Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Francisco Cerundolo v Jakub Mensik

2026-10-11 06:20 UTC — ATP Shanghai Masters

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Francisco Cerundolo (Local)

Prediction 41.75%2.40fair odd
EV -1.48%
Edge -0.628%
Kelly -1.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.10%41.80%41.82%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.262.252.3646.51%44.30%44.44%42.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jakub Mensik (Visit)

Prediction 58.25%1.72fair odd
EV -2.71%
Edge -1.63%
Kelly -4.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%58.20%58.18%58.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.631.641.6763.69%61.29%60.98%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Francisco Cerundolo (Local): 41.75%; Jakub Mensik (Visit): 58.25%. For Francisco Cerundolo (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.40. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.36, with an expected value of -1.48%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -1.48%E -0.628%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.71%E -1.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.3%2026-10-10 19:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.90%E -0.808%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-10 20:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.90%E -0.808%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-10 20:05
BetAnything🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.90%E -0.808%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-10 20:05
FanDuel🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.15%E -1.36%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-10 19:40
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.52%EV -3.57%E -1.54%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.48%EV -4.46%E -2.72%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 20:05
GTbets🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.57%E -1.54%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 14:00
SportsBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.57%E -1.54%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 19:40
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.99%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-10 14:05
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.99%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-10 13:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.99%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.46%E -2.72%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-10 16:30
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.99%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 14:05
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.99%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 18:20
DraftKings🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.40%E -1.92%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.04%E -3.09%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 14:00
NordicBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.40%E -1.92%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.04%E -3.09%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 14:04
Betsson🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.40%E -1.92%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.04%E -3.09%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 14:05
Bet Right🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -5.66%E -2.50%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.46%E -2.72%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 20:01
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.71%E -1.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 19:59
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 14:00
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 20:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 18:35
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.46%E -2.72%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.46%E -2.72%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.46%E -2.72%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.46%E -2.72%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:35
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.46%E -2.72%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:35
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.46%E -2.72%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.46%E -2.72%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:35
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.46%E -2.72%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.46%E -2.72%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:35
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.46%E -2.72%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:35
Bally Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.46%E -2.72%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:35
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.46%E -2.72%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:34
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.46%E -2.72%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.46%E -2.72%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.04%E -3.09%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 20:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.04%E -3.09%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 14:00
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.04%E -3.09%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 14:01
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 14:05
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 18:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 16:30
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 14:01
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 14:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 14:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.54%E -5.44%K -14.98%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-10 13:53
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.54%E -5.44%K -14.98%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-10 13:59
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.54%E -5.44%K -14.98%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-10 14:00
ReBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.67%EV -6.49%E -2.90%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -6.79%E -4.25%K -11.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 18:20
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.71%E -1.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 20:00
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.71%E -1.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 20:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.71%E -1.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 20:01
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.71%E -1.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 20:00
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.46%E -2.72%K -6.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 14:01
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.46%E -2.72%K -6.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 14:00
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-10 20:00
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.79%E -4.25%K -11.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.79%E -4.25%K -11.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -7.96%E -5.04%K -13.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-10 15:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -10.25%E -4.77%K -8.91%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.80%EV -8.54%E -5.44%K -14.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-10 18:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.30%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.70%0.2%2026-10-10 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.30%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.70%0.2%2026-10-10 20:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.30%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.70%0.2%2026-10-10 20:01
Novig◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-10-10 20:00
Matchbook◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-10-10 20:00
ProphetX◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27%1.5%2026-10-10 20:00
Smarkets◎2.26I 44.25%NM 41.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.10%5.6%2026-10-10 20:00