مدرسة الاحتمالات

Francisco Cerundolo v Tommy Paul

البداية: 2026-06-21 13:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

63 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Francisco Cerundolo (المضيف)

التنبؤ 32.78%3.05السعر العادل
EV +1.61%
الأفضلية +0.520%
Kelly +0.768%
النمو +0.012%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.80%32.97%32.87%36.27%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.602.812.803.1038.46%35.60%35.71%32.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Tommy Paul (الضيف)

التنبؤ 67.22%1.49السعر العادل
EV +0.160%
الأفضلية +0.107%
Kelly +0.326%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.49

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
63.73%67.03%67.13%69.20%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.351.421.431.4974.07%70.47%69.93%67.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +1.61%E +0.520%K +0.768%G +0.012%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-21 12:40
DraftKings3.07I 32.57%NM 30.86%EV +0.630%E +0.205%K +0.304%G +0.002%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.14%EV -7.91%E -5.77%K -21.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-21 12:40
Winamax (DE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -0.025%E -0.008%K -0.012%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -5.22%E -3.70%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-21 12:39
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.66%E -0.555%K -0.832%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 12:39
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.66%E -0.555%K -0.832%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 12:39
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.66%E -0.555%K -0.832%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 12:39
Dabble (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.30%E -1.12%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 12:39
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -3.30%E -1.12%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -6.56%E -4.72%K -16.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 12:39
Fanatics2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -3.30%E -1.12%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-21 12:39
Pinnacle2.93I 34.13%NM 33.41%EV -3.96%E -1.35%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.59%EV -1.18%E -0.806%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-21 12:40
Betclic (FR)2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -4.29%E -1.47%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-21 12:27
LowVig.ag2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -4.29%E -1.47%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-21 12:40
BetOnline.ag2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -4.29%E -1.47%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-21 12:39
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.94%E -1.70%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-21 12:29
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.94%E -1.70%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-21 12:38
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.94%E -1.70%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-21 12:39
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.94%E -1.70%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-21 12:38
NordicBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -4.94%E -1.70%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -7.91%E -5.77%K -21.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-21 12:39
Betsson2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -4.94%E -1.70%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -7.91%E -5.77%K -21.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-21 12:39
GTbets2.88I 34.72%NM 34.10%EV -5.60%E -1.94%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.90%EV +0.160%E +0.107%K +0.326%G +0.001%1.8%2026-06-21 12:29
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.58%E -2.31%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-21 12:29
BetUS2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.58%E -2.31%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-21 12:33
ReBet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.58%E -2.31%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 12:29
NetBet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.58%E -2.31%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-21 12:29
Tipico (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -6.58%E -2.31%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -7.91%E -5.77%K -21.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-21 12:40
Marathon Bet2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -7.89%E -2.81%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-21 12:29
BetAnything2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.53%E -1.74%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-21 12:35
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-21 12:36
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-21 12:39
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-21 12:40
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-21 12:39
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-21 12:40
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-21 12:39
Bally Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-21 12:36
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-21 12:39
Hard Rock Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-21 12:39
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-21 12:39
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-21 12:39
1xBet2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -9.20%E -3.32%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -1.86%E -1.27%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-21 12:35
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.86%E -3.59%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 12:36
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -9.86%E -3.59%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-21 12:36
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.86%E -3.59%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.55%E -3.20%K -10.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-21 12:39
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.86%E -3.59%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.55%E -3.20%K -10.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-21 12:40
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -9.86%E -3.59%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -5.22%E -3.70%K -12.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-21 12:39
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -9.86%E -3.59%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -5.22%E -3.70%K -12.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-21 12:39
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.86%E -3.59%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-21 12:39
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.86%E -3.59%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-21 12:39
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.86%E -3.59%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-21 12:39
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.86%E -3.59%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-21 12:30
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -11.50%E -4.26%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-21 12:40
Fliff2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -11.50%E -4.26%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%EV -6.56%E -4.72%K -16.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-21 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -11.50%E -4.26%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-21 12:39
Neds2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -13.14%E -4.96%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-21 12:36
Ladbrokes (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -13.14%E -4.96%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-21 12:35
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -13.14%E -4.96%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-21 12:39
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -13.79%E -5.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-21 12:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -13.79%E -5.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-21 12:39
PMU (FR)2.63I 38.02%NM 33.92%EV -13.79%E -5.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.08%EV -9.25%E -6.85%K -26.43%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-21 12:39
FanDuel2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -14.12%E -5.39%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -2.53%E -1.74%K -5.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-21 12:39
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -14.12%E -5.39%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-21 12:39
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -14.12%E -5.39%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-21 12:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -14.12%E -5.39%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-21 12:40
Caesars2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -14.78%E -5.68%K -9.23%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -0.512%E -0.346%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-21 12:38
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-06-21 12:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-06-21 12:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-06-21 12:40
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-06-21 12:40
Smarkets2.96I 33.78%NM 33.03%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.97%2.3%2026-06-21 12:40
Novig2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%3.0%2026-06-21 12:38