Die Wettquotenschule

Arthur Fery v Toby Samuel

Spielbeginn: 2026-06-16 12:30 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

48 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Arthur Fery (Heim)

Prognose 80.61%1.24faire Quote
EV +38.65%
Vorteil +22.47%
Kelly +53.68%
Wachstum +20.75%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.72

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
54.05%78.81%80.81%83.08%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.091.241.161.7291.74%80.92%86.21%58.14%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Toby Samuel (Auswärts)

Prognose 19.39%5.16faire Quote
EV +6.65%
Vorteil +1.21%
Kelly +1.48%
Wachstum +0.098%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
16.92%21.19%19.19%45.95%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.004.485.005.5050.00%22.31%20.00%18.18%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (48 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Bet Right1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV +38.65%E +22.47%K +53.68%G +20.75%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -58.89%E -27.78%K -52.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 12:06
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV +37.04%E +21.79%K +52.91%G +19.60%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -56.95%E -25.66%K -46.68%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-16 10:50
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV +37.04%E +21.79%K +52.91%G +19.60%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -56.95%E -25.66%K -46.68%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-16 10:50
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV +37.04%E +21.79%K +52.91%G +19.60%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -61.22%E -30.61%K -61.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-16 10:50
Dabble (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV +35.42%E +21.09%K +52.10%G +18.45%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -57.34%E -26.06%K -47.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 12:06
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +34.62%E +20.73%K +51.67%G +17.89%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -57.34%E -26.06%K -47.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 12:09
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV +33.01%E +20.00%K +50.78%G +16.76%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -57.34%E -26.06%K -47.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 12:08
Pinnacle1.41I 70.92%NM 68.81%EV +13.66%E +9.69%K +33.32%G +4.55%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.19%EV -39.70%E -12.76%K -18.81%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-16 12:20
Coolbet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.27%E -2.72%K -16.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -7.90%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-16 12:20
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -3.27%E -2.72%K -16.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -22.44%E -5.61%K -7.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-16 12:20
Bovada1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.88%E -4.14%K -27.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.05%E -0.610%K -0.762%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 12:19
TAB1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.88%E -4.14%K -27.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -14.68%E -3.34%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 12:20
FanDuel1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -4.88%E -4.14%K -27.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -18.56%E -4.42%K -5.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-16 12:20
Fanatics1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.05%E -0.610%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 12:20
Caesars1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.45%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -6.93%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 12:20
PointsBet (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -7.90%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-16 12:20
Sky Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.74%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-16 12:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.74%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-16 12:20
Betclic (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 78.41%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.45%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -17.59%E -4.14%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-16 12:18
DraftKings1.16I 86.21%NM 82.34%EV -6.49%E -5.60%K -40.58%G +0.000%5.41I 18.48%NM 17.66%EV +4.90%E +0.906%K +1.11%G +0.054%4.7%2026-06-16 12:20
Unibet (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -6.49%E -5.60%K -40.58%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +1.80%E +0.342%K +0.423%G +0.008%5.3%2026-06-16 12:20
Casumo1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -6.49%E -5.60%K -40.58%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -1.11%E -0.218%K -0.271%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 12:20
Unibet (NL)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -6.49%E -5.60%K -40.58%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -1.11%E -0.218%K -0.271%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 12:20
Unibet (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -6.49%E -5.60%K -40.58%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -1.11%E -0.218%K -0.271%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 12:20
ATG (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -6.49%E -5.60%K -40.58%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -1.11%E -0.218%K -0.271%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 12:20
Fliff1.16I 86.21%NM 79.68%EV -6.49%E -5.60%K -40.58%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.32%EV -11.78%E -2.59%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-16 12:20
Betway1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +1.80%E +0.342%K +0.423%G +0.008%6.0%2026-06-16 12:20
BetRivers1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.66%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV +0.828%E +0.159%K +0.197%G +0.002%6.2%2026-06-16 12:19
Grosvenor1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.05%E -0.610%K -0.762%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 12:20
Hard Rock Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.05%E -0.610%K -0.762%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 12:20
BetMGM1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.05%E -0.610%K -0.762%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 12:20
theScore Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.05%E -0.610%K -0.762%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 12:20
NordicBet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.05%E -0.610%K -0.762%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 12:20
Betsson1.15I 86.96%NM 81.15%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.66%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -4.02%E -0.812%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-16 12:20
Tipico (DE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.66%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -8.87%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-16 12:20
Unibet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -8.10%E -7.11%K -57.89%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV +4.71%E +0.871%K +1.07%G +0.050%6.2%2026-06-16 12:20
Svenska Spel1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -8.10%E -7.11%K -57.89%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV +4.71%E +0.871%K +1.07%G +0.050%6.2%2026-06-16 12:20
betPARX1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -8.10%E -7.11%K -57.89%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV +4.71%E +0.871%K +1.07%G +0.050%6.2%2026-06-16 12:20
Virgin Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.10%E -7.11%K -57.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.05%E -0.610%K -0.762%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-16 12:20
LiveScore Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.10%E -7.11%K -57.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.05%E -0.610%K -0.762%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-16 12:20
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -8.10%E -7.11%K -57.89%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -6.93%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-16 12:20
Winamax (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 77.82%EV -8.10%E -7.11%K -57.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -22.44%E -5.61%K -7.48%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-16 12:19
TABtouch1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -8.91%E -7.89%K -68.54%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV +2.77%E +0.522%K +0.644%G +0.018%7.4%2026-06-16 12:20
Bet Victor1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -9.72%E -8.68%K -80.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +6.65%E +1.21%K +1.48%G +0.098%7.5%2026-06-16 12:19
Winamax (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 81.40%EV -9.72%E -8.68%K -80.97%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -4.99%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-16 12:20
LeoVegas1.11I 90.09%NM 82.41%EV -10.52%E -9.48%K -95.66%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.59%EV +0.828%E +0.159%K +0.197%G +0.002%9.3%2026-06-16 12:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 82.13%EV -10.52%E -9.48%K -95.66%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.87%EV -1.11%E -0.218%K -0.271%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-16 12:20
PMU (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 82.10%EV -12.14%E -11.13%K -134.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.90%EV -3.05%E -0.610%K -0.762%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-16 12:20
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%0.8%2026-06-16 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%0.8%2026-06-16 12:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%1.2%2026-06-16 12:20
Smarkets1.19I 84.03%NM 81.66%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.34%2.9%2026-06-16 12:20
Matchbook1.22I 81.97%NM 79.39%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%3.2%2026-06-16 12:20
Novig1.16I 86.21%NM 79.29%4.44I 22.52%NM 20.71%8.7%2026-06-16 12:21