L’École des cotes

Francisco Cerundolo v Tommy Paul

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-21 13:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Francisco Cerundolo (Local)

Prévision 32.78%3.05cote équitable
EV +1.61%
Avantage +0.520%
Kelly +0.768%
Croissance +0.012%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.80%32.97%32.87%36.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.812.803.1038.46%35.60%35.71%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Tommy Paul (Visiteur)

Prévision 67.22%1.49cote équitable
EV +0.160%
Avantage +0.107%
Kelly +0.326%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 1.49

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.73%67.03%67.13%69.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.351.421.431.4974.07%70.47%69.93%67.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +1.61%E +0.520%K +0.768%G +0.012%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-21 12:40
DraftKings3.07I 32.57%NM 30.86%EV +0.630%E +0.205%K +0.304%G +0.002%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.14%EV -7.91%E -5.77%K -21.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-21 12:40
Winamax (DE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -0.025%E -0.008%K -0.012%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -5.22%E -3.70%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-21 12:39
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.66%E -0.555%K -0.832%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 12:39
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.66%E -0.555%K -0.832%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 12:39
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.66%E -0.555%K -0.832%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 12:39
Dabble (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.30%E -1.12%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 12:39
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -3.30%E -1.12%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -6.56%E -4.72%K -16.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 12:39
Fanatics2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -3.30%E -1.12%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-21 12:39
Pinnacle2.93I 34.13%NM 33.41%EV -3.96%E -1.35%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.59%EV -1.18%E -0.806%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-21 12:40
Betclic (FR)2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -4.29%E -1.47%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-21 12:27
LowVig.ag2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -4.29%E -1.47%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-21 12:40
BetOnline.ag2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -4.29%E -1.47%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-21 12:39
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.94%E -1.70%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-21 12:29
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.94%E -1.70%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-21 12:38
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.94%E -1.70%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-21 12:39
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.94%E -1.70%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-21 12:38
NordicBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -4.94%E -1.70%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -7.91%E -5.77%K -21.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-21 12:39
Betsson2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -4.94%E -1.70%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -7.91%E -5.77%K -21.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-21 12:39
GTbets2.88I 34.72%NM 34.10%EV -5.60%E -1.94%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.90%EV +0.160%E +0.107%K +0.326%G +0.001%1.8%2026-06-21 12:29
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.58%E -2.31%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-21 12:29
BetUS2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.58%E -2.31%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-21 12:33
ReBet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.58%E -2.31%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 12:29
NetBet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.58%E -2.31%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-21 12:29
Tipico (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -6.58%E -2.31%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -7.91%E -5.77%K -21.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-21 12:40
Marathon Bet2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -7.89%E -2.81%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-21 12:29
BetAnything2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.53%E -1.74%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-21 12:35
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-21 12:36
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-21 12:39
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-21 12:40
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-21 12:39
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-21 12:40
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-21 12:39
Bally Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-21 12:36
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-21 12:39
Hard Rock Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-21 12:39
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-21 12:39
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-21 12:39
1xBet2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -9.20%E -3.32%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -1.86%E -1.27%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-21 12:35
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.86%E -3.59%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 12:36
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -9.86%E -3.59%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-21 12:36
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.86%E -3.59%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.55%E -3.20%K -10.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-21 12:39
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.86%E -3.59%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.55%E -3.20%K -10.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-21 12:40
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -9.86%E -3.59%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -5.22%E -3.70%K -12.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-21 12:39
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -9.86%E -3.59%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -5.22%E -3.70%K -12.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-21 12:39
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.86%E -3.59%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-21 12:39
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.86%E -3.59%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-21 12:39
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.86%E -3.59%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-21 12:39
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.86%E -3.59%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-21 12:30
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -11.50%E -4.26%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-21 12:40
Fliff2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -11.50%E -4.26%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%EV -6.56%E -4.72%K -16.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-21 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -11.50%E -4.26%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-21 12:39
Neds2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -13.14%E -4.96%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-21 12:36
Ladbrokes (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -13.14%E -4.96%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-21 12:35
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -13.14%E -4.96%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-21 12:39
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -13.79%E -5.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-21 12:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -13.79%E -5.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-21 12:39
PMU (FR)2.63I 38.02%NM 33.92%EV -13.79%E -5.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.08%EV -9.25%E -6.85%K -26.43%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-21 12:39
FanDuel2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -14.12%E -5.39%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -2.53%E -1.74%K -5.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-21 12:39
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -14.12%E -5.39%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-21 12:39
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -14.12%E -5.39%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-21 12:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -14.12%E -5.39%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-21 12:40
Caesars2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -14.78%E -5.68%K -9.23%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -0.512%E -0.346%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-21 12:38
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-06-21 12:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-06-21 12:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-06-21 12:40
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-06-21 12:40
Smarkets2.96I 33.78%NM 33.03%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.97%2.3%2026-06-21 12:40
Novig2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%3.0%2026-06-21 12:38