La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Francisco Cerundolo v Tommy Paul
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Francisco Cerundolo (Local)
Predicción 32.78%3.05momio equitativo
EV +1.61%
Ventaja +0.520%
Kelly +0.768%
Crecimiento +0.012%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.80%32.97%32.87%36.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.812.803.1038.46%35.60%35.71%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Tommy Paul (Visitante)
Predicción 67.22%1.49momio equitativo
EV +0.160%
Ventaja +0.107%
Kelly +0.326%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.49
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.73%67.03%67.13%69.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.351.421.431.4974.07%70.47%69.93%67.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +1.61%E +0.520%K +0.768%G +0.012% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-21 12:40 |
| DraftKings | 3.07I 32.57%NM 30.86%EV +0.630%E +0.205%K +0.304%G +0.002% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.14%EV -7.91%E -5.77%K -21.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-21 12:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -0.025%E -0.008%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -5.22%E -3.70%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-21 12:39 |
| Coolbet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.66%E -0.555%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-21 12:39 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.66%E -0.555%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-21 12:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.66%E -0.555%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-21 12:39 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.30%E -1.12%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-21 12:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -3.30%E -1.12%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -6.56%E -4.72%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-21 12:39 |
| Fanatics | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -3.30%E -1.12%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-21 12:39 |
| Pinnacle | 2.93I 34.13%NM 33.41%EV -3.96%E -1.35%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.59%EV -1.18%E -0.806%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-06-21 12:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -4.29%E -1.47%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-21 12:27 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -4.29%E -1.47%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-21 12:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -4.29%E -1.47%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-21 12:39 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.94%E -1.70%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-21 12:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.94%E -1.70%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-21 12:38 |
| PlayUp | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.94%E -1.70%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-21 12:39 |
| TAB | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.94%E -1.70%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-21 12:38 |
| NordicBet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -4.94%E -1.70%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -7.91%E -5.77%K -21.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-21 12:39 |
| Betsson | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -4.94%E -1.70%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -7.91%E -5.77%K -21.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-21 12:39 |
| GTbets | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.10%EV -5.60%E -1.94%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.90%EV +0.160%E +0.107%K +0.326%G +0.001% | 1.8% | 2026-06-21 12:29 |
| Bovada | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.58%E -2.31%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-21 12:29 |
| BetUS | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.58%E -2.31%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-21 12:33 |
| ReBet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.58%E -2.31%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-21 12:29 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.58%E -2.31%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-21 12:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -6.58%E -2.31%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -7.91%E -5.77%K -21.37%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-21 12:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -7.89%E -2.81%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-21 12:29 |
| BetAnything | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.53%E -1.74%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-21 12:35 |
| Bet Right | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-21 12:36 |
| BetRivers | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-21 12:39 |
| Casumo | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-21 12:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-21 12:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-21 12:40 |
| Unibet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-21 12:39 |
| Bally Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-21 12:36 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-21 12:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-21 12:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-21 12:39 |
| betPARX | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-21 12:39 |
| 1xBet | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -9.20%E -3.32%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -1.86%E -1.27%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-21 12:35 |
| betfred_uk | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.86%E -3.59%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-21 12:36 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -9.86%E -3.59%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-21 12:36 |
| Grosvenor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.86%E -3.59%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.55%E -3.20%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-21 12:39 |
| TABtouch | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.86%E -3.59%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.55%E -3.20%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-21 12:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -9.86%E -3.59%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -5.22%E -3.70%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-21 12:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -9.86%E -3.59%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -5.22%E -3.70%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-21 12:39 |
| William Hill | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.86%E -3.59%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-21 12:39 |
| Bet Victor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.86%E -3.59%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-21 12:39 |
| BoyleSports | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.86%E -3.59%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-21 12:39 |
| Everygame | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.86%E -3.59%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-21 12:30 |
| LeoVegas | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -11.50%E -4.26%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-21 12:40 |
| Fliff | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -11.50%E -4.26%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%EV -6.56%E -4.72%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-21 12:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -11.50%E -4.26%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-21 12:39 |
| Neds | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -13.14%E -4.96%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-21 12:36 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -13.14%E -4.96%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-21 12:35 |
| BetMGM | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -13.14%E -4.96%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-21 12:39 |
| Sky Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -13.79%E -5.24%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-21 12:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -13.79%E -5.24%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-21 12:39 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.92%EV -13.79%E -5.24%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.08%EV -9.25%E -6.85%K -26.43%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-06-21 12:39 |
| FanDuel | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -14.12%E -5.39%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -2.53%E -1.74%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-21 12:39 |
| Paddy Power | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -14.12%E -5.39%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-21 12:39 |
| Coral | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -14.12%E -5.39%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-21 12:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -14.12%E -5.39%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-21 12:40 |
| Caesars | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -14.78%E -5.68%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -0.512%E -0.346%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-21 12:38 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-06-21 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-06-21 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 0.9% | 2026-06-21 12:40 |
| Matchbook | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 0.9% | 2026-06-21 12:40 |
| Smarkets | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.03% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.97% | 2.3% | 2026-06-21 12:40 |
| Novig | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51% | 3.0% | 2026-06-21 12:38 |