Lingua:Italiano
Alex Molcan v Benjamin Bonzi
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Alex Molcan (Casa)
Previsione 34.50%2.90quota equa
EV +3.49%
Vantaggio +1.16%
Kelly +1.74%
Crescita +0.061%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.82%34.68%34.73%37.97%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.502.692.703.0040.00%37.11%37.04%33.33%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Benjamin Bonzi (Trasferta)
Previsione 65.50%1.53quota equa
EV +0.223%
Vantaggio +0.145%
Kelly +0.420%
Crescita +0.001%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.53
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
62.03%65.32%65.27%68.18%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.401.471.461.5371.43%68.26%68.49%65.36%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Alex Molcan (Casa): 34.50%; Benjamin Bonzi (Trasferta): 65.50%. Per Alex Molcan (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.90. 2 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 3.00, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +3.49%.
Quote dei bookmaker (65 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +3.49%E +1.16%K +1.74%G +0.061% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -8.29%E -5.92%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.80%EV +1.07%E +0.365%K +0.555%G +0.006% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.20%EV -6.33%E -4.43%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-01 21:57 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV -0.309%E -0.107%K -0.164%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -6.98%E -4.92%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 22:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV -0.654%E -0.227%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -5.02%E -3.46%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-01 21:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -0.654%E -0.227%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.80%EV -1.34%E -0.470%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.20%EV -4.36%E -2.99%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.80%EV -1.34%E -0.470%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.20%EV -4.36%E -2.99%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-01 22:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.69%E -0.593%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-01 22:28 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -1.69%E -0.593%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.98%E -4.92%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -1.69%E -0.593%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.98%E -4.92%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -2.03%E -0.716%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -6.33%E -4.43%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.33%EV -2.03%E -0.716%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.67%EV -6.98%E -4.92%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 12:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.41%EV -3.07%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.59%EV -7.64%E -5.42%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.41%EV -3.07%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.59%EV -7.64%E -5.42%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 22:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -3.41%E -1.22%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -2.40%E -1.61%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-01 22:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.41%E -1.22%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.41%E -1.22%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.98%E -4.92%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 16:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.81%EV -3.76%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.19%EV -2.40%E -1.61%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-01 22:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -4.45%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.36%E -2.99%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-01 19:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.29%EV -4.79%E -1.74%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.71%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.14%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.05%E -2.06%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.14%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-01 22:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.14%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.14%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.14%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 16:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.14%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 22:16 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.14%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 22:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.14%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 16:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.14%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.14%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.33%E -4.43%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 22:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.54%EV -6.52%E -2.41%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.46%EV -6.33%E -4.43%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 10:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-01 22:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.40%E -1.61%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.02%E -3.46%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 17:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.02%E -3.46%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 22:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.02%E -3.46%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 16:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.33%E -4.43%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.88%EV -7.90%E -2.96%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.12%EV -6.33%E -4.43%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.59%E -3.24%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.05%E -2.06%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 22:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.59%E -3.24%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.05%E -2.06%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 16:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.59%E -3.24%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.05%E -2.06%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 16:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.59%E -3.24%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.02%E -3.46%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 11:42 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -9.62%E -3.67%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-01 11:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.62%E -3.67%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 16:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.62%E -3.67%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 16:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.04%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 17:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.04%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 17:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.04%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 17:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.04%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 17:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.04%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 17:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.04%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 17:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.04%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 17:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.04%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 17:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.04%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 17:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.04%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 17:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.04%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 17:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.04%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 17:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.04%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 17:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.04%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 17:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.04%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 17:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -13.76%E -5.50%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV +0.223%E +0.145%K +0.420%G +0.001% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 11:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -13.76%E -5.50%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV +0.223%E +0.145%K +0.420%G +0.001% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 11:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -13.76%E -5.50%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV +0.223%E +0.145%K +0.420%G +0.001% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 11:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -13.76%E -5.50%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV +0.223%E +0.145%K +0.420%G +0.001% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 11:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -13.76%E -5.50%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-01 17:45 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (8)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.48% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.52% | 0.2% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Novig◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61% | 0.3% | 2026-09-01 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 0.9% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.79% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.21% | 1.4% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75% | 2.1% | 2026-09-01 22:00 |