StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Francisco Cerundolo v Tommy Paul

Matchstart: 2026-06-21 13:30 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

63 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Francisco Cerundolo (Hemma)

Prognos 32.78%3.05rättvist odds
EV +1.61%
Fördel +0.520%
Kelly +0.768%
Tillväxt +0.012%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
30.80%32.97%32.87%36.27%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.602.812.803.1038.46%35.60%35.71%32.26%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Tommy Paul (Borta)

Prognos 67.22%1.49rättvist odds
EV +0.160%
Fördel +0.107%
Kelly +0.326%
Tillväxt +0.001%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.49

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
63.73%67.03%67.13%69.20%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.351.421.431.4974.07%70.47%69.93%67.11%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Francisco Cerundolo (Hemma): 32.78%; Tommy Paul (Borta): 67.22%. För Francisco Cerundolo (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.05. 2 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.10, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.61%.

Spelbolagsodds (63 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +1.61%E +0.520%K +0.768%G +0.012%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-21 12:40
DraftKings🎯3.07I 32.57%NM 30.86%EV +0.630%E +0.205%K +0.304%G +0.002%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.14%EV -7.91%E -5.77%K -21.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-21 12:40
Winamax (DE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -0.025%E -0.008%K -0.012%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -5.22%E -3.70%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-21 12:39
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.66%E -0.555%K -0.832%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 12:39
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.66%E -0.555%K -0.832%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 12:39
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.66%E -0.555%K -0.832%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 12:39
Dabble (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.30%E -1.12%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 12:39
Winamax (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -3.30%E -1.12%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -6.56%E -4.72%K -16.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 12:39
Fanatics🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -3.30%E -1.12%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-21 12:39
Pinnacle🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 33.41%EV -3.96%E -1.35%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.59%EV -1.18%E -0.806%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-21 12:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -4.29%E -1.47%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-21 12:27
LowVig.ag🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -4.29%E -1.47%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-21 12:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -4.29%E -1.47%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-21 12:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.94%E -1.70%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-21 12:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.94%E -1.70%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-21 12:38
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.94%E -1.70%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-21 12:39
TAB🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.94%E -1.70%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-21 12:38
NordicBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -4.94%E -1.70%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -7.91%E -5.77%K -21.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-21 12:39
Betsson🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -4.94%E -1.70%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -7.91%E -5.77%K -21.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-21 12:39
GTbets🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 34.10%EV -5.60%E -1.94%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.90%EV +0.160%E +0.107%K +0.326%G +0.001%1.8%2026-06-21 12:29
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.58%E -2.31%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-21 12:29
BetUS🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.58%E -2.31%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-21 12:33
ReBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.58%E -2.31%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 12:29
NetBet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.58%E -2.31%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-21 12:29
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -6.58%E -2.31%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -7.91%E -5.77%K -21.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-21 12:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -7.89%E -2.81%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-21 12:29
BetAnything🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.53%E -1.74%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-21 12:35
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-21 12:36
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-21 12:39
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-21 12:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-21 12:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-21 12:40
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-21 12:39
Bally Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-21 12:36
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-21 12:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-21 12:39
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-21 12:39
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-21 12:39
1xBet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -9.20%E -3.32%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -1.86%E -1.27%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-21 12:35
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.86%E -3.59%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 12:36
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -9.86%E -3.59%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -3.87%E -2.71%K -9.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-21 12:36
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.86%E -3.59%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.55%E -3.20%K -10.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-21 12:39
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.86%E -3.59%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.55%E -3.20%K -10.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-21 12:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -9.86%E -3.59%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -5.22%E -3.70%K -12.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-21 12:39
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -9.86%E -3.59%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -5.22%E -3.70%K -12.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-21 12:39
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.86%E -3.59%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-21 12:39
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.86%E -3.59%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-21 12:39
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.86%E -3.59%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-21 12:39
Everygame🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.86%E -3.59%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-21 12:30
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -11.50%E -4.26%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-21 12:40
Fliff🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -11.50%E -4.26%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%EV -6.56%E -4.72%K -16.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-21 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -11.50%E -4.26%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-21 12:39
Neds🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -13.14%E -4.96%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-21 12:36
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -13.14%E -4.96%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-21 12:35
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -13.14%E -4.96%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-21 12:39
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -13.79%E -5.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-21 12:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -13.79%E -5.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-21 12:39
PMU (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.92%EV -13.79%E -5.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.08%EV -9.25%E -6.85%K -26.43%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-21 12:39
FanDuel🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -14.12%E -5.39%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -2.53%E -1.74%K -5.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-21 12:39
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -14.12%E -5.39%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-21 12:39
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -14.12%E -5.39%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-21 12:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -14.12%E -5.39%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.20%E -2.22%K -7.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-21 12:40
Caesars🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -14.78%E -5.68%K -9.23%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -0.512%E -0.346%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-21 12:38
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-06-21 12:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-06-21 12:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-06-21 12:40
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-06-21 12:40
Smarkets2.96I 33.78%NM 33.03%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.97%2.3%2026-06-21 12:40
Novig2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%3.0%2026-06-21 12:38