Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Francisco Cerundolo v Jakub Mensik

2026-10-11 06:20 UTC — ATP Shanghai Masters

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Francisco Cerundolo (Local)

Prévision 41.88%2.39cote équitable
EV -2.83%
Avantage -1.22%
Kelly -2.14%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.10%41.94%41.90%43.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.152.252.252.3246.51%44.39%44.44%43.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Jakub Mensik (Visiteur)

Prévision 58.12%1.72cote équitable
EV -2.36%
Avantage -1.41%
Kelly -3.48%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.85%58.06%58.10%58.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.571.631.641.6863.69%61.21%60.98%59.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Francisco Cerundolo (Local) : 41.88% ; Jakub Mensik (Visiteur) : 58.12%. Pour Jakub Mensik (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 1.72. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 1.68, pour une espérance de -2.36% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -2.83%E -1.22%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -2.36%E -1.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-10 20:31
FanDuel🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.83%E -1.22%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-10 19:40
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.52%EV -3.25%E -1.41%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.48%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 20:05
GTbets🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.25%E -1.41%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 14:00
SportsBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.25%E -1.41%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 19:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.67%E -1.59%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.95%E -1.76%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-10 20:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.67%E -1.59%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.95%E -1.76%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-10 20:45
BetAnything🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.67%E -1.59%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.95%E -1.76%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-10 20:45
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.67%E -1.59%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.11%E -2.49%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-10 14:05
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.67%E -1.59%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.11%E -2.49%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-10 13:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.67%E -1.59%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-10 16:30
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.67%E -1.59%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 14:05
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.67%E -1.59%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 18:20
DraftKings🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.09%E -1.78%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.27%E -3.23%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 14:00
NordicBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.09%E -1.78%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.27%E -3.23%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 14:04
Betsson🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.09%E -1.78%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.27%E -3.23%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 14:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -4.09%E -1.78%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 20:25
Coolbet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.92%E -2.17%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 20:20
Bet Right🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -5.34%E -2.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 20:01
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.95%E -1.76%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 19:59
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.11%E -2.49%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 14:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.11%E -2.49%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 18:35
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:35
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:35
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:35
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:35
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:35
Bally Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:35
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:34
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.27%E -3.23%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 20:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.27%E -3.23%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 14:00
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 18:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 16:30
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 14:01
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 14:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 14:20
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.76%E -5.58%K -15.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-10 13:59
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.76%E -5.58%K -15.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-10 14:00
ReBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.67%EV -6.18%E -2.76%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 18:20
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.95%E -1.76%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 20:00
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.95%E -1.76%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 20:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.95%E -1.76%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 20:01
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.95%E -1.76%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 20:00
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.11%E -2.49%K -6.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-10 20:25
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 14:01
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 14:00
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-10 20:00
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -8.18%E -5.17%K -14.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-10 15:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -9.95%E -4.63%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-10 20:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -9.95%E -4.63%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.80%EV -8.76%E -5.58%K -15.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-10 18:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-10-10 20:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-10-10 20:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-10-10 20:40
Matchbook◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-10-10 20:40
Novig◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-10-10 20:45
ProphetX◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%1.2%2026-10-10 20:10
Smarkets◎2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.3%2026-10-10 20:45