Language:English
Francisco Cerundolo v Tommy Paul
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Francisco Cerundolo (Local)
Prediction 32.78%3.05fair odd
EV +1.61%
Edge +0.520%
Kelly +0.768%
Growth +0.012%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.80%32.97%32.87%36.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.812.803.1038.46%35.60%35.71%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tommy Paul (Visit)
Prediction 67.22%1.49fair odd
EV +0.160%
Edge +0.107%
Kelly +0.326%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 1.49
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.73%67.03%67.13%69.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.421.431.4974.07%70.47%69.93%67.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Francisco Cerundolo (Local): 32.78%; Tommy Paul (Visit): 67.22%. For Francisco Cerundolo (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.05. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.61%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +1.61%E +0.520%K +0.768%G +0.012% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-21 12:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 30.86%EV +0.630%E +0.205%K +0.304%G +0.002% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.14%EV -7.91%E -5.77%K -21.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-21 12:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -0.025%E -0.008%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -5.22%E -3.70%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-21 12:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.66%E -0.555%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-21 12:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.66%E -0.555%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-21 12:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.66%E -0.555%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-21 12:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.30%E -1.12%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-21 12:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -3.30%E -1.12%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -6.56%E -4.72%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-21 12:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -3.30%E -1.12%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-21 12:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 33.41%EV -3.96%E -1.35%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.59%EV -1.18%E -0.806%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-06-21 12:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -4.29%E -1.47%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-21 12:27 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -4.29%E -1.47%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-21 12:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -4.29%E -1.47%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-21 12:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.94%E -1.70%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-21 12:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.94%E -1.70%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-21 12:38 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.94%E -1.70%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-21 12:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.94%E -1.70%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-21 12:38 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -4.94%E -1.70%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -7.91%E -5.77%K -21.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-21 12:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -4.94%E -1.70%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -7.91%E -5.77%K -21.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-21 12:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.10%EV -5.60%E -1.94%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.90%EV +0.160%E +0.107%K +0.326%G +0.001% | 1.8% | 2026-06-21 12:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.58%E -2.31%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-21 12:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.58%E -2.31%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-21 12:33 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.58%E -2.31%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-21 12:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.58%E -2.31%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-21 12:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -6.58%E -2.31%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -7.91%E -5.77%K -21.37%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-21 12:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -7.89%E -2.81%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-21 12:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.53%E -1.74%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-21 12:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-21 12:36 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-21 12:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-21 12:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-21 12:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-21 12:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-21 12:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-21 12:36 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-21 12:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-21 12:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-21 12:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-21 12:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -9.20%E -3.32%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -1.86%E -1.27%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-21 12:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.86%E -3.59%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-21 12:36 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -9.86%E -3.59%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-21 12:36 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.86%E -3.59%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.55%E -3.20%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-21 12:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.86%E -3.59%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.55%E -3.20%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-21 12:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -9.86%E -3.59%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -5.22%E -3.70%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-21 12:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -9.86%E -3.59%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -5.22%E -3.70%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-21 12:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.86%E -3.59%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-21 12:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.86%E -3.59%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-21 12:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.86%E -3.59%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-21 12:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.86%E -3.59%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-21 12:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -11.50%E -4.26%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-21 12:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -11.50%E -4.26%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%EV -6.56%E -4.72%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-21 12:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -11.50%E -4.26%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-21 12:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -13.14%E -4.96%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-21 12:36 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -13.14%E -4.96%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-21 12:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -13.14%E -4.96%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-21 12:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -13.79%E -5.24%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-21 12:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -13.79%E -5.24%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-21 12:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.92%EV -13.79%E -5.24%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.08%EV -9.25%E -6.85%K -26.43%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-06-21 12:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -14.12%E -5.39%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -2.53%E -1.74%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-21 12:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -14.12%E -5.39%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-21 12:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -14.12%E -5.39%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-21 12:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -14.12%E -5.39%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-21 12:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -14.78%E -5.68%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -0.512%E -0.346%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-21 12:38 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-06-21 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-06-21 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 0.9% | 2026-06-21 12:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 0.9% | 2026-06-21 12:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.03% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.97% | 2.3% | 2026-06-21 12:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51% | 3.0% | 2026-06-21 12:38 |