L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Arthur Fery v Toby Samuel
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Arthur Fery (Local)
Prévision 80.61%1.24cote équitable
EV +38.65%
Avantage +22.47%
Kelly +53.68%
Croissance +20.75%
avec la cote maximale 1.72
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.05%78.81%80.81%83.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.091.241.161.7291.74%80.92%86.21%58.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Toby Samuel (Visiteur)
Prévision 19.39%5.16cote équitable
EV +6.65%
Avantage +1.21%
Kelly +1.48%
Croissance +0.098%
avec la cote maximale 5.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.92%21.19%19.19%45.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.004.485.005.5050.00%22.31%20.00%18.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Right | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV +38.65%E +22.47%K +53.68%G +20.75% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -58.89%E -27.78%K -52.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 12:06 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV +37.04%E +21.79%K +52.91%G +19.60% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -56.95%E -25.66%K -46.68%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-16 10:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV +37.04%E +21.79%K +52.91%G +19.60% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -56.95%E -25.66%K -46.68%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-16 10:50 |
| Everygame | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV +37.04%E +21.79%K +52.91%G +19.60% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -61.22%E -30.61%K -61.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-16 10:50 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV +35.42%E +21.09%K +52.10%G +18.45% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -57.34%E -26.06%K -47.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-16 12:06 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +34.62%E +20.73%K +51.67%G +17.89% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -57.34%E -26.06%K -47.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 12:09 |
| PlayUp | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV +33.01%E +20.00%K +50.78%G +16.76% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -57.34%E -26.06%K -47.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-16 12:08 |
| Pinnacle | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.81%EV +13.66%E +9.69%K +33.32%G +4.55% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.19%EV -39.70%E -12.76%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.27%E -2.72%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -7.90%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -3.27%E -2.72%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -22.44%E -5.61%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| Bovada | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.88%E -4.14%K -27.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.05%E -0.610%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-16 12:19 |
| TAB | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.88%E -4.14%K -27.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -14.68%E -3.34%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| FanDuel | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -4.88%E -4.14%K -27.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -18.56%E -4.42%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.45%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.05%E -0.610%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| Caesars | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.45%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -6.93%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.45%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -7.90%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| Sky Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.74%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.74%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.41%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.45%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -17.59%E -4.14%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-16 12:18 |
| DraftKings | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.34%EV -6.49%E -5.60%K -40.58%G +0.000% | 5.41I 18.48%NM 17.66%EV +4.90%E +0.906%K +1.11%G +0.054% | 4.7% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -6.49%E -5.60%K -40.58%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +1.80%E +0.342%K +0.423%G +0.008% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| Casumo | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -6.49%E -5.60%K -40.58%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -1.11%E -0.218%K -0.271%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -6.49%E -5.60%K -40.58%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -1.11%E -0.218%K -0.271%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -6.49%E -5.60%K -40.58%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -1.11%E -0.218%K -0.271%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -6.49%E -5.60%K -40.58%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -1.11%E -0.218%K -0.271%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| Fliff | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.68%EV -6.49%E -5.60%K -40.58%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.32%EV -11.78%E -2.59%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| Betway | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.66%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +1.80%E +0.342%K +0.423%G +0.008% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.66%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV +0.828%E +0.159%K +0.197%G +0.002% | 6.2% | 2026-06-16 12:19 |
| Grosvenor | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.05%E -0.610%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.05%E -0.610%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.05%E -0.610%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.05%E -0.610%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.05%E -0.610%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| Betsson | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.15%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.66%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -4.02%E -0.812%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.66%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -8.87%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| Unibet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -8.10%E -7.11%K -57.89%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV +4.71%E +0.871%K +1.07%G +0.050% | 6.2% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -8.10%E -7.11%K -57.89%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV +4.71%E +0.871%K +1.07%G +0.050% | 6.2% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| betPARX | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -8.10%E -7.11%K -57.89%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV +4.71%E +0.871%K +1.07%G +0.050% | 6.2% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.10%E -7.11%K -57.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.05%E -0.610%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.10%E -7.11%K -57.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.05%E -0.610%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -8.10%E -7.11%K -57.89%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -6.93%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 77.82%EV -8.10%E -7.11%K -57.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -22.44%E -5.61%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-06-16 12:19 |
| TABtouch | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -8.91%E -7.89%K -68.54%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV +2.77%E +0.522%K +0.644%G +0.018% | 7.4% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -9.72%E -8.68%K -80.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +6.65%E +1.21%K +1.48%G +0.098% | 7.5% | 2026-06-16 12:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.40%EV -9.72%E -8.68%K -80.97%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -4.99%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.41%EV -10.52%E -9.48%K -95.66%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.59%EV +0.828%E +0.159%K +0.197%G +0.002% | 9.3% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.13%EV -10.52%E -9.48%K -95.66%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.87%EV -1.11%E -0.218%K -0.271%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 82.10%EV -12.14%E -11.13%K -134.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.90%EV -3.05%E -0.610%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 0.8% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 0.8% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31% | 1.2% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.66% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.34% | 2.9% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.39% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61% | 3.2% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| Novig | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.29% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 20.71% | 8.7% | 2026-06-16 12:21 |