.98%E -4.92%K -16.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 22:00
betano_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV -0.654%E -0.227%K -0.348%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -5.02%E -3.46%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-01 21:54
FanDuel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -0.654%E -0.227%K -0.348%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 22:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.80%EV -1.34%E -0.470%K -0.723%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.20%EV -4.36%E -2.99%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-01 22:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.80%EV -1.34%E -0.470%K -0.723%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.20%EV -4.36%E -2.99%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-01 22:20
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.69%E -0.593%K -0.913%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.89%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-01 22:28
theScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -1.69%E -0.593%K -0.913%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.98%E -4.92%K -16.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 22:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -1.69%E -0.593%K -0.913%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.98%E -4.92%K -16.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 22:25
SportsBet🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -2.03%E -0.716%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -6.33%E -4.43%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 22:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.33%EV -2.03%E -0.716%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.67%EV -6.98%E -4.92%K -16.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 12:25
Betsson🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.41%EV -3.07%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.59%EV -7.64%E -5.42%K -18.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 22:25
NordicBet🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.41%EV -3.07%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.59%EV -7.64%E -5.42%K -18.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 22:24
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -3.41%E -1.22%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -2.40%E -1.61%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-01 22:10
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.41%E -1.22%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 22:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.41%E -1.22%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.98%E -4.92%K -16.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 16:50
Pinnacle🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.81%EV -3.76%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.19%EV -2.40%E -1.61%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-01 22:10
BetUS🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -4.45%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.36%E -2.99%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-01 19:00
DraftKings🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.29%EV -4.79%E -1.74%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.71%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 22:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.14%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.05%E -2.06%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-01 22:25
BetAnything🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.14%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-01 22:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.14%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-01 22:25
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.14%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 22:25
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.14%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 16:44
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.14%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 22:16
TAB🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.14%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 22:24
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.14%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 16:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.14%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 22:15
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.14%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.33%E -4.43%K -14.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 22:20
GTbets🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 34.54%EV -6.52%E -2.41%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.46%EV -6.33%E -4.43%K -14.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 10:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-01 22:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.40%E -1.61%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 22:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.02%E -3.46%K -11.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 17:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.02%E -3.46%K -11.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 22:10
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.02%E -3.46%K -11.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 16:40
Fliff🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.33%E -4.43%K -14.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 22:15
NetBet (FR)🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 34.88%EV -7.90%E -2.96%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.12%EV -6.33%E -4.43%K -14.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-01 22:25
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.59%E -3.24%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.05%E -2.06%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 22:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.59%E -3.24%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.05%E -2.06%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 16:40
Neds🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.59%E -3.24%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.05%E -2.06%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 16:40
Caesars🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.59%E -3.24%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.02%E -3.46%K -11.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 11:42
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -9.62%E -3.67%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 11:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.62%E -3.67%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 16:40
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.62%E -3.67%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 16:40
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.04%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 17:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.04%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 17:45
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.04%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 17:45
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.04%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 17:45
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.04%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 17:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.04%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 17:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.04%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 17:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.04%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 17:45
Bally Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.04%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 17:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.04%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 17:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.04%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 17:45
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.04%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 17:45
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.04%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 17:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.04%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 17:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.04%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 17:45
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -13.76%E -5.50%K -9.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV +0.223%E +0.145%K +0.420%G +0.001%5.4%2026-09-01 11:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -13.76%E -5.50%K -9.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV +0.223%E +0.145%K +0.420%G +0.001%5.4%2026-09-01 11:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -13.76%E -5.50%K -9.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV +0.223%E +0.145%K +0.420%G +0.001%5.4%2026-09-01 11:40
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -13.76%E -5.50%K -9.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV +0.223%E +0.145%K +0.420%G +0.001%5.4%2026-09-01 11:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -13.76%E -5.50%K -9.17%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 17:45
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (8)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
ProphetX◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.48%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.52%0.2%2026-09-01 22:25
Novig◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61%0.3%2026-09-01 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-09-01 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-09-01 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-09-01 22:25
Matchbook◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-09-01 22:25
Smarkets◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.79%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.21%1.4%2026-09-01 22:25
Kalshi◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%2.1%2026-09-01 22:00