Die Wettquotenschule

Ignacio Buse v Marcos Giron

Spielbeginn: 2026-06-16 11:30 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

62 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Ignacio Buse (Heim)

Prognose 30.41%3.29faire Quote
EV +0.346%
Vorteil +0.105%
Kelly +0.150%
Wachstum +0.001%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.30

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
28.73%30.54%30.34%32.54%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.823.123.113.3035.46%32.07%32.15%30.30%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Marcos Giron (Auswärts)

Prognose 69.59%1.44faire Quote
EV -3.27%
Vorteil -2.35%
Kelly -8.38%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.39

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
67.46%69.46%69.66%71.27%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.271.351.351.3978.74%74.20%74.07%71.94%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (62 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Unibet (NL)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +0.346%E +0.105%K +0.150%G +0.001%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.75%E -5.03%K -19.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 10:40
Unibet (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +0.346%E +0.105%K +0.150%G +0.001%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.75%E -5.03%K -19.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 10:40
Casumo3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +0.346%E +0.105%K +0.150%G +0.001%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.75%E -5.03%K -19.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 10:40
BetRivers3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +0.346%E +0.105%K +0.150%G +0.001%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.75%E -5.03%K -19.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 10:40
Unibet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +0.346%E +0.105%K +0.150%G +0.001%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.75%E -5.03%K -19.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 10:40
ATG (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +0.346%E +0.105%K +0.150%G +0.001%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.75%E -5.03%K -19.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 10:40
betPARX3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +0.346%E +0.105%K +0.150%G +0.001%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.75%E -5.03%K -19.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 10:40
Svenska Spel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +0.346%E +0.105%K +0.150%G +0.001%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.75%E -5.03%K -19.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 10:40
Bally Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +0.346%E +0.105%K +0.150%G +0.001%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.44%E -5.60%K -22.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 10:30
Hard Rock Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +0.346%E +0.105%K +0.150%G +0.001%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.44%E -5.60%K -22.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 10:30
Pinnacle3.26I 30.67%NM 29.74%EV -0.871%E -0.267%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.26%EV -3.96%E -2.87%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-16 10:30
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.17%E -0.361%K -0.522%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.44%E -5.60%K -22.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 10:30
Grosvenor3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.17%E -0.361%K -0.522%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.44%E -5.60%K -22.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 10:40
TABtouch3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.17%E -0.361%K -0.522%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.44%E -5.60%K -22.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 10:40
LowVig.ag3.21I 31.15%NM 29.91%EV -2.39%E -0.745%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.09%EV -4.66%E -3.40%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 10:30
BetOnline.ag3.21I 31.15%NM 29.91%EV -2.39%E -0.745%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.09%EV -4.66%E -3.40%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 10:30
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -2.70%E -0.842%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.96%E -2.87%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-16 10:30
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.70%E -0.842%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.35%E -3.94%K -14.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 10:29
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -2.70%E -0.842%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -8.14%E -6.17%K -25.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 10:30
Virgin Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -2.70%E -0.842%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -8.14%E -6.17%K -25.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 10:40
LiveScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -2.70%E -0.842%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -8.14%E -6.17%K -25.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 10:40
LeoVegas3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -2.70%E -0.842%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.53%E -7.33%K -31.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-16 10:40
BetAnything3.19I 31.35%NM 30.04%EV -3.00%E -0.940%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.96%EV -4.66%E -3.40%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 10:30
Unibet (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.22%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.66%E -3.40%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 10:30
Bet Right3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.22%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.35%E -3.94%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 10:30
Unibet (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.22%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.35%E -3.94%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 10:29
ReBet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.22%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.35%E -3.94%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 10:29
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -4.22%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.05%E -4.48%K -17.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 10:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -4.22%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -9.53%E -7.33%K -31.77%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-16 10:40
DraftKings3.13I 31.95%NM 30.29%EV -4.82%E -1.54%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.71%EV -5.35%E -3.94%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 10:30
Marathon Bet3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -5.13%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.35%E -3.94%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 10:29
Winamax (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.66%E -3.40%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 10:40
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.35%E -3.94%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 10:30
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.35%E -3.94%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 10:30
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.05%E -4.48%K -17.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 10:40
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.44%E -5.60%K -22.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-16 10:30
NetBet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.44%E -5.60%K -22.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-16 10:29
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.14%E -6.17%K -25.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-16 10:30
PMU (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.06%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 70.94%EV -11.62%E -9.15%K -43.03%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-16 10:40
Fanatics3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.26%E -2.38%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.35%E -3.94%K -14.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 10:39
1xBet3.04I 32.89%NM 31.38%EV -7.56%E -2.49%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.62%EV -3.27%E -2.35%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 10:28
GTbets3.04I 32.89%NM 31.38%EV -7.56%E -2.49%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.62%EV -3.27%E -2.35%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 10:29
Dabble (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.96%E -2.87%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 10:30
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.96%E -2.87%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 10:30
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.35%E -3.94%K -14.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 10:30
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.35%E -3.94%K -14.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 10:40
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.35%E -3.94%K -14.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 10:39
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.35%E -3.94%K -14.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 10:30
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.05%E -4.48%K -17.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-16 10:39
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.05%E -4.48%K -17.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-16 10:40
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.05%E -4.48%K -17.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-16 10:30
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.05%E -4.48%K -17.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-16 10:30
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.05%E -4.48%K -17.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-16 10:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.05%E -4.48%K -17.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-16 10:30
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.44%E -5.60%K -22.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-16 10:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.44%E -5.60%K -22.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-16 10:30
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.44%E -5.60%K -22.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-16 10:29
Fliff3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -8.14%E -6.17%K -25.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-16 10:40
Caesars2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -11.82%E -4.08%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.96%E -2.87%K -10.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 10:39
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -12.43%E -4.31%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -5.35%E -3.94%K -14.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-16 10:40
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -13.34%E -4.68%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.02%EV -6.75%E -5.03%K -19.84%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-16 10:40
Betclic (FR)2.82I 35.46%NM 32.54%EV -14.25%E -5.05%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.46%EV -5.35%E -3.94%K -14.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-16 10:39
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%0.2%2026-06-16 10:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%0.2%2026-06-16 10:40
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%0.2%2026-06-16 10:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%0.7%2026-06-16 10:40
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26%1.7%2026-06-16 10:40
Novig3.23I 30.96%NM 30.09%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.91%2.9%2026-06-16 10:40