Język:Polski
Alex Molcan v Benjamin Bonzi
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Alex Molcan (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 34.50%2.90kurs godziwy
EV +3.49%
Przewaga +1.16%
Kelly +1.74%
Wzrost +0.061%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.00
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
31.82%34.68%34.73%37.97%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.502.692.703.0040.00%37.11%37.04%33.33%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Benjamin Bonzi (Goście)
Prognoza 65.50%1.53kurs godziwy
EV +0.223%
Przewaga +0.145%
Kelly +0.420%
Wzrost +0.001%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.53
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
62.03%65.32%65.27%68.18%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.401.471.461.5371.43%68.26%68.49%65.36%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Alex Molcan (Gospodarze): 34.50%; Benjamin Bonzi (Goście): 65.50%. Dla wyniku Alex Molcan (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.90. 2 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 3.00, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +3.49%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (65 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +3.49%E +1.16%K +1.74%G +0.061% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -8.29%E -5.92%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.80%EV +1.07%E +0.365%K +0.555%G +0.006% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.20%EV -6.33%E -4.43%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-01 21:57 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV -0.309%E -0.107%K -0.164%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -6.98%E -4.92%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 22:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV -0.654%E -0.227%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -5.02%E -3.46%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-01 21:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -0.654%E -0.227%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.80%EV -1.34%E -0.470%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.20%EV -4.36%E -2.99%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.80%EV -1.34%E -0.470%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.20%EV -4.36%E -2.99%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-01 22:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.69%E -0.593%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-01 22:28 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -1.69%E -0.593%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.98%E -4.92%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -1.69%E -0.593%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.98%E -4.92%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -2.03%E -0.716%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -6.33%E -4.43%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.33%EV -2.03%E -0.716%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.67%EV -6.98%E -4.92%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 12:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.41%EV -3.07%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.59%EV -7.64%E -5.42%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.41%EV -3.07%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.59%EV -7.64%E -5.42%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 22:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -3.41%E -1.22%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -2.40%E -1.61%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-01 22:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.41%E -1.22%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.41%E -1.22%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.98%E -4.92%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 16:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.81%EV -3.76%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.19%EV -2.40%E -1.61%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-01 22:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -4.45%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.36%E -2.99%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-01 19:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.29%EV -4.79%E -1.74%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.71%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.14%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.05%E -2.06%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.14%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-01 22:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.14%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.14%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.14%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 16:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.14%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 22:16 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.14%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 22:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.14%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 16:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.14%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.14%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.33%E -4.43%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 22:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.54%EV -6.52%E -2.41%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.46%EV -6.33%E -4.43%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 10:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-01 22:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.40%E -1.61%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.02%E -3.46%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 17:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.02%E -3.46%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 22:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.02%E -3.46%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 16:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.33%E -4.43%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.88%EV -7.90%E -2.96%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.12%EV -6.33%E -4.43%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.59%E -3.24%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.05%E -2.06%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 22:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.59%E -3.24%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.05%E -2.06%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 16:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.59%E -3.24%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.05%E -2.06%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 16:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.59%E -3.24%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.02%E -3.46%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 11:42 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -9.62%E -3.67%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-01 11:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.62%E -3.67%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 16:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.62%E -3.67%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 16:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.04%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 17:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.04%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 17:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.04%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 17:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.04%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 17:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.04%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 17:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.04%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 17:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.04%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 17:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.04%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 17:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.04%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 17:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.04%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 17:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.04%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 17:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.04%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 17:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.04%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 17:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.04%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 17:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.04%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.74%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 17:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -13.76%E -5.50%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV +0.223%E +0.145%K +0.420%G +0.001% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 11:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -13.76%E -5.50%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV +0.223%E +0.145%K +0.420%G +0.001% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 11:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -13.76%E -5.50%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV +0.223%E +0.145%K +0.420%G +0.001% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 11:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -13.76%E -5.50%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV +0.223%E +0.145%K +0.420%G +0.001% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 11:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -13.76%E -5.50%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-01 17:45 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (8)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.48% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.52% | 0.2% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Novig◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61% | 0.3% | 2026-09-01 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 0.9% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.79% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.21% | 1.4% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75% | 2.1% | 2026-09-01 22:00 |