Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Francisco Cerundolo v Jakub Mensik

2026-10-11 06:20 UTC — ATP Shanghai Masters

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Francisco Cerundolo (Local)

Previsão 41.88%2.39odd justa
EV -2.83%
Vantagem -1.22%
Kelly -2.14%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.32

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.10%41.94%41.90%43.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.152.252.252.3246.51%44.39%44.44%43.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Jakub Mensik (Visitante)

Previsão 58.12%1.72odd justa
EV -2.36%
Vantagem -1.41%
Kelly -3.48%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.68

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.85%58.06%58.10%58.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.571.631.641.6863.69%61.21%60.98%59.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Francisco Cerundolo (Local): 41.88%; Jakub Mensik (Visitante): 58.12%. Para Jakub Mensik (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 1.72. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferece odds acima desse nível: as melhores odds disponíveis são 1.68, com valor esperado de -2.36%; não produzem valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -2.83%E -1.22%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -2.36%E -1.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-10 20:31
FanDuel🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.83%E -1.22%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-10 19:40
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.52%EV -3.25%E -1.41%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.48%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 20:05
GTbets🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.25%E -1.41%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 14:00
SportsBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.25%E -1.41%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 19:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.67%E -1.59%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.95%E -1.76%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-10 20:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.67%E -1.59%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.95%E -1.76%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-10 20:45
BetAnything🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.67%E -1.59%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.95%E -1.76%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-10 20:45
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.67%E -1.59%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.11%E -2.49%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-10 14:05
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.67%E -1.59%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.11%E -2.49%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-10 13:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.67%E -1.59%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-10 16:30
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.67%E -1.59%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 14:05
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.67%E -1.59%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 18:20
DraftKings🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.09%E -1.78%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.27%E -3.23%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 14:00
NordicBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.09%E -1.78%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.27%E -3.23%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 14:04
Betsson🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.09%E -1.78%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.27%E -3.23%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 14:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -4.09%E -1.78%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 20:25
Coolbet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.92%E -2.17%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 20:20
Bet Right🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -5.34%E -2.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 20:01
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.95%E -1.76%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 19:59
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.11%E -2.49%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 14:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.11%E -2.49%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 18:35
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:35
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:35
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:35
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:35
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:35
Bally Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:35
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:34
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.27%E -3.23%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 20:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.27%E -3.23%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 14:00
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 18:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 16:30
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 14:01
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 14:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 14:20
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.76%E -5.58%K -15.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-10 13:59
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.76%E -5.58%K -15.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-10 14:00
ReBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.67%EV -6.18%E -2.76%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 18:20
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.95%E -1.76%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 20:00
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.95%E -1.76%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 20:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.95%E -1.76%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 20:01
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.95%E -1.76%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 20:00
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.11%E -2.49%K -6.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-10 20:25
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 14:01
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 14:00
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-10 20:00
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -8.18%E -5.17%K -14.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-10 15:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -9.95%E -4.63%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-10 20:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -9.95%E -4.63%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.80%EV -8.76%E -5.58%K -15.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-10 18:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-10-10 20:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-10-10 20:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-10-10 20:40
Matchbook◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-10-10 20:40
Novig◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-10-10 20:45
ProphetX◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%1.2%2026-10-10 20:10
Smarkets◎2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.3%2026-10-10 20:45