مدرسة الاحتمالات

Ignacio Buse v Marcos Giron

البداية: 2026-06-16 11:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Ignacio Buse (المضيف)

التنبؤ 30.41%3.29السعر العادل
EV +0.346%
الأفضلية +0.105%
Kelly +0.150%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.73%30.54%30.34%32.54%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.823.123.113.3035.46%32.07%32.15%30.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Marcos Giron (الضيف)

التنبؤ 69.59%1.44السعر العادل
EV -3.27%
الأفضلية -2.35%
Kelly -8.38%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.39

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
67.46%69.46%69.66%71.27%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.271.351.351.3978.74%74.20%74.07%71.94%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet (NL)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +0.346%E +0.105%K +0.150%G +0.001%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.75%E -5.03%K -19.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 10:40
Unibet (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +0.346%E +0.105%K +0.150%G +0.001%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.75%E -5.03%K -19.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 10:40
Casumo3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +0.346%E +0.105%K +0.150%G +0.001%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.75%E -5.03%K -19.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 10:40
BetRivers3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +0.346%E +0.105%K +0.150%G +0.001%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.75%E -5.03%K -19.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 10:40
Unibet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +0.346%E +0.105%K +0.150%G +0.001%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.75%E -5.03%K -19.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 10:40
ATG (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +0.346%E +0.105%K +0.150%G +0.001%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.75%E -5.03%K -19.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 10:40
betPARX3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +0.346%E +0.105%K +0.150%G +0.001%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.75%E -5.03%K -19.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 10:40
Svenska Spel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +0.346%E +0.105%K +0.150%G +0.001%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.75%E -5.03%K -19.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 10:40
Bally Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +0.346%E +0.105%K +0.150%G +0.001%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.44%E -5.60%K -22.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 10:30
Hard Rock Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +0.346%E +0.105%K +0.150%G +0.001%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.44%E -5.60%K -22.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 10:30
Pinnacle3.26I 30.67%NM 29.74%EV -0.871%E -0.267%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.26%EV -3.96%E -2.87%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-16 10:30
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.17%E -0.361%K -0.522%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.44%E -5.60%K -22.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 10:30
Grosvenor3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.17%E -0.361%K -0.522%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.44%E -5.60%K -22.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 10:40
TABtouch3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.17%E -0.361%K -0.522%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.44%E -5.60%K -22.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 10:40
LowVig.ag3.21I 31.15%NM 29.91%EV -2.39%E -0.745%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.09%EV -4.66%E -3.40%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 10:30
BetOnline.ag3.21I 31.15%NM 29.91%EV -2.39%E -0.745%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.09%EV -4.66%E -3.40%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 10:30
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -2.70%E -0.842%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.96%E -2.87%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-16 10:30
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.70%E -0.842%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.35%E -3.94%K -14.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 10:29
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -2.70%E -0.842%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -8.14%E -6.17%K -25.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 10:30
Virgin Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -2.70%E -0.842%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -8.14%E -6.17%K -25.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 10:40
LiveScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -2.70%E -0.842%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -8.14%E -6.17%K -25.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 10:40
LeoVegas3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -2.70%E -0.842%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.53%E -7.33%K -31.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-16 10:40
BetAnything3.19I 31.35%NM 30.04%EV -3.00%E -0.940%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.96%EV -4.66%E -3.40%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 10:30
Unibet (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.22%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.66%E -3.40%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 10:30
Bet Right3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.22%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.35%E -3.94%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 10:30
Unibet (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.22%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.35%E -3.94%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 10:29
ReBet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.22%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.35%E -3.94%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 10:29
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -4.22%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.05%E -4.48%K -17.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 10:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -4.22%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -9.53%E -7.33%K -31.77%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-16 10:40
DraftKings3.13I 31.95%NM 30.29%EV -4.82%E -1.54%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.71%EV -5.35%E -3.94%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 10:30
Marathon Bet3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -5.13%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.35%E -3.94%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 10:29
Winamax (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.66%E -3.40%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 10:40
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.35%E -3.94%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 10:30
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.35%E -3.94%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 10:30
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.05%E -4.48%K -17.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 10:40
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.44%E -5.60%K -22.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-16 10:30
NetBet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.44%E -5.60%K -22.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-16 10:29
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.14%E -6.17%K -25.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-16 10:30
PMU (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.06%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 70.94%EV -11.62%E -9.15%K -43.03%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-16 10:40
Fanatics3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.26%E -2.38%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.35%E -3.94%K -14.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 10:39
1xBet3.04I 32.89%NM 31.38%EV -7.56%E -2.49%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.62%EV -3.27%E -2.35%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 10:28
GTbets3.04I 32.89%NM 31.38%EV -7.56%E -2.49%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.62%EV -3.27%E -2.35%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 10:29
Dabble (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.96%E -2.87%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 10:30
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.96%E -2.87%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 10:30
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.35%E -3.94%K -14.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 10:30
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.35%E -3.94%K -14.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 10:40
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.35%E -3.94%K -14.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 10:39
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.35%E -3.94%K -14.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 10:30
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.05%E -4.48%K -17.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-16 10:39
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.05%E -4.48%K -17.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-16 10:40
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.05%E -4.48%K -17.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-16 10:30
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.05%E -4.48%K -17.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-16 10:30
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.05%E -4.48%K -17.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-16 10:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.05%E -4.48%K -17.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-16 10:30
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.44%E -5.60%K -22.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-16 10:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.44%E -5.60%K -22.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-16 10:30
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.44%E -5.60%K -22.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-16 10:29
Fliff3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -8.14%E -6.17%K -25.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-16 10:40
Caesars2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -11.82%E -4.08%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.96%E -2.87%K -10.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 10:39
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -12.43%E -4.31%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -5.35%E -3.94%K -14.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-16 10:40
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -13.34%E -4.68%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.02%EV -6.75%E -5.03%K -19.84%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-16 10:40
Betclic (FR)2.82I 35.46%NM 32.54%EV -14.25%E -5.05%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.46%EV -5.35%E -3.94%K -14.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-16 10:39
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%0.2%2026-06-16 10:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%0.2%2026-06-16 10:40
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%0.2%2026-06-16 10:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%0.7%2026-06-16 10:40
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26%1.7%2026-06-16 10:40
Novig3.23I 30.96%NM 30.09%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.91%2.9%2026-06-16 10:40