The School of Odds

Arthur Fery v Toby Samuel

Matchstart: 2026-06-16 12:30 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

48 spelbolag (19 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Arthur Fery (Hemma)

Prognos 80.61%1.24rättvist odds
EV +38.65%
Fördel +22.47%
Kelly +53.68%
Tillväxt +20.75%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.72

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
54.05%78.81%80.81%83.08%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.091.241.161.7291.74%80.92%86.21%58.14%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Toby Samuel (Borta)

Prognos 19.39%5.16rättvist odds
EV +6.65%
Fördel +1.21%
Kelly +1.48%
Tillväxt +0.098%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
16.92%21.19%19.19%45.95%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.004.485.005.5050.00%22.31%20.00%18.18%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (48 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Bet Right1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV +38.65%E +22.47%K +53.68%G +20.75%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -58.89%E -27.78%K -52.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 12:06
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV +37.04%E +21.79%K +52.91%G +19.60%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -56.95%E -25.66%K -46.68%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-16 10:50
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV +37.04%E +21.79%K +52.91%G +19.60%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -56.95%E -25.66%K -46.68%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-16 10:50
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV +37.04%E +21.79%K +52.91%G +19.60%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -61.22%E -30.61%K -61.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-16 10:50
Dabble (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV +35.42%E +21.09%K +52.10%G +18.45%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -57.34%E -26.06%K -47.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 12:06
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +34.62%E +20.73%K +51.67%G +17.89%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -57.34%E -26.06%K -47.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 12:09
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV +33.01%E +20.00%K +50.78%G +16.76%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -57.34%E -26.06%K -47.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 12:08
Pinnacle1.41I 70.92%NM 68.81%EV +13.66%E +9.69%K +33.32%G +4.55%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.19%EV -39.70%E -12.76%K -18.81%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-16 12:20
Coolbet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.27%E -2.72%K -16.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -7.90%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-16 12:20
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -3.27%E -2.72%K -16.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -22.44%E -5.61%K -7.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-16 12:20
Bovada1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.88%E -4.14%K -27.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.05%E -0.610%K -0.762%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 12:19
TAB1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.88%E -4.14%K -27.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -14.68%E -3.34%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 12:20
FanDuel1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -4.88%E -4.14%K -27.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -18.56%E -4.42%K -5.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-16 12:20
Fanatics1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.05%E -0.610%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 12:20
Caesars1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.45%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -6.93%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 12:20
PointsBet (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -7.90%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-16 12:20
Sky Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.74%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-16 12:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.74%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-16 12:20
Betclic (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 78.41%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.45%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -17.59%E -4.14%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-16 12:18
DraftKings1.16I 86.21%NM 82.34%EV -6.49%E -5.60%K -40.58%G +0.000%5.41I 18.48%NM 17.66%EV +4.90%E +0.906%K +1.11%G +0.054%4.7%2026-06-16 12:20
Unibet (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -6.49%E -5.60%K -40.58%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +1.80%E +0.342%K +0.423%G +0.008%5.3%2026-06-16 12:20
Casumo1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -6.49%E -5.60%K -40.58%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -1.11%E -0.218%K -0.271%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 12:20
Unibet (NL)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -6.49%E -5.60%K -40.58%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -1.11%E -0.218%K -0.271%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 12:20
Unibet (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -6.49%E -5.60%K -40.58%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -1.11%E -0.218%K -0.271%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 12:20
ATG (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -6.49%E -5.60%K -40.58%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -1.11%E -0.218%K -0.271%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 12:20
Fliff1.16I 86.21%NM 79.68%EV -6.49%E -5.60%K -40.58%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.32%EV -11.78%E -2.59%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-16 12:20
Betway1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +1.80%E +0.342%K +0.423%G +0.008%6.0%2026-06-16 12:20
BetRivers1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.66%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV +0.828%E +0.159%K +0.197%G +0.002%6.2%2026-06-16 12:19
Grosvenor1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.05%E -0.610%K -0.762%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 12:20
Hard Rock Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.05%E -0.610%K -0.762%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 12:20
BetMGM1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.05%E -0.610%K -0.762%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 12:20
theScore Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.05%E -0.610%K -0.762%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 12:20
NordicBet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.05%E -0.610%K -0.762%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 12:20
Betsson1.15I 86.96%NM 81.15%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.66%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -4.02%E -0.812%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-16 12:20
Tipico (DE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.66%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -8.87%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-16 12:20
Unibet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -8.10%E -7.11%K -57.89%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV +4.71%E +0.871%K +1.07%G +0.050%6.2%2026-06-16 12:20
Svenska Spel1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -8.10%E -7.11%K -57.89%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV +4.71%E +0.871%K +1.07%G +0.050%6.2%2026-06-16 12:20
betPARX1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -8.10%E -7.11%K -57.89%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV +4.71%E +0.871%K +1.07%G +0.050%6.2%2026-06-16 12:20
Virgin Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.10%E -7.11%K -57.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.05%E -0.610%K -0.762%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-16 12:20
LiveScore Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.10%E -7.11%K -57.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.05%E -0.610%K -0.762%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-16 12:20
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -8.10%E -7.11%K -57.89%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -6.93%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-16 12:20
Winamax (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 77.82%EV -8.10%E -7.11%K -57.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -22.44%E -5.61%K -7.48%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-16 12:19
TABtouch1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -8.91%E -7.89%K -68.54%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV +2.77%E +0.522%K +0.644%G +0.018%7.4%2026-06-16 12:20
Bet Victor1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -9.72%E -8.68%K -80.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +6.65%E +1.21%K +1.48%G +0.098%7.5%2026-06-16 12:19
Winamax (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 81.40%EV -9.72%E -8.68%K -80.97%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -4.99%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-16 12:20
LeoVegas1.11I 90.09%NM 82.41%EV -10.52%E -9.48%K -95.66%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.59%EV +0.828%E +0.159%K +0.197%G +0.002%9.3%2026-06-16 12:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 82.13%EV -10.52%E -9.48%K -95.66%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.87%EV -1.11%E -0.218%K -0.271%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-16 12:20
PMU (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 82.10%EV -12.14%E -11.13%K -134.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.90%EV -3.05%E -0.610%K -0.762%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-16 12:20
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%0.8%2026-06-16 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%0.8%2026-06-16 12:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%1.2%2026-06-16 12:20
Smarkets1.19I 84.03%NM 81.66%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.34%2.9%2026-06-16 12:20
Matchbook1.22I 81.97%NM 79.39%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%3.2%2026-06-16 12:20
Novig1.16I 86.21%NM 79.29%4.44I 22.52%NM 20.71%8.7%2026-06-16 12:21