StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Francisco Cerundolo v Jakub Mensik

2026-10-11 06:20 UTC — ATP Shanghai Masters

Direkter Vergleich

59 Wettanbieter (18 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Francisco Cerundolo (Heim)

Prognose 41.88%2.39faire Quote
EV -2.83%
Vorteil -1.22%
Kelly -2.14%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.32

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
41.10%41.94%41.90%43.15%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.152.252.252.3246.51%44.39%44.44%43.10%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Jakub Mensik (Auswärts)

Prognose 58.12%1.72faire Quote
EV -2.36%
Vorteil -1.41%
Kelly -3.48%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.68

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
56.85%58.06%58.10%58.90%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.571.631.641.6863.69%61.21%60.98%59.52%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Francisco Cerundolo (Heim): 41.88%; Jakub Mensik (Auswärts): 58.12%. Für Jakub Mensik (Auswärts) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 1.72. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bietet eine Quote über diesem Wert an: Die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 1.68, bei einem Erwartungswert von -2.36%; sie ergibt keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (59 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -2.83%E -1.22%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -2.36%E -1.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-10 20:31
FanDuel🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.83%E -1.22%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-10 19:40
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.52%EV -3.25%E -1.41%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.48%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 20:05
GTbets🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.25%E -1.41%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 14:00
SportsBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.25%E -1.41%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 19:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.67%E -1.59%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.95%E -1.76%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-10 20:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.67%E -1.59%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.95%E -1.76%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-10 20:45
BetAnything🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.67%E -1.59%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.95%E -1.76%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-10 20:45
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.67%E -1.59%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.11%E -2.49%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-10 14:05
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.67%E -1.59%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.11%E -2.49%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-10 13:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.67%E -1.59%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-10 16:30
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.67%E -1.59%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 14:05
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.67%E -1.59%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 18:20
DraftKings🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.09%E -1.78%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.27%E -3.23%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 14:00
NordicBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.09%E -1.78%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.27%E -3.23%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 14:04
Betsson🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.09%E -1.78%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.27%E -3.23%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 14:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -4.09%E -1.78%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 20:25
Coolbet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.92%E -2.17%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 20:20
Bet Right🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -5.34%E -2.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 20:01
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.95%E -1.76%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 19:59
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.11%E -2.49%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 14:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.11%E -2.49%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 18:35
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:35
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:35
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:35
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:35
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:35
Bally Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:35
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:34
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.27%E -3.23%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 20:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.27%E -3.23%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 14:00
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 18:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 16:30
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 14:01
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 14:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 14:20
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.76%E -5.58%K -15.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-10 13:59
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.76%E -5.58%K -15.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-10 14:00
ReBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.67%EV -6.18%E -2.76%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 18:20
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.95%E -1.76%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 20:00
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.95%E -1.76%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 20:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.95%E -1.76%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 20:01
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.95%E -1.76%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 20:00
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.11%E -2.49%K -6.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-10 20:25
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 14:01
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 14:00
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-10 20:00
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -8.18%E -5.17%K -14.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-10 15:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -9.95%E -4.63%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-10 20:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -9.95%E -4.63%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.80%EV -8.76%E -5.58%K -15.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-10 18:35
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-10-10 20:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-10-10 20:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-10-10 20:40
Matchbook◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-10-10 20:40
Novig◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-10-10 20:45
ProphetX◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%1.2%2026-10-10 20:10
Smarkets◎2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.3%2026-10-10 20:45