La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Ignacio Buse v Marcos Giron
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Ignacio Buse (Casa)
Previsione 30.41%3.29quota equa
EV +0.346%
Vantaggio +0.105%
Kelly +0.150%
Crescita +0.001%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.30
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.73%30.54%30.34%32.54%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.823.123.113.3035.46%32.07%32.15%30.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Marcos Giron (Trasferta)
Previsione 69.59%1.44quota equa
EV -3.27%
Vantaggio -2.35%
Kelly -8.38%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.39
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
67.46%69.46%69.66%71.27%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.271.351.351.3978.74%74.20%74.07%71.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +0.346%E +0.105%K +0.150%G +0.001% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.75%E -5.03%K -19.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +0.346%E +0.105%K +0.150%G +0.001% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.75%E -5.03%K -19.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Casumo | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +0.346%E +0.105%K +0.150%G +0.001% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.75%E -5.03%K -19.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| BetRivers | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +0.346%E +0.105%K +0.150%G +0.001% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.75%E -5.03%K -19.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Unibet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +0.346%E +0.105%K +0.150%G +0.001% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.75%E -5.03%K -19.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +0.346%E +0.105%K +0.150%G +0.001% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.75%E -5.03%K -19.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| betPARX | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +0.346%E +0.105%K +0.150%G +0.001% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.75%E -5.03%K -19.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +0.346%E +0.105%K +0.150%G +0.001% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.75%E -5.03%K -19.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Bally Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +0.346%E +0.105%K +0.150%G +0.001% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.44%E -5.60%K -22.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +0.346%E +0.105%K +0.150%G +0.001% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.44%E -5.60%K -22.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Pinnacle | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.74%EV -0.871%E -0.267%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.26%EV -3.96%E -2.87%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Sky Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.17%E -0.361%K -0.522%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.44%E -5.60%K -22.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Grosvenor | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.17%E -0.361%K -0.522%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.44%E -5.60%K -22.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| TABtouch | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.17%E -0.361%K -0.522%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.44%E -5.60%K -22.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.91%EV -2.39%E -0.745%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.09%EV -4.66%E -3.40%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.91%EV -2.39%E -0.745%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.09%EV -4.66%E -3.40%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Betway | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -2.70%E -0.842%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.96%E -2.87%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Bovada | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.70%E -0.842%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.35%E -3.94%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 10:29 |
| FanDuel | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -2.70%E -0.842%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -8.14%E -6.17%K -25.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -2.70%E -0.842%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -8.14%E -6.17%K -25.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -2.70%E -0.842%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -8.14%E -6.17%K -25.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| LeoVegas | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -2.70%E -0.842%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.53%E -7.33%K -31.77%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| BetAnything | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.04%EV -3.00%E -0.940%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.96%EV -4.66%E -3.40%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.22%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.66%E -3.40%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Bet Right | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.22%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.35%E -3.94%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.22%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.35%E -3.94%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 10:29 |
| ReBet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.22%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.35%E -3.94%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 10:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -4.22%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.05%E -4.48%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -4.22%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -9.53%E -7.33%K -31.77%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| DraftKings | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.29%EV -4.82%E -1.54%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.71%EV -5.35%E -3.94%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -5.13%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.35%E -3.94%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-16 10:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.66%E -3.40%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.35%E -3.94%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| William Hill | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.35%E -3.94%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Coolbet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.05%E -4.48%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| theScore Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.44%E -5.60%K -22.55%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.44%E -5.60%K -22.55%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-16 10:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.14%E -6.17%K -25.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.06%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.94%EV -11.62%E -9.15%K -43.03%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Fanatics | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.26%E -2.38%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.35%E -3.94%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-16 10:39 |
| 1xBet | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.38%EV -7.56%E -2.49%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.62%EV -3.27%E -2.35%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 10:28 |
| GTbets | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.38%EV -7.56%E -2.49%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.62%EV -3.27%E -2.35%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 10:29 |
| Dabble (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.96%E -2.87%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| PlayUp | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.96%E -2.87%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| betfred_uk | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.35%E -3.94%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| BetMGM | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.35%E -3.94%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Bet Victor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.35%E -3.94%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-16 10:39 |
| TAB | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.35%E -3.94%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| NordicBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.05%E -4.48%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-16 10:39 |
| Betsson | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.05%E -4.48%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.05%E -4.48%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Coral | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.05%E -4.48%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Neds | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.05%E -4.48%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.05%E -4.48%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.44%E -5.60%K -22.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.44%E -5.60%K -22.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Everygame | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.44%E -5.60%K -22.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-16 10:29 |
| Fliff | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -8.14%E -6.17%K -25.43%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Caesars | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -11.82%E -4.08%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.96%E -2.87%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-16 10:39 |
| BoyleSports | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -12.43%E -4.31%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -5.35%E -3.94%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -13.34%E -4.68%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.02%EV -6.75%E -5.03%K -19.84%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.54%EV -14.25%E -5.05%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.46%EV -5.35%E -3.94%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-16 10:39 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30% | 0.2% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30% | 0.2% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Matchbook | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30% | 0.2% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Smarkets | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26% | 1.7% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Novig | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.09% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.91% | 2.9% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |