L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Ignacio Buse v Marcos Giron
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Ignacio Buse (Local)
Prévision 30.41%3.29cote équitable
EV +0.346%
Avantage +0.105%
Kelly +0.150%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 3.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.73%30.54%30.34%32.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.823.123.113.3035.46%32.07%32.15%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Marcos Giron (Visiteur)
Prévision 69.59%1.44cote équitable
EV -3.27%
Avantage -2.35%
Kelly -8.38%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.39
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
67.46%69.46%69.66%71.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.271.351.351.3978.74%74.20%74.07%71.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +0.346%E +0.105%K +0.150%G +0.001% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.75%E -5.03%K -19.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +0.346%E +0.105%K +0.150%G +0.001% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.75%E -5.03%K -19.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Casumo | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +0.346%E +0.105%K +0.150%G +0.001% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.75%E -5.03%K -19.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| BetRivers | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +0.346%E +0.105%K +0.150%G +0.001% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.75%E -5.03%K -19.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Unibet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +0.346%E +0.105%K +0.150%G +0.001% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.75%E -5.03%K -19.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +0.346%E +0.105%K +0.150%G +0.001% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.75%E -5.03%K -19.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| betPARX | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +0.346%E +0.105%K +0.150%G +0.001% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.75%E -5.03%K -19.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +0.346%E +0.105%K +0.150%G +0.001% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.75%E -5.03%K -19.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Bally Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +0.346%E +0.105%K +0.150%G +0.001% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.44%E -5.60%K -22.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +0.346%E +0.105%K +0.150%G +0.001% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.44%E -5.60%K -22.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Pinnacle | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.74%EV -0.871%E -0.267%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.26%EV -3.96%E -2.87%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Sky Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.17%E -0.361%K -0.522%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.44%E -5.60%K -22.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Grosvenor | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.17%E -0.361%K -0.522%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.44%E -5.60%K -22.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| TABtouch | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.17%E -0.361%K -0.522%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.44%E -5.60%K -22.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.91%EV -2.39%E -0.745%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.09%EV -4.66%E -3.40%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.91%EV -2.39%E -0.745%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.09%EV -4.66%E -3.40%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Betway | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -2.70%E -0.842%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.96%E -2.87%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Bovada | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.70%E -0.842%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.35%E -3.94%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 10:29 |
| FanDuel | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -2.70%E -0.842%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -8.14%E -6.17%K -25.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -2.70%E -0.842%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -8.14%E -6.17%K -25.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -2.70%E -0.842%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -8.14%E -6.17%K -25.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| LeoVegas | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -2.70%E -0.842%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.53%E -7.33%K -31.77%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| BetAnything | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.04%EV -3.00%E -0.940%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.96%EV -4.66%E -3.40%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.22%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.66%E -3.40%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Bet Right | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.22%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.35%E -3.94%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.22%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.35%E -3.94%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 10:29 |
| ReBet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.22%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.35%E -3.94%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 10:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -4.22%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.05%E -4.48%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -4.22%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -9.53%E -7.33%K -31.77%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| DraftKings | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.29%EV -4.82%E -1.54%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.71%EV -5.35%E -3.94%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -5.13%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.35%E -3.94%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-16 10:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.66%E -3.40%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.35%E -3.94%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| William Hill | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.35%E -3.94%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Coolbet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.05%E -4.48%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| theScore Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.44%E -5.60%K -22.55%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.44%E -5.60%K -22.55%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-16 10:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.14%E -6.17%K -25.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.06%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.94%EV -11.62%E -9.15%K -43.03%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Fanatics | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.26%E -2.38%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.35%E -3.94%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-16 10:39 |
| 1xBet | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.38%EV -7.56%E -2.49%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.62%EV -3.27%E -2.35%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 10:28 |
| GTbets | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.38%EV -7.56%E -2.49%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.62%EV -3.27%E -2.35%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 10:29 |
| Dabble (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.96%E -2.87%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| PlayUp | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.96%E -2.87%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| betfred_uk | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.35%E -3.94%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| BetMGM | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.35%E -3.94%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Bet Victor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.35%E -3.94%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-16 10:39 |
| TAB | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.35%E -3.94%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| NordicBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.05%E -4.48%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-16 10:39 |
| Betsson | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.05%E -4.48%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.05%E -4.48%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Coral | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.05%E -4.48%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Neds | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.05%E -4.48%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.05%E -4.48%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.44%E -5.60%K -22.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.44%E -5.60%K -22.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Everygame | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.44%E -5.60%K -22.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-16 10:29 |
| Fliff | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -8.14%E -6.17%K -25.43%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Caesars | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -11.82%E -4.08%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.96%E -2.87%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-16 10:39 |
| BoyleSports | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -12.43%E -4.31%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -5.35%E -3.94%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -13.34%E -4.68%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.02%EV -6.75%E -5.03%K -19.84%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.54%EV -14.25%E -5.05%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.46%EV -5.35%E -3.94%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-16 10:39 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30% | 0.2% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30% | 0.2% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Matchbook | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30% | 0.2% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Smarkets | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26% | 1.7% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |
| Novig | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.09% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.91% | 2.9% | 2026-06-16 10:40 |